Real Valladolid and Numancia meet at Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla, in a return match for this phase of the Second Division (Promotion Play-offs – Finals), after the victory outside Real Valladolid by (0-3) in the match outward. The record of direct matches played in this stadium indicates total balance between these two teams, since there were 2 draws and 1 win for each team in the last 4 matches. But the last time these two teams met in this stadium was on 03-12-2017, for the Second Division, which ended with the victory of Numancia by (2-3). Jaime Mata (12 ‘e 17’) scored the goals of the match, for Real Valladolid, and Nacho (60 ‘), Carlos Gutiérrez (71’) and Guillermo Fernández (85 ‘), for Numancia. Particular attention is required for the home / away condition, since both teams present significantly different results at home and abroad.
Real Valladolid:
After the win was by (0-3), the home team comes to this second leg with a 3-goal advantage. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in away matches; against 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home league matches Real Valladolid has a record of 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 23 points out of 30 possible. They have not been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 15 of the last 22 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 45 matches in the competition, they suffered the first goal 18 times and only managed 2 comebacks.
After having won away from home in the first leg, the Real Valladolid team has a great advantage in their favor and now they can lose by up to two goals difference and still achieve their goal. Despite having a great advantage on the scoreboard, the home team must go in search of a victory, because they do not want to lose next to their fan. The coach should take to the field what is best for him, because he does not want to be surprised in his domains.
Numancia:
After the defeat at home, the visiting team comes to this second leg with a dismay of 3 goals and with the difficult task of recovering this negative result as a visitor. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in away matches; against 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 away league matches Numancia has a record of 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 9 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half-time was 0-0 (9 out of 23 matches). They have not been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 45 matches in this tournament, they have conceded the first goal 22 times and have only won 1 comeback.
It was not the expected result by the Numancia team. The team did not manage to present good football inside the field and ended up being thrashed by their fans for the 3×0 score. For the aforementioned facts, the visiting team will need to look for a win by four or more goals of difference if they want to reach the access, a very complicated task. The Numancia will need to be very successful in its offensive sector and at the same time press offensively to the locals. The visiting coach must not have important absences for this duel.
PREDICTION: Valladolid to win @ 1.90
