– We need that the 1st part of the match ends with 2 or 3 cards. Reds do not count double in this market.
– As for the teams we have a Valencia that does not finish carbureting and with only 4 points of advantage over the descent. Despite this situation strangely they are not being so reprimanded as last season. In their last 5 home matches we have 3 hits for our interval.
– Huesca is the visitor and bottom of the table with only 8 points. They are the most credit card teams in the category with an average higher than the 3 cards / match. From his last 5 matches as visitors we also have 3 hits for our interval.
With the commented statistics local / visitors of the teams we are in a 60% of hits for this bet in the last 10 meetings (5 + 5).
– But surely the main reason will be the referee of the contest, which is Gil Manzano. Last season Gil Manzano was a real surety for this forecast, the Extremadura led 19 league games with 15 hits (78.94% effectiveness). This season in 8 matches has 5 hits but comes on a run of 4 hits in their last 5 refereed matches.
In addition we must clarify a little more their games: In 7 of their 8 matches showed more than 1.5 cards in the 1st part and I think that in this match should be difficult to reach the 4 HT cards. I think that the 1st part can have very closed sections of football.
Yes in a game of needs like this, the 1st part has 4 or more cards that can end up quite crappy. Gil Manzano overcame the over 3.5 HT cards in exceptional matches like Betis – Sevilla and also in crazy Barcelona – Girona (where you already know the one that was armed with Lenglet, the VAR and such).
Yes that the bet was fulfilled with Manzano in Villarreal – Celta, Atlético – Barcelona, R.Society – Valencia, Valencia – Atlético and Eibar – Athletic. And how we see in 2 of these 5 matches was the Valencia involved.
PREDICTION: Valencia to win @ 1.40
