Toluca and Guadalajara meet at Estadio Nemesio Díez, in a match for the 6th round of the First Division. The record of direct confrontations at this stadium is favorable to the visiting team, which in the last 4 matches won 1 and drew 3. Indeed, the last time these two teams met at this stadium was on 03-11-2019, in a match for the First Division that ended with the victory of Guadalajara by (1‑3). F. Pardo (13 ‘) scored the goals of the match, for Toluca, and E. López (33’) and A. Pulido (37 ‘and 77′), for Guadalajara. Particular attention is needed for the home / away condition, as both teams present significantly different results at home and away.
Toluca :
After 3 wins and 2 losses, the home team is currently in 4th position, with 9 points won. In their last match, they beat Tigres UANL at home by (3‑2), after in the previous match having won by (1‑2) away, in a match against Atlas. This is a stronger team with the support of its fans, since in the last 30 games it has registered 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses as a visitor, with 15 goals scored and 27 suffered; against 7 victories, 3 draws and 5 defeats in his stadium, with 36 goals scored and 29 suffered. In the last 10 games played at home for all competitions, Toluca won 5, drew 1 and lost 4. Their defense has not been very solid, since they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 5 games, but his attack has scored regularly, as he has scored at least one goal in each of the last 5 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 12 of the last 18 matches have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 15 games, they suffered the first goal 8 times and only managed 2 comebacks.
Toluca is in the fifth position of the Mexican Soccer Championship. The team won three games and lost twice. His attack is the second best with ten goals scored, however the team has the worst defense of the competition, leaked ten opportunities. The team’s goal hope is top scorer Alexis Canelo, who has scored five goals. He arrives at the confrontation wanting to keep 100% of the home advantage, so he must pressure the rival in search of the three points.
Guadalajara :
After 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, the visiting team is currently in 7th position, with 7 points won. In their last match, they beat Atlético San Luis at home by (2‑1), after having won away in the previous match, in a match against Juárez, by (0‑2). This is a team that curiously tends to achieve more positive results as a visitor than at home, since in the last 30 games they have registered 9 victories, 3 draws and 3 defeats as a visitor, with 19 goals scored and 13 suffered; against 6 victories, 4 draws and 5 defeats in his stadium, with 21 goals scored and 18 suffered. In the last 10 games played as a visitor for all competitions, Guadalajara won 5, drew 2 and lost 3. In 15 games, they never got the comeback in the 5 games in which they suffered the first goal. In the last 9 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 3 of their 8 goals between minutes (46’ ‑ 60 ‘).
The club started the competition badly, in the first three rounds they did not win. However, in the last two games, he scored six points. He comes into this showdown wanting to keep the winning streak going. This will be a difficult duel and the demands of the team are usually high. The objective is to keep scoring, for this it is important to explore the opponent’s defense, taking advantage of the opportunities that are given. The attack needs to improve, after all, the team has only scored four goals so far.
PREDICTION: Both teams to score / YES @ 1,61
