Sporting vs Vitoria Setubal PREVIEW & PREDICTION 21/07/2020

Sporting Lisboa and Vitória Setúbal meet at Estádio José Alvalade, in a match for the 33rd matchday of the Primeira Liga. Sporting Lisboa won by (1‑3) the last time they met in this edition of the league, on 11‑01‑2020. The history of direct confrontations played in this stadium is favorable to the home team, which in the last 4 games has won 4. Indeed, the last time these two teams played a match in this stadium, on 18‑08‑2018, for the Primeira Liga, Sporting Lisboa won by (2‑1). The goals of the match were scored by Nani (9 ‘and 66’), for Sporting Lisboa, and Zequinha (19 ‘), by Vitória Setúbal. Pay attention to the home factor, since Sporting Lisbon usually achieve different results at home and away.

Sporting Lisboa :

The home team is currently in 4th position, with 42 points won, after 13 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match to Famalicão, by (3‑1). In the last match, they won at home against Desportivo Aves by (2‑0). This is a stronger team with the support of their fans, since in the last 30 games they have recorded 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses as a visitor; against 11 wins and 4 losses in his stadium. For the championship, Sporting Lisbon conquered 21 points in 30 possible, after 7 wins and 3 losses in the last 10 matches they played in their stadium.

In this competition, they have won their last 4 matches at home. In their home league matches the most frequent final result at half-time was 0‑0 (5 in 12 games). The team has conceded goals to the opponent in 7 of the last 10 matches, so it has not had much defensive strength, but its attack has scored regularly, since it has scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 24 games in this competition, he only got 1 comeback in the 11 games in which he suffered the first goal. In the last 12 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have suffered 5 of their 12 goals between minutes (76’ ‑ 90 ‘).

The Sporting team reaches this penultimate round in 3rd place in the league table of the Liga NOS, with a record of 59 points, giving them a two-advantage over Braga, a direct competitor in the fight for the podium. The big goal of the group led by coach Rúben Amorim is to confirm the 3rd place he occupies and thus to ensure direct qualification for the group stage of the Europa League next season. On the last day, Sporting added the first defeat under Amorim, when they left the Estádio do Dragão defeated by FC Porto, 2-0. A globally balanced game, however, where the “lions” displayed some inexperience and immaturity, the result of the growth process they are undergoing as a team with various changes underway in view of the upcoming season.

Vitória Setúbal :

After 6 wins, 10 draws and 8 losses, the visiting team is currently in 12th position, with 28 points won. In their last match, they tied with Benfica at home by (1‑1), after in the previous match they had tied outside, in a match against Portimonense, by (0‑0). This is a team little affected by the home factor, that is, it presents similar results at home and away, since in the last 30 games it has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses as a visitor, with 16 goals scored and 21 suffered; against 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in his stadium, with 10 goals scored and 15 suffered. For the championship, Vitória Setúbal conquered 12 points in 30 possible, after 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats in the last 10 matches played as a visitor. The team allowed goals to the opponent in 7 of the last 10 matches, so it has not had great defensive strength, but its attack has marked regularly, since it has scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 24 matches in this tournament, he suffered the first goal 10 times and never got the comeback. In the last 12 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have suffered 6 of their 16 goals between minutes (61’ ‑ 75 ‘).

In the anguish of the fight for permanence, Vitória de Setúbal reaches this penultimate game of the Portuguese championship in position 17 and penultimate in the league table, with the same 30 points from Portimonense and Tondela and two behind in relation to Belenenses. Coach Lito Vidigal recently replaced Spanish Julio Velázquez as coach of the Sadinos, with a view to saving the club from relegation to the second level. For now, the adventure has not been in the best way, since the Setúbal group, under the new technical leadership, lost first in the visit to the relegated Birds and last classified (1-0) and, in the last round, the receive the Famalicão, by 1-2. Vitória’s goal of honor came through Jubal, after the 24th minute, when the tie was restored.


PREDICTION: Over 2,5 goals @ 1,91

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