Spain vs Germany PREVIEW & PREDICTION 17/11/2020

Spain and Germany meet at the Olympic Stadium in Seville, in a match for this phase of the UEFA Nations League (League A). The history of recent head-to-head matches between these two teams indicates total balance, as there were 2 draws in the last 2 matches. In this game, the home factor may be decisive, since both teams present considerable differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.

Spain:

After 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, the home team is currently in 2nd position, with 8 points won. In the last match, they tied (1‑1) away against Switzerland, after in the previous match, having lost (1‑0) away with Ukraine. This is a stronger team with the support of its fans, since in the last 30 games it has recorded 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses as a visitor; against 11 victories, 3 draws and 1 defeat in his stadium. In the last 8 home matches for all competitions, Spain won 8. Their attack has scored regularly, as they have scored goals in 4 of the last 5 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 6 of the last 8 matches have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 15 games, she never got the comeback in the 4 games in which she suffered the first goal.

Spain comes to this game after a 1×1 draw in the visit to Switzerland, adding the second consecutive game without a win in this League of Nations A: the only goal of the team was scored by Gerard Moreno. It should be noted that the Spanish need to win to advance to the final phase of this competition. In this home game, it is expected that coach Luis Enrique will play 4-2-3-1, to favor the defensive organization and counterattacks, that is, he will defend with the nearby sectors, looking for the back of the German defensive line. It should be noted that central defender Sergio Ramos stands out in this formation, with 2 goals. All players are available for this game.

Germany:

After 2 wins and 3 draws, the visiting team is currently in 1st position, with 9 points won. In the last match, they won (3‑1) at home against Ukraine, after in the previous match, having drawn (3‑3) at home with Switzerland. This is a team that, curiously, tends to achieve more positive results as a visitor than at home, since in the last 30 games they have registered 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses as a visitor, with 24 goals scored and 17 suffered; against 7 victories, 7 draws and 1 defeat in his stadium, with 41 goals scored and 19 suffered. In their last away match for this competition, they won (1‑2) against Ukraine. In their last 6 away matches, Germany has recorded 5 wins and 1 draw. The team has not been very strong defensively, since they have always suffered goals in the last 5 matches, but their attack has scored regularly, as they always scored at least one goal in the last 5 matches for this competition. This is a team that does not usually have difficulties to open the scoring: they scored the first goal in 12 of the last 15 games, of these 12 they reached the break in 9 and managed to maintain the advantage until the end of the 90 ‘in 7 .

Germany comes to this game motivated, after a 3×1 victory in the reception to Ukraine, which added the second victory in this League of Nations: the team’s goals were scored by Timo Werner (2) and Leroy Sané. It should be noted that the Germans only need a draw to advance in the competition. In this away game, coach Joachim Luw must play in the usual tactical system, that is, 4-3-3, favoring the maintenance of possession and organized attacks. However, at some points in the game the visitors have to lower the block and will favor counterattacks: Serge Gnabry and Leroy Sané are the most dangerous players in Germany. On the other hand, striker Timo Werner is the team’s top scorer, with four goals scored. All players are available for this game.


PREDICTION: Both teams to score / YES @ 1,60

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