SAN MARTIN S.J. VS VELEZ SARSFIELD PREVIEW & PREDICTION
San Martín San Juan and Vélez Sarsfield meet at Estadio Ingeniero Hilario Sánchez, in a match for the 26 th round of the First Division. The history of recent direct matches is favorable to the home team, which records 2 wins and 1 loss in the last 3 matches. The last direct confrontation between these two teams, on 04-08-2017, ended with the victory of Vélez Sarsfield by (2-1). In this match the home factor may be decisive, since the San Martin San Juan presents considerable differences in their results at home and as a visitor.
San Martin :
The home team is currently in the 19 th position of the league, with 30 points won, after 8 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Lanús, by (1-1). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Godoy Cruz, by (2-0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in away matches; against 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses at their stadium. For the championship, San Martín San Juan won 15 points out of 30 possible, after 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the last 10 home matches. The team allowed goals to the opponent in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition, so it has not been very strong defensively. In 25 matches in this competition, they only got 1 comeback in the 14 matches in which they suffered the first goal.
The San Martin de San Juan is a club that never won the Argentine Championship throughout its history, so it has no tradition in national football conquests. In the current season, the team is no longer at risk of remaining in the last positions of the Argentine Championship and being reduced, since it has ten points ahead of the fifteenth place, Temperley, however, has no chance of qualifying for a continental competition, since it is ten points away from the tenth place, the Belgrano. In the last five games he played at home, all for the Argentine Championship, four scored more than 1.5 goals. We believe that in this match San Martin de San Juan will maintain that pattern, since it will seek to finish the Argentine Championship with at least one victory at home.
Vélez Sarsfield:
The away team is currently in the 17 th position of the league, with 31 points won, after 8 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Temperley, by (2-4). In the last match, they won in a home match against Banfield, by (1-0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 13 goals scored and 16 conceded; against 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses at their stadium, with 16 goals scored and 21 conceded. In the last 10 away matches Vélez Sarsfield has won 2, tied 3 and lost 5 of the last matches, so he has won 9 points out of 30 possible. They have not been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 24 games in this tournament, he suffered the first goal 11 times and never got the comeback.
Velez Sarsfield is a club that has already won the Argentine Championship seven times throughout its history, the most recent title being the one of the 2012/13 season. In the current season, the visiting team is in the same situation as their rival, far from the last positions, but also to qualify for one of the South American competitions. In the last five games he played as a visitor, all for the Argentine Championship, there were always more than 1.5 goals, showing that even when playing away from home, the team plays open and ending with many goals. We believe that in this match Vélez will maintain this pattern and will play a more intense game with several goals, since he wants to finish the season in the best possible position. For this he needs victory.
PREDICTION: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.62
