Sportivo San Lorenzo and River Plate meet at Estadio Gunther Vogel, in a match for the 11th round of the Professional Division. In this stadium, the history of direct confrontations is favorable to the home team, which registers 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 3 matches. However, the last time these two teams played a match at this stadium was on 26‑08‑2020, in a match for the Professional Division that ended in a draw (0‑0). In this game, the home factor may be decisive, since both teams present considerable differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.
San Lorenzo:
The home team is currently in 9th position, with 11 points won, after 4 wins, 15 draws and 13 losses. In the penultimate match, they drew at home against Sol de América by (2‑2). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Cerro Porteño, by (1‑1). This is a stronger team with the support of its fans, since in the last 30 games it has registered 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses as a visitor; against 2 wins, 11 draws and 2 losses in his stadium. In their last 10 home games for the championship, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 1, drew 8 and lost 1, for which they won 11 points out of 30 possible. In the matches played in their stadium there are some more frequent results: at the end of the first 45 ‘0‑0 (6 out of 15 matches) and at the end of the match 1‑1 (6 out of 15 matches). His defense has not been very solid, since he has suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but his attack has scored regularly, as he has scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 32 games in this tournament, he suffered the first goal 17 times and never managed to come back.
If currently San Lorenzo is going through all this, it is due to the weak season it had. It makes no sense to want to make changes, because the championship is very close to the end. You can try to get a victory, but you will have to present higher quality football. From defense to attack everything has to go well, because otherwise it won’t be a surprise if you stumble.
River Plate :
After 10 wins, 7 draws and 15 losses, the visiting team is currently in 11th position, with 8 points won. In their last match, they tied with Nacional at home by (1‑1), after having drawn away in the previous match, in a match against General Díaz, by (0‑0). This is a team that curiously tends to achieve more positive results as a visitor than at home, since in the last 30 games they have recorded 4 victories, 4 draws and 7 defeats as a visitor, with 13 goals scored and 22 suffered; against 4 victories, 3 draws and 8 defeats in his stadium, with 15 goals scored and 24 suffered. In its last 10 away games for the championship, River Plate has registered 3 victories, 2 draws and 5 defeats, for which it won 11 points out of 30 possible. In their home league matches the most frequent final result at half ‑ time was 0‑0 (7 out of 16 matches). The team allowed goals to the opponent in 8 of the last 10 matches, so it has not presented great defensive strength, but its attack has scored regularly, since it has scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 32 games in this competition, he only managed 1 comeback in the 15 games in which he suffered the first goal. In the last 16 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 9 of their 24 goals between minutes (76’ ‑ 90 ‘).
River Plate is saying goodbye to this season and hopes to achieve a good result. You may have some difficulties, but you can get a positive result. To get a win, ideally you should make strong defensive markings when you don’t have the ball and be efficient in executing plays when you do have it. If you do everything correctly, it won’t be surprising if you add up all three points.
PREDICTION: Both teams to score / YES @ 1,72
