SAN LORENZO VS ATLETICO-MG PREVIEW & PREDICTION
San Lorenzo and Atlético Mineiro face at Estadio Pedro Bidegaín, in a match for this phase of the Copa Sudamericana (1st Round). This will be the first direct confrontation between these two teams, as they have never faced each other before. Attention to the home factor, since the San Lorenzo usually conquer different results at home and abroad.
San Lorenzo:
The home team will make its debut in this edition of the Copa Sudamericana with the intention of conquering a positive result, taking advantage of the home factor. This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in away matches; against 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses at their stadium. In the last match they played, for the First Division, they lost with Godoy Cruz at home (0-5). In the last 10 home matches the San Lorenzo has won 5, tied 3 and lost 2. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 11 of the last 24 matches have ended with Under 1,5 goals and 17 out of 24 have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 15 games, he never got the comeback in the 5 games in which he suffered the first goal. There is 1 period that stands out in the last 16 home matches for all competitions: they have suffered 4 of their 11 goals between minutes (0′-15 ‘).
The San Lorenzo, in 12 home games, won 6 wins, 4 draws and only 2 defeats, with an average per game of 1 goal scored and 0.75 suffered, demonstrating a better defensive performance. In all its games its best moment was in the last 15 minutes of the game, period in which it scored 8 goals, with highlight for N. Blandi, with 8 goals and 4 assists. His last participation in a continental tournament was for the Libertadores of 2017, when he reached the quarterfinals, being eliminated against Lanús in the whole of the two games, by 2-2, deciding the tie in a shoot-off on penalties, with a defeat by 4-3. Despite the last game with a bitter defeat against Godoy Cruz, before that defeat had a record of 5 games without losing, with 3 wins and 2 draws. In the last 10 home matches, the Over 1.5 goals happened 8 times.
Atlético Mineiro:
The visiting team will make its debut in this edition of the Copa Sudamericana with the intention of conquering a positive result, taking advantage of the home factor. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 13 conceded; against 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 29 goals scored and 16 conceded. The team comes to this match after a loss to Cruzeiro by (2-0). In the last 10 away matches Atlético Mineiro has won 6, tied 2 and lost 2. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches. In 15 games, they only got 1 comeback in the 4 games in which they suffered the first goal. In the last 20 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 11 of their 30 goals between minutes (76’-90 ‘).
The visiting team played in this condition a total of 8 games in the state championship, winning 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, leaving an average of 1.12 goals scored and 0.50 suffered, demonstrating quality in both sectors, mainly in the defensive. In their matches, their best moment was in the last 15 minutes of the game, a period in which they scored 7 goals, with a highlight for Ricardo Oliveira, with 6 goals and 2 assists. His last continental participation was for the Libertadores of 2017, when he reached the round of 16, being eliminated by Jorge Wilstermann, in the set of the two games, by 1-0. Bitter news was the defeat in the decision of the Mining Championship, against his rival Cruzeiro, by 2-0. It is important to remember that before that defeat recorded 8 consecutive victories. In their last 10 games in the home of the opponent, for various competitions, visitors recorded an optimal performance, with 6 wins, 2 draws and only 2 losses, with the final score confirming the Over 1.5 goals in 7 chances.
PREDICTION: Over 1.5 goals @ 1.41
