PREVIEW & PREDICTION – Reading vs Millwall 3/02/2018
Reading and Millwall meet at Madejski Stadium, in a match for the 30th day of the Championship. In the last head-to-head for this edition of the league, on 09-26-2017, Millwall won at home against (2-1). In this stadium, the history of direct confrontations is favorable to the home team, which records 1 win and 2 draws in the last 3 matches. However, the last time these two teams played a match in this stadium was on 22-08-2017, for the League Cup, in which Reading only reached the victory by (3-1), at the end of the extension. The goals of the game were scored by L. Bacuna (34 ‘), G. Evans (105’) and S. Smith (116 ‘), for Reading, and S. Ferguson (37′), for Millwall. In this game the home factor may be decisive, since both teams present considerable differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.
Reading:
After 8 wins, 8 draws and 13 losses, the home team is currently in the 18 th position of the league, with 32 points won. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Burton Albion by (1-3), after in the previous match they have lost (0-1) at home, against Brentford. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 20 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses at their stadium, with 15 goals scored and 19 conceded. For the championship, Reading won 8 points out of 30 possible points, after 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the last 10 home matches. In their home matches there are a few frequent results at half-time: 0-0 (5 out of 14 matches) and 0-1 (5 out of 14 matches). The team allowed goals to the opponent in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition, so it has not been very strong defensively. In 29 matches in this tournament, he suffered the first goal 15 times and never got the comeback. There is 1 period that stands out in the last 14 home matches for this competition: they have suffered 8 of their 18 goals between minutes (76’-90 ‘).
Reading comes to this game unmotivated, after a foreign defeat, 1-3, in the visit to Burton’s field. The home team usually acts in a traditional 5-3-2, favoring a faster game style, constant transitions, attacking, preferably, by the sides. It should be noted that, in this tactical scheme, the two most advanced players are Kermorgant and Bodvarsson. It should also be noted that coach Jaap Stam must have all players at his disposal.
Millwall:
The away team is currently in the 14 th position of the league, with 35 points won, after 8 wins, 11 draws and 10 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Leeds United, by (3-4). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Derby County, by (0-0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 7 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 11 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 25 goals scored and 13 conceded. For the league, Millwall won 7 points out of 30 possible points, after 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses in the last 10 home matches. In their away league matches the most frequent final result at halftime was 0-0 (5 out of 15 matches). They have not been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 8 of the last 14 matches for this competition have ended with Under 1,5 goals. In 29 matches in this competition, they have only 1 comeback in their 10 home matches.
The Millwall comes to this day after a draw at home, to zero, at the Derby reception. Unlike the rival of this day, the visiting team opts to act in a traditional 4-4-2, in which the two most advanced players are Elliott and Gregory. In spite of being acting outside the home, it is clear that the Millwall adopts a more offensive stance, maintaining its style of play. The technician Neil Harris must have all the staff at his disposal.
PREDICTION: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.68



