PREVIEW & PREDICTION – Newcastle vs Manchester United 11/02/2018

PREVIEW & PREDICTION – Newcastle vs Manchester United 11/02/2018

Newcastle United and Manchester United meet at St. James’ Park, in a match for the 27 th round of the Premier League. Manchester United won at home (4-1) when they last met in this edition of the league, on 11-18-2017. In this stadium, the history of direct confrontations is favorable to the visiting team, which records 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 3 matches. However, the last time these two teams played a match at this stadium was on 01-12-2016, for the Premier League, which ended in a draw by (3-3). The goals of the match were scored by G. Wijnaldum (42 ‘), A. Mitrović (67’) and P. Dummett (90 ‘), for Newcastle United, and W. Rooney (9’ e 79 ‘) and J. Lingard (38 ‘), for Manchester United. In this game the home factor may be decisive, since Manchester United presents considerable differences in their results at home and as a visitor.

The home team is currently in the 16th position, with 25 points won, after 6 wins, 7 draws and 13 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Burnley, by (1-1). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Crystal Palace, by (1-1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in away matches; against 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses at their stadium. For the league, Newcastle United won 7 points out of 30 possible points, after 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses in the last 10 home matches.

For this competition, he does not win in his stadium 8 games ago. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half-time was the 0-0 (6 out of 13 matches). Defensive consistency has not been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches for this competition there is a tendency for few goals, since 9 of the last 13 matches have ended with less than 3 goals. In 26 matches in this competition, they have only 1 comeback in the 14 matches they suffered in the first goal. There is 1 period that stands out in the last 13 home matches for this competition: they have scored 5 of their 11 goals between minutes (61’-75 ‘).

Newcastle have already experienced worse times in this edition of the English Championship, but that does not mean that the club is going through a good phase, as it won only one victory in the last seven games. On the last day, he played a balanced game against Crystal Palace, but failed many passes and ended almost half of the opponent’s time, thus starting a draw away from home. As it has been possible to perceive, mainly in the last confrontations, the team has been having many difficulties in the offensive sector, which is currently among the seven worst in the competition. Another weak point of the club is in possession of the ball, an issue in which it has the second worst average of the championship, thus facilitating the work of the opponent. The 4-4-1-1 should be the tactical scheme adopted for this duel, with highlight for Kenedy in midfield.

After 17 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses, the away team is currently in the 2 nd position, with 56 points won. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Tottenham Hotspur, by (2-0). In the last match, they won in a home match against Huddersfield Town, by (2-0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in away matches; against 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss at their stadium. For the league, Manchester United won 17 points out of 30 possible points, after 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 10 home matches. Their attack has scored regularly, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 26 matches in this competition, they have only 1 comeback in the 8 matches they have conceded the first goal.

Manchester United continues to make a great campaign in this edition of the English championship, taking into account that it won four victories in the last five days. The last of these occurred at home, before Huddersfield Town, in a match in which he was far superior to the opponent, finishing with 74% possession of the ball and four times more completions, thus adding another three points against his fans. As was evident in that game, the visiting team is characterized by a very consistent defense, which did not suffer goals in fifteen games and is currently the best in the competition. As a visitor, he owns the fourth best campaign and in that condition suffered only thirteen goals in thirteen matches. It is likely that the coach will organize the team in 4-2-3-1, with Lukaku standing out in the attack.


PREDICTION: Manchester United to win @ 1.67

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