Very good to everyone. We are going to the 2nd B division of Spain (group I), specifically, the match that will face the Navalcarnero (penultimate classified) against the Cultural Leonesa (5th). I will enter the victory of the visitors for several reasons that I will explain below.
The Navalcarnero is penultimate (logically in direct descent), is the team most thrashed of the competition (41 goals conceded in 26 games), the last 10 games: 1 win (against the bottom, Depor B) / 1 draw and 8 defeats And now data as local: it is the third worst local (15 points achieved), only surpassed by Depor B (bottom) and Rapido de Bouzas (antepenultimate) both with 14 points. But in addition, the Navalcarnero as home is the third most scored team … is 8 points of salvation and in addition to the aforementioned data, the feelings it conveys is that next season will be in the 3rd division.
For its part, the Cultural Leonesa, as I said, is in 5th place, just one point of the fourth classified (square that gives access to the playoff of promotion to 2nd division). To cite as general data that the whole of Leon is the fourth most goalscorers team and also the fourth least thrashed in that category. Of their last 10 games we have: 4 wins / 5 draws and 1 loss. And now we go with data as a visitor (in my opinion very important for the pick): it is the best visiting team in the category (tied with the Aletico de Madrid B) with 20 points in 15 games. But also, at home, is the third most goalscorers team and the second least scored …
Teams with objectives and quality of very different templates (the local with the difficult mission of saving the category and the Cultural with the aim of promoting again to 2nd division). As anecdotal data say that in the first leg won the Cultural 3-1.
For all the aforementioned I think that to this quota it is necessary to risk and enter with a cautious stake but bearing in mind that we start with serious possibilities of greening. Of not being this category (always complex and with some surprise in each day) would enter with stake 2 or 2,5 but in the case of Second Division B I consider that a 1.5 stake is sufficient and the most advisable. And as I always say, in addition to the statistics and sensations other variables influence.
PREDICTION: Leonesa to win @ 1,80
