We are going to the penultimate day of the League 123 (penultimate), specifically, the game that will face Lugo against Tenerife. I enter the double opportunity in favor of the Galician team so we will have green with a 66% probability.
Lugo is in 18th place with 45 points. He is only 3 points ahead of the 19th (downhill). After four consecutive days without knowing the defeat (2 wins and 2 draws), the whole Lugo has managed to get out of relegation places and depend on himself to save himself. In principle winning one of these last two matches would save them since they have a better overall goal average (-8) than Majadahonda (-15). Let’s go with numbers at home: the Lugo has added 29 points in 20 games in the Anxo Carro with 29 goals scored and 29 goals conceded. He is usually a rock team in his fiefdom and, although this season does not have as good numbers as in previous years, I trust that in the case of his last match against his fans, how much he plays and the good results of the last few days help At least take a draw.
The Tenerife is placed 17 ° (one place above the Lugo) with 46 points. He has a mattress of 4 points above the descent and very badly he would have to give him the things to descend. Even losing both matches could be saved. They play the last day in their field against Zaragoza (team with nothing already in play). I think they will manage to save themselves but their numbers as a visitor (hence my bet) do not invite optimism. Only 14 points obtained in 20 games (4th worst visitor since Reus has been excluded from the competition for a while), 15 goals in favor (5 th least goalscorer) and 29 goals against. Only 2 victories at home! (one in practice since the other was without playing, against Reus who is excluded). Numbers that support, in my opinion, the pick.
The Lugo is in a good dynamic (the victory against Depor fifteen days ago was an important step at the qualifying and moral level), a draw would be good for Tenerife and Lugo would not be bad either as they will play against Nastic (team already descended) the last working day. With all the above and covering the double opportunity to a decent share to even combine, I enter with some confidence.
Yes, as I always say, these are bets and in addition to numbers and analysis other variables are needed so, caution. Thanks to those who follow me and make it green.
PREDICTION: Over 1,5 goals @ 1,40
