Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund measure forces at Wirsol Rhein-Neckar-Arena, in a match for the 17th round of the Bundesliga. In this stadium, the history of direct confrontations is favorable to the home team, which records 1 victory and 4 draws in the last 5 games. However, the last time these two teams played a game at this stadium was on 22‑09-2018, in a match for the Bundesliga that ended in a draw for (1‑1). The goals of the match were scored by Joelinton (44 ‘), for Hoffenheim, and C. Pulisic (84’), for Borussia Dortmund. In this match, the home factor may be decisive, since Hoffenheim has considerable differences in its results at home and as a visitor.
Hoffenheim:
After 7 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, the home team is currently in 8th position, with 24 points won. In their last match, they won against Union Berlin by (0-2), after in the previous match they lost by (2-4) at home, in a match against Augsburg. This is a team that curiously has been stronger as a visitor than in their home matches, since in the last 30 matches they have recorded 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses as a visitor; against 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in his stadium. In his last 8 home games for the championship Hoffenheim won 3, drew 1 and lost 4, so he won 10 points in 24 possible. In their home league games the most frequent final result at the break was 0-1 (3 in 8 games). The team allowed goals to the opponent in 7 of the last 10 games, so he has not presented great defensive strength, but his attack has scored regularly, since he always scored at least one goal in the last 10 games for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 8 of their last 8 matches for this competition have ended with Over 1.5 goals. In 16 games in the competition, he suffered the first goal 8 times and only got 2 comebacks.
Hoffenheim comes to this motivated match, after a 0-2 victory as a visitor against the Berlin Union: Bebou and Baumgartner scored the victory goals. The best quality of the local team is the way it reacts in a disadvantageous situation. The house team generally acts in a tactical system in 4-3-3, favoring rapid transitions, mainly through the wings. In this tactical scheme, the three men responsible for launching panic in the rival defense are Bebou, Kramaric and Adamyan. The Hoffenheim coach should not be able to count on Belfodil and Zuber, for being injured.
Borussia Dortmund:
After 8 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses, the away team is currently in 3rd position, with 30 points won. In their last match, they tied with RB Leipzig at home by (3‑3), after in the previous match they had won out, in a match against Mainz 05, by (0-4). This is a team that presents similar results at home and abroad, so it is not usually affected by the home factor, since in the last 30 matches it records 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses as a visitor; against 11 wins and 4 draws in his stadium. In his last 8 away matches for the championship, Borussia Dortmund records 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, so he won 12 points in 24 possible. His attack has scored regularly, as he scored goals in 8 of the last 10 games for this competition. In 16 games in this tournament, he suffered the first goal 6 times, but got the comeback in 2.
Dortmund enters this performance after a draw at home, by 3×3, against Leipzig. Unlike the opponent of this match, the visual team must act in a tactical system in 5-2-3, with the objective of taking advantage of the progression on the court through short passes. Therefore, Dortmund is expected to have a more offensive stance, as it has a higher quality workforce. The Dortmund coach cannot count on Witsel, Schmelzer and Delaney for injuries.
PREDICTION: Dortmund to win @ 1,81
