GUABIRA VS LDU QUITO PREVIEW & PREDICTION
Guabirá and LDU Quito meet at Estadio Gilberto Parada, in a return match of this phase of the Copa Sudamericana (1st Round), after in the first leg the LDU Quito won at home by (2-1). In this game the home factor may be decisive, since both teams present considerable differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.
Guabirá:
Despite the disadvantage of 1 goal in the first leg, the home team will try to take advantage of having scored 1 goal away in that match. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 draws and 12 losses in away matches, with 15 goals scored and 38 conceded; against 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 12 conceded. The team comes to this match after a home victory over Aurora by (1-0). In the last 10 home matches for all competitions, Guabirá won 5, drew 3 and lost 2. Defensive consistency has not been their best, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored regularity, as they scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches. In 15 games, he suffered the first goal 7 times and never got the comeback.
The Guabirá is a club that never managed to be a continental tournament champion, having as the most important conquest in its history two cups of the National B, the second division of Bolivian football, conquered in the seasons of 2012/13 and 2015/16. To reach the Copa Sudamericana this year, the team finished the Bolivian Championship in the second best position among the teams that did not qualify for the Copa Libertadores. In the last five games played at home, all for the Bolivian Championship, in four of them the Guabira suffered goals. We believe that in this confrontation that pattern will remain, since the Guabira, despite being in need of a victory, has a weak defensive sector, which will hardly manage to sustain the traditionally strong LDU.
LDU Quito:
The away team comes to this second leg with an advantage of 1 goal, but suffered 1 goal at home in the first leg. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in away matches; against 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses at their stadium. The team comes to this match after a win away with Barcelona by (0-1). In the last 10 away matches for all competitions, LDU Quito has won 6 and lost 4. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have always scored at least one goal in the last 10 matches. This is a team that usually scores many times first: opened the scoring in 9 of its last 11 games, of these 9 came to rest in advantage in 5 and always managed to maintain the advantage until the end of the 90 ‘.
The LDU is an Ecuadorian club that counts among the most important titles ten conquests of the First A (Ecuadorian Championship), a title of the Copa Libertadores in 2008, year in which he was FIFA World Cup runner-up and a title of the Copa Sudamericana in 2009, therefore, is a club that has a tradition in the dispute of international tournaments. When analyzing their last games away from home by the First A, we see that they usually win by minimum score in their matches. Now taking this observation to the next match of the Copa Sudamericana against Guabirá, we know that the LDU needs to make a goal to stay in a more comfortable situation, a goal that will give you peace of mind to be able to suffer two goals and take the match for a shoot-off on penalties.
PREDICTION: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.60
