Goytacaz and América RJ meet at Estádio Ary de Oliveira and Souza, in a match for the 4th round of the Carioca 1. The history of direct confrontations played in this stadium is favorable to the home team, which in the last 4 matches won 2 and tied 2. Indeed, the last time these two teams played a game in this stadium, on 17-02-2018, for Carioca 1, Goytacaz won by (3-1). Luquinha (45 ‘e 71’) and Vico Soares (90 ‘) scored the goals of the match, for Goytacaz, and Pessanha (52’), for América RJ. Particular attention is required for the home / away condition, since both teams present significantly different results at home and abroad.
Goytacaz:
The home team is currently in the 6 th position, with 1 point won, after 1 draw and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied at home against American by (1-1). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Resende, by (1-0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in away matches; against 10 wins and 5 draws in his stadium. In the last 5 home matches Goytacaz has a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss. The team has conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, so their defense needs to improve, but their attack has scored regularly, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches.
The Goytacaz is a club that last season won the second division of the Carioca Championship and in 1985 was runner-up of the Serie B of the Brazilian Championship, in addition to having six titles of the Fluminense Championship. In last season, the team finished the first round of the Carioca Championship in third place and, therefore, did not manage to stay in the competition. In the last nine games that the Goytacaz played at home, for more than one competition, eight of them scored more than 1.5 goals. We believe that in this match the Goytacaz, for being playing at home, will have conditions to score goals, but also may suffer goals from his opponent, thus favoring an open game.
America RJ:
After 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss, the away team is currently in the 3 rd position, with 4 points won. In the last match, they have won at home against Macaé by (1-0), after in the previous match they have tied at home, against Resende, by (1-1). This is a team that, oddly enough, was better outside than at home, as in the last 30 matches they register 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in away matches; against 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses at their stadium. In their last match away from home in this competition they lost (1-0) to American. In the last 10 away matches América RJ has 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses. Their attack has scored regularly, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches.
The América-RJ is a club that has already won the Carioca Championship seven times throughout its history, being the most recent title won in the 1960 season, besides having a Guanabara Cup title (1974) and a title of the Rio Cup in 1982. This year, the team played the second division of the Carioca Championship and reached the final, in which they defeated the American by 0x1, becoming the champion of the competition. In the last nine games that América-RJ played as a visitor, for more than one competition, seven of them scored more than 1.5 goals and in five they scored more than 2.5 goals. We believe that in this match the América-RJ, even playing away from home, will have conditions to score goals and also favor a more open game.
PREDICTION: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.75
