FC Porto vs Moreirense PREVIEW & PREDICTION 20/07/2020

Porto and Moreirense meet forces at Estádio Do Dragão, in a match for the 33rd matchday of the Primeira Liga. In the last head ‑ to ‑ head for this edition of the league, on 10‑01‑2020, Porto won out by (2‑4). The history of direct confrontations played in this stadium is favorable to the home team, which in the last 5 games has won 5. Indeed, the last time these two teams played a match in this stadium, on 18‑12‑2018, for Taça de Portugal, Porto won by (4‑3). The goals of the match were scored by Felipe (13 ‘), Hernâni (16’) and M. Marega (89 ‘e 65’), for Porto, and D. Texeira (8 ‘), Iago Santos (45’) and Heriberto Tavares (90 ‘), for the Moreirense. The home / away condition deserves particular attention, since despite this being a match between 1st and 8th in the league table, it is actually a match between the 1st ranked in home matches and the 15th in away matches.

Porto :

The home team is currently in 1st position, with 60 points won, after 19 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Santa Clara, by (0‑2). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Rio Ave, by (1‑1). This is a team little affected by the home factor, that is, it usually conquers as many points at home as outside. In his last matches he scored 26 goals and suffered 6 at home, against 24 scored and 10 suffered as a visitor. For the championship, Porto conquered 25 points in 30 possible, after 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 10 matches that they played in their stadium. The team allowed goals to the opponent in 7 of the last 10 games, so it has not presented great defensive solidity, but its attack has marked regularly, since it has always scored at least one goal in the last 10 games for this competition. This is a team that usually scores many times first: they opened the scoring in 18 of their last 24 matches for the Primeira Liga, of these 18 they came to the break in advantage in 15 and managed to maintain the advantage until the end of the 90 ‘in 17 In 24 matches in the competition, he suffered the first goal 6 times, but managed the comeback in 2.

The FC Porto team comes to this game after celebrations of winning the title of national champion on the 29th of its history. At the moment, the “dragons” lead the league table with 79 points, an eight-point advantage over rival and predecessor Benfica. In the last round, the team led by coach Sérgio Conceição only needed a draw in the “classic”, played at Estádio do Dragão, against Sporting, but the team responded positively and won, 2-0, with goals from Danilo ( 64 ‘) and Marega (90 + 1′). In addition to crowning the new Portuguese champion, this was FC Porto’s fifth consecutive win, which is having a great time in form, with two rounds remaining. On August 1, the next big commitment is the final of the Portuguese Cup, against Benfica.

Moreirense :

The visiting team is currently in 8th position, with 30 points won, after 7 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Benfica, by (1‑1). In the last match, they won at home against Marítimo, by (2‑0). This is a team that tends to be more competitive at home, since they have won 9 points away and 21 in their stadium, with 14 goals scored and 17 suffered on the road, against 20 goals scored and 15 suffered at home. For the championship, Moreirense conquered 8 points in 30 possible, after 1 victory, 5 draws and 4 defeats in the last 10 games that he played as a visitor. In their away matches for the league, the most frequent final result at half-time was 0‑0 (5 in 12 matches). The team allowed goals to the opponent in 9 of the last 10 matches, so it has not had great defensive strength, but its attack has marked regularly, since it has scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 24 games in this competition, he only got 2 comebacks in the 12 games in which he suffered the first goal. In the last 12 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 6 of their 14 goals between minutes (76’ ‑ 90 ‘).

The Moreirense team reaches this penultimate round with the best record of all those who started the sports season fighting for survival in the first echelon of Portuguese football. In eighth place in the league table, the “canons” continue to record 43 points, one more than Gil Vicente (ninth) and only three less than Vitória de Guimarães (seventh). Without losing for six consecutive games, the team led by coach Ricardo Soares goes to Dragão after the draw, in the last round, against Paços de Ferreira, 1-1. Moreirense even scored first, after a penalty kick converted by central defender Steven Vitória, in the 36th minute.


PREDICTION: FC Porto to win @ 1,35

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