Estudiantes Mérida and Argentinos Juniors meet at the Estadio Olímpico Metropolitano de Mérida, in a return match for this phase of the Copa Sudamericana (1st Round), after the victory at home of Argentinos Juniors by (2-0) in the match of Going. Attention to the home factor, since the Students Mérida usually conquer different results at home and abroad.
Estudiantes Merida:
The home team comes to this second leg with a disadvantage of 2 goals, in addition to the disadvantage of not scoring goals as a visitor in the first leg. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 12 goals scored and 18 conceded; against 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 28 goals scored and 10 conceded. In the last match they played, for the First Division, they drew with Carabobo by (0-0). In the last 10 home matches Estudiantes Mérida has 7 wins and 3 draws. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 20 of the last 22 matches they have played have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 15 matches, they suffered the first goal 6 times and only managed 1 comeback. There is 1 period that stands out in the last 20 home matches for all competitions: they have suffered 6 of their 16 goals between minutes (31′-45 ‘).
The Estudiantes Mérida team ended up losing away from home in the first leg and now they need a victory by three or more goals difference if they want to stay in the competition. For acting with the support of his fans, Estudiantes Mérida will have to take risks in the game, since he needs to score many goals, but he can not be defensively neglected, so as not to be surprised in counterattacks and complicate everything even more. The technician must use what is best available to him, therefore, he will present a very competitive team in the field.
Argentinos Juniors:
The away team comes to this second leg with an advantage of 2 goals, but suffered 0 goals at home in the first leg. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in away matches; against 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses at their stadium. The team comes to this match after a loss to the Patronato by (2-1). In the last 10 away matches Argentinos Juniors has won 3, tied 2 and lost 5. Defensive consistency has not been their best, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored regularly, since he scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches. In their home matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 6 of the last 14 matches have ended with Under 1,5 goals and 9 out of 14 have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 15 matches, he suffered the first goal 6 times, but got the comeback in 2. In the last 14 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period highlighted: he scored 4 of his 11 goals between the minutes (46′-60 ‘ ).
Playing away from home and with a good lead on the scoreboard, the Argentinos Juniors team will try to control the game, having possession of the ball and trying to score defensively when it does not. We believe that the visiting team will build a strong defensive scheme, trying to neutralize the offensive plays of the owners of the house. The coach must present a team with a more defensive posture on the field, since he knows that if he does not suffer goals he will be qualified for the next phase.
PREDICTION: Over 2,5 goals @ 1,42
