Dortmund vs Mainz PREVIEW & PREDICTION 17/06/2020

On Wednesday, starting with 19:30, the Dortmund – Mainz match will be played, within the 32nd round of the Bundesliga. In the tour, Dortmund won 4-0 at Mainz, due to the goals scored by Reus, Hazard, Sancho and Schulz. After Mainz’s surprising victory over Signal Iduna Park in 2018, the “yellow-blacks” won the last 3 direct matches with a total goal difference of 8-2.

Dortmund won a very important match in Dusseldorf, through the goal scored by Erling Braut Haaland in the 90 + 5 minute, after the hosts had 4 shots on goal and two bars. Lucien Favre’s students reach 66 points in the standings, 7 points behind the Bayern leader and keep a 4-point advantage over Leipzig, with which they will duel in the 33rd round. Dortmund had an almost flawless run on Signal Iduna Park this season, collecting 11 wins, 3 draws and one defeat, 0-1 with Bayern. Haaland scored in Dusseldorf for the 11th time in the Bundesliga, scoring a hit every 72 minutes on the field.

After the victory in Frankfurt, Mainz disappointed his fans and lost to Augsburg at home, score 1-0 last weekend. The “white-reds” had 18 goal situations in front of the Bavarians but failed to equalize after being led since minute 1. Thus, Mainz remains on the 15th place in the hierarchy this season, with 31 points, having a 3 points ahead of Dusseldorf, who occupy the play-off place to stay in the Bundesliga. The group coached by Achim Beierlorzer lacked aggression with Augsburg and committed only 8 fouls, while it was at “odds” 400 after the first 30 stages.

An easy match is expected for Dortmund, which will aim to keep the distance of 4 points from Leipzig, before the direct match. Mainz could hardly have opportunities to score, especially if we take into account that in the tour dispute, Burki never had to intervene.

– Dortmund have scored 82 goals this season, only Bayern (92) has more;
– The “yellow-blacks” received 37 yellow cards, the fewest in the Bundesliga;
– Mainz claimed to have seen most of the ball, and the statistics agreed with them – possession being 45.4%;
– “White-red” scored 7 goals in fixed phases, only Bremen has fewer (5);

Dortmund: Bürki – Piszczek (c), Hummels, Akanji – Hakimi, Can, Witsel, Guerreiro – Sancho, Haaland, Hazard
Absent: Dahoud, Delaney, Zagadou
Coach: Lucien Favre

Mainz: Müller – Baku, St. Juste, Niakhate, Brosinski – Barreiro, Latza (c) – Öztunali, Boetius, Quaison – Mateta
Absent: Awoniyi, Fernandes, Zentner
Coach: Achim Beierlorzer


PREDICTION: Over 3,5 goals @ 1,95

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