I go to this match of the 5th round of the Swedish league (Allsvenskan) in which the leader, Djurgarden (1st) and IFK Norrkoping (9th) face each other.
I’m going to bet that the leader in his stadium wins at a 2.15 odds as the Luckia betting house offers us. Other houses like Betway and Betsson offer us the same fee. At bet365 the fee is 2.05.
Two main reasons lead me to bet on Djurgarden:
1) First of all, his good start to the season, in which he tied on Matchday 1 and the remaining three days, has achieved three victories, which shows that the team is in a good moment.
2) Second, the field factor, because it plays at home and that is always something that I think can give a little bit of favoritism to the team.
In front will be IFK Norrkoping, which in 4 days has 1 loss, 2 draws and 1 victory. The data shows that until now it is a team that is not showing very solid and hence reinforces my thinking of betting against.
Well, these are my arguments to bet on the victory of the local team. I am going to trust that Djurgarden prolongs his initial winning streak and gets the victory to continue leading the table and I will do it with stake 1 because the 2.15 odds is good enough and I do not want to allocate more units because I prefer to go with caution. It seems that after a bad start to the month I am now on a good run and see if I can keep it going.
Good luck to whoever decides to follow me and we are going for the victory of Djurgarden.
PREDICTION: Djurgarden to win @ 2,04
