Brighton vs Liverpool PREVIEW & PREDICTION 28/11/2020

On Saturday, at 12:30, Brighton and Liverpool meet in the 10th round of the Premier League, at AmEx Stadium. The hosts lack the services of Lamptey (suspended), Mac Allister, Propper, Trossard and Walton (injured), and Florin Andone has older knee problems and is not included in the group. The “Cormorants” come after a less happy match.

Liverpool play at Brighton without Alexander-Arnold, Gomez, Oxlade-Chamberlain, Shaqiri, Van Dijk, Alcantara, Henderson and Keita, so Jurgen Klopp needs to find effective replacements. “It has become a habit for us to have team problems, but we are the champion team and we have to prove that we can play in any conditions,” said the German manager, who has a very good record against Brighton. However, Liverpool seem slightly hesitant this season.

In the middle of the week, Liverpool lost the duel in the Champions League with Atalanta (0-2), in a match in which the reserves of Tsimikas, Williams, Jones and Origi did not live up to expectations. Liverpool ended the game without a shot on goal, and the calculations in her group became a bit complicated. However, it is unlikely that the English will have emotions about the qualification.

Internally, the “cormorants” maintain a high bar, with victories against West Ham (2-1) and Leicester (3-0), but also with a draw at Manchester City (1-1). Liverpool also boasts eight consecutive victories in matches with Brighton, so the “seagulls” have few statistical arguments before this duel. The white-reds prevailed with 3-1, 2-1, 1-0, 1-0, 4-0, 5-1, 6-1 and 2-1, being always superior from all points of view. We expect to see a good rhythm and an exciting match even on the weekend.

However, Brighton have had only one defeat in the last five games, although they did not have an easy schedule at all: they drew 1-1 with Palace and WBA, made it 0-0 with Burnley, defeated Aston Villa (2-1). away and gave up hard with Tottenham (1-2). In the last stage, Graham Potter’s team won “outside” with the goals of Welbeck (’12) and March (’56), after a game dominated by the hosts. Liverpool is in 2nd place in the Premier League (goal average 21-16), while Brighton is in 16th place (goal average 13-15). Brighton has only two successes in the current season in England.

Even if it is not great in the standings, Brighton’s game is in constant progress in recent years. The white-blue team is on the 8th place in the number of sutures sent in the championship (112), the 10th place in the ball touches (6106), the 10th place in the number of passes (4492) and the 6th place in the number of great missed opportunities (10) . There are chapters in which Brighton was clearly ahead two or three seasons ago!

Only one aspect seems to be against Liverpool, which has won only one of the four away games of this season! With Maupay and Welbeck in attack, Brighton can be a dangerous team at the weekend, and Diogo Jota is the most likely scorer of the “treasures”, showing good form lately. It is no less true that Brighton has received 3+ goals in 5 of the last 8 matches played at home, in BPL. Don’t forget to take advantage of the 15% bonus offered by Fortuna online for your football match tickets!

Brighton & Hove Albion: Ryan; White, Dunk, Webster; Veltman, Bissouma, Gross, March; Trossard; Welbeck, Maupay
Coach: Graham Potter
Liverpool: Alisson; N Williams, Matip, Fabinho, Robertson; Milner, Wijnaldum; Salah, Firmino, Mane; Jota
Coach: Jurgen Klopp

In 5 of the last 6 matches played by Brighton, both teams scored;
At least two goals have been scored in Liverpool’s last 7 consecutive matches;
Liverpool has 8 victories in as many direct matches with Brighton;
Brighton has only one success in the last 8 matches played internally;
Liverpool have not scored in the 76th minute in this season;


PREDICTION: Liverpool to win @ 1,64

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