Bahia and Botafogo meet at Arena Fonte Nova, in a match for the 11 th round of Serie A. In this stadium, the history of direct confrontations indicates a total balance between these two teams, since there was 1 draw and 1 win for each team in the last 3 matches. However, the last time these two teams played a match at this stadium was on 27-08-2017, for Serie A, which ended with a Botafogo victory by (1-2). The goals of the match were scored by Renê Júnior (16 ‘), for Bahia, and Roger (13′) and Bruno Silva (90 ‘), for Botafogo. In this match the home factor may be decisive, since the Bahia presents considerable differences in their results at home and as a visitor.
Bahia:
After 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, the home team is currently in the 19th position, with 8 points won. In the last match, they lost in an away match against Paraná by (1-0), after in the previous match they lost (0-2) at home, against Grêmio. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in away matches; against 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss at their stadium. For the championship, Bahia won 8 points out of 15 possible points, after 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 5 home matches. They have not been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, and their offense has not been very effective, as they have not scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 10 matches in this competition, he never got the comeback in the 6 games in which he suffered the first goal.
The Bahia is a club with a certain tradition in Brazilian football, since throughout its history it conquered the Serie A of the Brazilian championship twice, in 1959 and 1988. In the Baiano Championship this year, the team managed to be champion to win the grand final by a 3×1 aggregate against Vitória. In the Serie A of the Brazilian championship of 2018, the team is trying to flee the relegation zone, thanks to a bad start. In the last six games of the Bay playing at home for the Serie A of the Brazilian championship, most of them were scored more than 1.5 goals, showing that the team usually plays offensively intense games. So, we believe that in this match the boss will be maintained, since Bahia needs the victory and therefore will maintain his offensive style, despite having changed coach.
Botafogo:
The away team is currently in the 12 th position of the league, with 13 points won, after 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Vasco da Gama, by (1-2). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Ceará, by (0-0). This is a team that usually shows similar results in home and away matches, so it is not usually affected by the home factor, as in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in away matches; against 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses at their stadium. In the last 5 away matches for the championship Botafogo has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, so they have won 4 points out of 15 possible. They have not been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 10 matches in this tournament, he suffered the first goal 5 times and never got the comeback.
Botafogo is a club that has already won twice the title of the Brazilian championship of Serie A, the last in 1995. With twenty titles in the Rio de Janeiro championship, it is one of the great clubs of the State of Rio de Janeiro. Currently, in the 2018 season, the team was Rio de Janeiro champion, defeating Vasco da Gama in the final. For the Brazilian Championship of Serie A, the team is in the middle of the table and has been oscillating between victories, defeats and draws. When analyzing the occurrence of goals in their matches, we see that Botafogo usually plays the majority of its games with more than 1.5 goals scored. Now, against the Bay, which is naturally a very offensive team in its stadium, so we believe it will be a game with more than 1.5 goals scored.
PREDICTION: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.65
