AVAI VS GOIAS PREVIEW & PREDICTION
Avai and Goiás meet at Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva, in a match for this phase of the Copa do Brasil (4th Round). The record of direct confrontations of the last 3 years is favorable to the home team, which in the last 4 matches won 3 and lost 1. The last direct confrontation between these two teams, on 05-10-2016, ended with victory of Avaí by (2-0). Particular attention is required for the home / away condition, since both teams present significantly different results at home and abroad.
Avai:
Until reaching this stage of the Copa do Brasil (4th Round), the home team eliminated: Fluminense, Juventude and Ceilândia. This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in away matches; against 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses at their stadium. In the last match they played, for Catarinense, they tied with Chapecoense at home (2-2). In the last 10 home matches Avai has 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses.
For this competition, it records a sequence of 4 victories in its last matches. Their attack has scored regularly, since they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 4 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 13 of the last 31 matches have ended with Under 1,5 goals and 20 out of 31 have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 15 matches, they suffered the first goal 5 times and only managed 1 comeback.
Avaí’s team will need to show a strong football inside the field, because it has the objective of achieving a good advantage in the scoreboard, since the return game will be far from their fans, where things will be more complicated. The home team will have to risk in the attack, but without neglecting defensively, not to suffer goals. In the previous phase, the Avai team surprised and eliminated the Fluminense team after defeating the two matches. The local coach should not have important absences for this round, then, he will take to the field what he has of the best available to him.
Goiás:
The visiting team reaches this stage of the Copa do Brasil (4th Round) after having played previous rounds with: Coritiba, Boa and Sinop. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 9 conceded. The team comes to this match after a win at home with the Aparecidense by (3-1). In the last 10 games played away for all competitions, Goiás won 3, drew 4 and lost 3. Their defense has been very strong, as they only suffered goals in 1 of the last 4 matches, and their attack has scored with regularity, as they have scored goals in 3 of the last 4 matches for this competition. In 15 matches, they suffered the first goal 5 times and only managed 1 comeback. There is 1 period that stands out in the last 17 away matches for all competitions: they have scored 7 of their 18 goals between minutes (16′-30 ‘).
The Goias team comes to this phase with the purpose of making two good games and thus channel their classification for the next phase. In this first leg, the visiting team knows that they will have a very complicated duel and that they will have to be concentrated throughout the 90 minutes of the game, in order to try to win at least one draw. In the previous phase the Goias team eliminated Coritiba, after winning the first duel inside the home and achieving a draw in the return game, away from their supporters. The visiting coach must take a team with a more defensive posture to the field.
PREDICTION: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.53
