Avaí and Cruzeiro meet at Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva, in a match for the 30th round of Serie B. In the last direct match for this edition of the league, on 26‑09‑2020, Avaí won away by (0 -1). The record of direct confrontations in the last 3 years is favorable to the home team, which in the last 5 matches won 2 and tied 3. The home / away condition deserves particular attention, since despite this being a match between 7th and 10th in the league table, it is actually a confrontation between the 13th ranked in home games and the 3rd away.
Avaí :
After 13 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses, the home team is currently in 7th position, with 43 points won. In their last match, they beat Sampaio Corrêa away by (0‑1), after having won (1‑2) away in the previous match, in a match against Ponte Preta. This is a team little affected by the home factor, since they achieved similar results at home and abroad. For the championship, Avaí conquered 16 points out of a possible 30, after 5 victories, 1 draw and 4 defeats in the last 10 games they played in their stadium. In their home league matches the most frequent final result at half ‑ time was 0‑0 (6 out of 14 matches). Their defense has not been very strong, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored regularly, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 29 games in this competition, he only managed 2 comebacks in the 16 games in which he conceded the first goal. In the last 14 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 6 of their 15 goals between minutes (31′ ‑ 45 ‘).
Avaí receives Cruzeiro and seeks the third consecutive victory to stay alive in the fight for promotion to Serie A of the Brazilian championship. The Santa Catarina club must keep a lot of attention in the midfield, with intense pressure not to give space to the rival, in addition to attacking with speed on the flanks.
Cruzeiro :
The visiting team is currently in 10th position, with 39 points won, after 12 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses. In the penultimate match, they won away against Vitória by (0‑1). In the last match, they tied at home against CSA by (1‑1). This is a team that tends to achieve more positive results away from home than at home, as they won 25 points away and 20 at home, with 13 goals scored and 10 suffered as away, against 21 goals scored and 16 suffered at home. In its last 10 away matches for the championship, Cruzeiro has recorded 5 victories, 3 draws and 2 defeats, for which it won 18 points out of 30 possible.
For this competition, they have not lost any of the last 8 away matches. In their home matches there are some frequent results: at half-time 0‑0 (7 out of 14 matches) and at the end of the match 0‑1 (5 out of 14 matches). His attack has scored regularly, as he has scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 11 of the last 14 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 29 games in this competition, he only managed 1 comeback in the 13 games in which he conceded the first goal. In the last 14 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 4 of their 10 goals between minutes (61’ ‑ 75 ‘).
Cruzeiro’s focus in this match should be the defensive system, with an emphasis on strong defensive markings in the midfield. To add the three points, the Minas Gerais team can bet on counterattacks, with speed and determination to surprise Avaí. Although it is not good because of the team’s situation in the table, a draw can be a good result for Cruzeiro.
PREDICTION: Cruzeiro to win @ 2,15
