Ath Bilbao vs Granada CF PREVIEW & PREDICTION 12/02/2020

We are going with the first semifinal of this beautiful Copa del Rey that has left us with the new format. Athletic and Granada will face each other in San Mamés in search of reaching the final of the competition. We need you Basques to keep their goal at 0.

Very competitive match in a Copa del Rey that stands out for not having any of the big 3 in its semifinals. Personally, great success in changing the format due to the greater equality that is offered to smaller teams. We are already in the semifinal and here we return to the traditional round trip of the qualifiers. This will mean that the teams adopt the tie in another way, since it is not all or nothing. I expect a close game in which none risk too much to have options in the round.

We go with the goal to 0 of the lions. Athletic know that it stands out with the claw with which it guides the games and the great intensity that it shows in each game, even more in San Mamés with its people where they usually turn it into a good fort. It is also a historical Spanish league and with a great idyll with this cup, being the 2nd that has won with 23 titles.

Great defensive work of Garitano being the 3rd team with the least goals conceded in the league with only 19 in 23 days, only behind Real Madrid and Atlético de Madrid. Of those 19, only 6 have been as local. Of the 23 days played, he has kept the goal at 0 in 9 of them (39%). As a local we have better data keeping the goal at 0 in 6 of 12 (50%). It is the 4th team that least shots per game allows rivals with 9.6 and even down to 8.1 when playing in San Mamés. You can have the casualties of Yuri and Raul García.

As a visitor, a little bit less Granada after that incredible start of the league. Nor is it a team that stands out for its offensive appearance but for efficiency. It is also the 4th team that makes the least shots per game with 10.1. In addition, a statistic a little influenced by distant shooters such as Puertas, Carlos Fernández, Machis or Yangel Herrera. This makes it the one with the least throws made in the league with 2.9 per game. 27 goals for them in the league, 13 of them being a visitor. It has remained unmarked in 7 of 23 days (30%). Again, it rises considerably when he plays away from Los Carmenes having scored 6 of 12 (50%).

In the first leg, Athletic won 2-0 so it would have given us a green. The Granada only threw 1 time on goal.

Therefore, I expect a match between two sets, which also have us accustomed to these scripts, in which the Basque team avoids receiving a goal due to the importance of goals away from home in these round trips.


PREDICTION: Ath Bilbao to win @ 1,75

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