Match corresponding to day 17 of the Second Division of Spain. They face the Alcorcón (1º) and the Reus (20º).
For this game I am going to predict 9 or more corners because the 1.72 odds offered by the bookmaker bet365 is not a fee that is usually seen for this line and I think I should try it yes or yes.
We are before two teams that, without being especially teams over in corners, have left us with a fairly equal statistic so far in terms of the line I propose.
The Alcorcón, of 8 matches played at home, in 4 of them we would have left the forecast as green and in 4 of them as red.
The Reus, of 8 games played as a visitor, more of the same: we would have had 4 green forecasts and 4 red predictions.
So why go to the over and not the under? Well, in these cases I prefer to risk going to over, because I think 9 corners is something that is often seen in Second Division matches and because I feel more comfortable going over than under. Also, I think it’s the typical game that could go under and eat me a red, so it’s worth trying.
PREDICTION: Alcorcon to win @ 1.40
