ALAVES VS ATL.MADRID PREVIEW & PREDICTION
Deportivo Alavés and Atlético Madrid face at the Mendizorroza Stadium, in a match for the 35th round of the First Division. Atlético Madrid won at home (1-0) the last time they met in this edition of the league, on 12-16-2017. The record of direct confrontations of the last 3 years is favorable to the visiting team, which in the last 3 matches won 1 and tied 2. Particular attention is required for the home / away condition, since both teams present significantly different results at home and outside.
Deportivo Alavés:
The home team is currently in the 13 th position of the league, with 41 points won, after 13 wins, 2 draws and 19 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Girona, by (1-2). In the last match, they won in an away match against Las Palmas, by (0-4). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses in away matches; against 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home matches for the championship Deportivo Alavés has won 7, tied 1 and lost 2, for which they have won 22 points out of 30 possible. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half-time was the 0-0 (9 out of 17 matches). Their attack has scored regularly, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 34 matches in this competition, they only got 1 comeback in the 19 games in which they suffered the first goal. In the last 17 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 7 of their 18 goals between minutes (46′-60 ‘).
The Alavés improved its performance a lot in the last rounds, since it won 3 of the last 4 matches and managed to confirm the maintenance in the elite division of Spanish football, since although it loses all the matches it will not be reached by Deportivo La Coruña, first team within the descent zone. The local team presents problems, both in defense and attack, as both are among the 10 worst in the national championship, but defensively it seems to have improved, as they suffered only one goal in the last 4 games. Playing at home, as in this Sunday’s game, Alavés won 7 of its last 10 games and did not suffer goals in 6, again showing its defensive evolution in this final part of La Liga. For the match against Atlético de Madrid, coach Abelardo has no problems with injuries or suspensions in the starting lineup and must repeat the same starting eleven of the last day, when he thrashed Las Palmas away from home.
Atlético Madrid:
The away team is currently in the 2ª position, with 72 points won, after 21 wins, 9 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Real Sociedad, by (3-0). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Real Betis, by (0-0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 25 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 30 goals scored and 3 conceded. In their last match, for the UEFA Europa League, they got a draw against Arsenal by (1-1). In the last 10 away matches Atlético Madrid has a record of 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, so they have won 16 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half-time was the 0-0 (6 out of 17 matches). Their attack has scored regularly, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 9 of the last 17 matches for this competition have ended with Under 1,5 goals. In 34 matches in this competition, they only got 1 comeback in the 6 matches they suffered the first goal. There is 1 period that stands out in the last 17 away matches for this competition: they have suffered 8 of their 14 goals between minutes (76’-90 ‘).
Atlético de Madrid are making a great campaign in La Liga and, as they have virtually no chance of winning the title, they want to secure the second position and stay ahead of their biggest rival, Real Madrid. The great secret of the team is the enormous strength of its defensive sector, since it suffers very few goals, being the best defense of the championship, with only 18 goals suffered in 34 games. But it should be noted that the attack needs to regain its best football, since it failed to score in the last 2 rounds. Atlético de Madrid has the third best season in La Liga, but comes from 4 matches without winning in this type of situation, having accumulated 3 losses and 1 draw, but even so it is the team that has suffered fewer goals as a visitor, with only 14 goals in 17 games, being a team that generally leaves few spaces to their opponents away from their domains. For the match against Alavés, coach Diego Simeone will not be able to count on Giménez, due to a suspension and should save some players, after the accumulated fatigue due to the match of the Europa League against Arsenal in the middle of the week.
PREDICTION: Over 1.5 goals @ 1.50
