Náutico and Paraná meet at Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho, in a match for the 33rd round of Serie B. The two teams tied (0‑0), on 06‑10‑2020, in the previous match for this edition of the league. The record of direct confrontations in the last 3 years is favorable to the visiting team, which in the last 3 games won 2 and drew 1. Attention to the home factor, since Náutico usually achieve different results at home and away.
Nautical :
After 8 wins, 11 draws and 13 losses, the home team is currently in 17th position, with 35 points won. In their last match, they lost in an away match against AD Confiança by (2‑0), after in the previous match they had won by (2‑0) at home, in a match against Cuiabá. This is a stronger team with the support of its fans, since in the last 30 games it has registered 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses as a visitor; against 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses in his stadium. In their last 10 home games for the championship, Náutico won 4, tied 4 and lost 2, for which they won 16 points out of 30 possible.
For this competition, he has a sequence of 4 wins in his last home matches. In their home league matches the most frequent final result at half ‑ time was 0‑0 (7 out of 15 matches). In their home matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 12 of their last 15 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 32 games in this competition, he only managed 1 comeback in the 15 games in which he suffered the first goal. In the last 15 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 5 of their 12 goals between minutes (76′ ‑ 90 ‘).
Nautico receives Paraná in a decisive match in the fight against relegation. Both teams are in the relegation zone and victory is indispensable for both clubs, so the game must be open, with both teams looking to score goals during the 90 minutes. The local team needs to play a game of improvement, with great intensity and dedication on the pitch, to achieve a positive result.
Paraná:
After 8 wins, 9 draws and 15 losses, the visiting team is currently in 18th position, with 33 points won. In their last match, they drew with Botafogo SP at home by (1‑1), after losing away in the previous match, in a match against Chapecoense, by (2‑0). This is a team little affected by the home factor, that is, it presents similar results at home and away, since in the last 30 games it has registered 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses as a visitor, with 11 goals scored and 26 suffered; against 3 victories, 6 draws and 6 defeats in his stadium, with 14 goals scored and 16 suffered. In its last 10 away games for the championship, Paraná registers 1 victory, 1 draw and 8 defeats, for which it has won 4 points out of 30 possible. The team allowed goals to the opponent in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition, so they were not very strong defensively. In 32 games in this competition, he only managed 2 comebacks in the 18 games in which he conceded the first goal. There is 1 period that stands out in the last 16 away matches for this competition: they have scored 5 of their 13 goals between minutes (61’ ‑ 75 ‘).
Paraná has another confrontation with a direct rival in the fight against relegation. In the previous day he did not achieve more than a draw with Botafogo-SP, playing at home. In this match, you will need to add all three points at your opponent’s home and you need to play with an offensive stance, so as not to be dominated by your opponent. Therefore, the Paraná club must make high defensive marks so as not to give space to the rival and will bet on speed in the attacks to conquer a victory.
PREDICTION: Nautico to win @ 1,90
