Over there we already see a bit of value in the betfair share and after thinking about it for a while I don’t want to go without trying it.
As is the sport in general and with the new break, we will have to innovate a lot this August. And this time I’m going to play with this market in this meeting between quite leading teams in the Australian league. I advance that it will not be easy, but I see more options than the quota a priori marks.
I’m going to start this time by talking about the referee, who will be Alex King and who we can say has a fairly good average of cards in this competition, since he averages about 4.32 cards per game. What would place him for the moment among the collegiate cardholders of this competition, specifically it is the 3rd collegiate that has indicated the most yellow in this league.
He has directed Wellington Phoenix 5 times this season in this league and in 3 of these 5 samples he showed at least 1 card in each part to those of Wellington. He has directed the Brisbane Roar 4 times this season in this league and in 3 of these 4 samples he showed at least 1 card in each part to those of Brisbane.
In the last 10 meetings of this referee in this league we have that this complete forecast was correct on 4 occasions. Including a hit in the last precedent of direct confrontation between these 2 teams last January, which was led by this same referee. In that match he showed a total of 6 yellows, 3 for each team. In the first half he showed 1 yellow to Brisbane Roar and 2 yellow to Wellington Phoenix.
Wellington is 3rd in this league with 40 points and Brisbane 4th in 38 points. Second place, which gives direct access to the semifinals of the playoff for the title, is held by Melbourne City with 43 points and this is a key match so that these 2 teams can continue to aspire to be second.
After the break we have good data from Wellington with enough own cards received. In 4 games that have played after the break we see that on 3 occasions they received at least 1 card in each half.
For its part, Brisbane based on statistics after the break may raise some more questions. They have only played 2 games after the break, in which they have only received 3 yellows in total. These 3 cards were all received in the first parts. I hope they can continue to receive at least one more in the first part. Regarding the data of the second parts, I think that it should not be too persistent in time and I am going to trust that it can be broken already in this match.
PREDICTION: Both teams to score / YES @ 1,71
