They face the Atalanta boys, staying in those European squares and with reasons to believe in the Champions League. They are 5th with 35 pts, at 3 pts from Rome, they score 49 goals and 22 against, one of the most effective strikers in Serie A. And against them and acting as a visitor, the lantern, the SPAL, adds 12 pts , 4 points to get out of the descent, has 12 goals by 29 against.
I am looking for more than 45 points per card in the match, as we know, 10 pts the yellow, 25 red and a player at most 35 pts.
I think that the game will be controlled by Atalanta and that for SPAL’s needs he will have to look for the ball avoiding the attacks he will suffer and for that he will need to act defensively.
The match data: (in the point data, for not looking at all the matches, I guess the red ones are double yellow)
Referee, Federico La Penna, this season has 10 games in Serie A, with 44 yellow and 3 red, averages 48.5 points per game, with 7 green and 3 red. He has refereed this season a SPAL match, with green and another to Atalanta with green as well.
Atalanta, reaps a total of 42 yellow and 2 red, averaging 22.5 pts per game. In home games this season he would give us 8 green and 1 red.
SPAL, has a total of 56 yellow and 2 red, the average is 29.5 pts per game. In the away matches he would give us 7 green and 3 red.
With this data I have thrown myself with a stake 2, and I think they will not give me many problems for the green, although carefully, SPAL’s last match against Atalanta was red. Luck.
PREDICTION: Over 2,5 goals @ 1,38
