Match of Group A of the NPFL of Nigeria, the maximum category of the country, between Katsina United, fourth classified, and MFM FC, first classified of the group.
No respite, a new day of the NPFL, the ninth, in which as I said last weekend in the previous day, the two clubs that are competing in continental competition, both Lobi Stars, and Enugu Rangers, postpone their games, the first they play this Tuesday and the second Wednesday their respective matches. This next weekend there is no league, I imagine that some teams will recover games. In principle Remo Stars fulfills its last game of sanction of its stage.
After playing the eighth day of the league, the average goals of the competition is 1.81 per game after 81 games played (147 goals), with 70% of Under 2,5. Balance of 55 local victories (68%), 18 draws (22%) and 8 visitor wins (10%), and with 25 local victories by 1-0 (31%), 16/61 in the matches in which the bookies they have taken out markets (26.27%).
The numbers in this competition during the last years are as follows. After playing only 24 days of last season, the league average of goals was 1.85 goals per game after 240 games played (445 goals). One of the most homemade leagues worldwide. After those 240 games the balance was 167 local wins (69.58%), 61 draws (25.42%) and only 12 visitor wins (5%), numbers that are not usually seen in other championships, but are common in this competition. Since 2008, when the league of 20 teams was established uniting North and South (previously the league was disputed as it happens this year in 2 groups, north and south) in a total of 3962 matches, the percentage of 1X2 is 73.65% local victories, 20.67% of draws, and 5.68% of victories visitors. A part of very homemade, it is also a league very little scoring. In these last 11 seasons, 67.24% of matches have ended up being Under 2.5.
With nearly 70% of local victories, and hovering that percentage of Under 2.5, the most common is to see local wins by 1-0 or 2-0. This past season 74 1-0 (30.83%) and 34 2-0 (14.17%), 45%, almost half of the matches end with local victory and less than 2.5 goals. In these last 11 seasons (since 2008) the 1-0 round 32%, with some ups and downs, but hardly has dropped 28% (only in 2015).
As for the clash, the locals finished last season in seventh position in the league after 24 games played, in which, in 9 the final result was 1-0. As local 5 of 12. This year they have played 5 matches with one finished 1-0.
As for the visitors, they finished last season in eleventh position in the league after 24 games played. Of the 24 games played last season, 7 games ended 1-0. As visitors 4 of 12. This year they have played 7 matches, with 3 finished 1-0.
In the H2H, 3 matches in the league since 2017, with 3 local victories, none of them by 1-0.
PREDICTION: Katsina Utd to win @ 1,36
