Ceara vs Parana PREVIEW & PREDICTION 22/11/2018

Ceará and Paraná meet at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in a match for the 36th round of Serie A. In the last direct match for this edition of the league, on 08-05-2018, Ceará won by (0 -one). The history of direct confrontations played in this stadium is favorable to the home team, which in the last 4 matches won 3 and tied 1. Indeed, the last time these two teams played a match in this stadium, in 17-10- 2017, for Serie B, Ceará won by (1-0). Leandro Carvalho (5 ‘) scored the only goal of the game. Particular attention is required for the home / away condition, since both teams present significantly different results at home and abroad.

Ceará:

The home team is currently in the 14 th position of the league, with 39 points won, after 9 wins, 12 draws and 14 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Bahia, by (2-1). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Fluminense, by (0-0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in away matches; against 6 victories, 5 draws and 4 defeats in his stadium. In the last 10 home matches for the championship, Ceará won 5, tied 4 and lost 1, for which they won 19 points out of 30 possible. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half-time was the 0-0 (6 out of 17 matches). The team has conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, so it has not presented great defensive solidity, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 35 matches in this competition, they only got 1 comeback in the 16 games in which they suffered the first goal. In the last 17 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 6 of their 16 goals between minutes (16’-30 ‘).

Ceará is a club that never conquered the Serie A of the Brazilian Championship, having as its most outstanding campaign in its history the Brazilian Cup final, in 1984, as well as having a Northeast Cup title, in 2015. This season, the team managed to recover within the national championship, so it is outside the relegation zone, two points ahead of the seventeenth place. In the last six games that Ceará played in his stadium, in five he scored goals and in four he scored more than 1.5 goals. We believe that in this confrontation Ceará, by playing at home against a weak opponent, will again score goals and win a victory.

Parana:

After 4 wins, 10 draws and 21 losses, the away team is currently in the 20 th position of the league, with 22 points won. In the last match, they have tied at home with Palmeiras by (1-1), after in the previous match they have lost at home, in a match against Atlético Mineiro, by (0-1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win and 14 losses in away matches; against 4 victories, 7 draws and 4 defeats in their stadium. In the last away game for this competition won by (0-1) against América Mineiro. In the last 10 away matches Paraná has a record of 1 win and 9 losses, so they have won 3 points out of 30 possible. In the matches played outside of their stadium there are some results that have been repeated frequently: at halftime 0-0 (6 in 18 matches) and 1-0 (7 in 18 matches) and at the end of the match 1-0 (6 in 18 games). They have not been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that usually scores a few times first: it only opened the scoring in 8 of its last 35 games for Serie A, of these 8 it reached the break in advantage in 3 and won at the end of the 90 ‘in 4. In 35 matches in this tournament, suffered the first goal 25 times and never got the comeback.

The Paraná is a club that has not yet managed to conquer the Serie A of the Brazilian Championship, having as the most important title of its history the Serie B of the Brazilian Championship of 1992 and 2000. In this season, the team had a rather weak performance, so he ended up not avoiding the descent, with a few rounds in advance, for the Serie B of the Brazilian Championship of 2019, staying in the last position of the Brazilian Championship. As a visitor, the team won only one of the last eight games they played and suffered more than 1.5 goals in five of those eight games. We believe that in this match the Paraná, to play at home and not to fight for anything else in the championship, will end up suffering goals and will be defeated.


PREDICTION: Both teams to score / NO @ 1.40

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