Sport Recife and Vitória meet at Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, in a match for the 34 th round of Serie A. In the last direct match for this edition of the league, on 26-07-2018, Vitória won at home (1-0) The record of direct confrontations in this stadium is favorable to the visiting team, which in the last 4 matches won 3 and lost 1. Indeed, the last time these two teams met in this stadium was on 06-18-2017, in a match for Serie A that ended with Vitória’s victory by (1-3). Diego Souza (45 ‘) scored the goals of the match, for Sport Recife, and Uillian Correia (17’), Kanu (38 ‘) and André Lima (79’), for Vitória. Particular attention is required for the home / away condition, since both teams present significantly different results at home and abroad.
Sport Recife:
After 10 wins, 7 draws and 16 losses, the home team is currently in the 16 th position of the league, with 37 points won. In the last match, they have tied in an away match against Fluminense by (0-0), after in the previous match they have won (1-0) at home, against Ceará. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in away matches; against 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats in his stadium. For the championship, Sport Recife won 14 points out of 30 possible points, after 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the last 10 home matches. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half-time was the 0-0 (9 out of 16 matches). Defensive consistency has not been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 33 matches in the competition, they suffered the first goal 18 times and only managed 2 comebacks.
Sport Recife conquered an important point away from home on the last day and now returns to its stadium in search of 3 points against a direct opponent in the fight against the decline, then, can not think of negative results. The home team has a somewhat inefficient attack, which scored 32 goals and is the seventh worst in the competition, but the big problem is its fragile defense, which is the second weakest, with 53 goals suffered, but it should be noted an improvement in the sector, since it did not suffer goals in the last two days. In its stadium, the Sport Recife has a great sequence of 3 consecutive victories, but the defense presents certain fragility, since it needs to be more offensive at home and with that it ends up leaving many spaces in its defense. For the match against Vitória, coach Milton Mendes will not be able to count on winger Claudio Winck and advanced Gabriel, both for suspension.
Vitória:
The away team is currently in the 17 th position of the league, with 35 points won, after 9 wins, 8 draws and 16 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Paraná, by (1-1). In the last match, they tied at home against Bahia by (2-2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 10 goals scored and 32 conceded; against 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 16 goals scored and 17 conceded. For the championship, Vitória won 5 points out of 30 possible points, after 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses in the last 10 home matches. The team has conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, so they have not displayed great defensive solidity, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 33 games in this competition, he never got the comeback in the 15 games in which he suffered the first goal. In the last 16 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 5 of their 12 goals between minutes (76′-90 ‘).
The Vitória ended up conquering only a draw in the classic of the last day and with that it complicated even more its situation in the fight against the descent and now it needs to recover the lost points against a direct adversary, being that a triumph would allow to the team to change places with the Sport in the table. The visiting team has as its main problem the enormous inefficiency of its defensive sector, since it suffered 55 goals and has the weakest defense of Serie A, while its attack, despite being a bit inefficient, has been increasing production and scored goals in 4 of the last 5 days. As a visitor, Vitória often acts badly, however, comes from 2 games of invincibility, in which he won 1 win and 1 draw and scored goals in the last 3 rounds, but it should be noted that he has the second worst defense as a visitor, with 33 goals in 16 games. For the important match against Sport Recife, coach Carpegiani will not be able to count forward Léo Ceará, for suspension.
PREDICTION: Sport Recife to win @ 1.83
