Let’s now look for Ashley Westwood of Burnley to make more than 47.5 passes against Cardiff.
Let’s start by analyzing the Westwood numbers. 6 matches for a total of 4 greens, 1 red and 1 null:
-48 vs Southampton
-55 Watford vs
-30 vs Fulham
-70 vs Manchester United
-10 vs Wolverhampton (he entered the second half and only played 11 minutes, it would be nil)
-56 vs Bournemouth
As we see, very good numbers of the player facing the pick.
Now we go with the numbers of the defensive midfielders who have faced Cardiff, the team that escapes from the ball:
Manchester City: 44 Fernandinho and 44 Gundogan. Both replaced in the second part. Minutes 74 and 69 respectively.
-Arsenal: Guendouzi 54 (replaced in 70) and 99 Xhaka
-Chelsea: Jorginho 92, Kanté 70 and 36 Kovacic (substituted in 50)
-Bournemouth: 72 Gosling and 64 Surman
-Huddersfield: 49 Hogg (ejected in 63) and 48 Billing
-Newcastle: Shelvey 56 and Diamé 35 (with one less since minute 66)
Except Diamé, whose team was one player less from the minute 66, all the defensive midfielders who played the 90 minutes managed to overcome that line. Those that were replaced had a projection that would have given us the green.
I think it’s a very affordable line for the player. Although we will only go with stake 1 in case the player is substituted, he is injured, he is expelled or there is some strange circumstance that changes the script of the match.
PREDICTION: Both teams to score / NO @ 1.73
