Atlético Mineiro and Fluminense meet at Estádio Raimundo Sampaio, in a match for the 11 th round of Serie A. At this stadium, the history of direct confrontations is favorable to the away team, which records 1 win and 2 draws in the last 3 matches . In fact, the last time these two teams played a match at this stadium was on 21-05-2017, for Serie A, which ended in a Fluminense victory by (1-2). The goals of the match were scored by Gabriel (40 ‘), for Atlético Mineiro, and Henrique Dourado (37’) and Richarlison (39 ‘), for Fluminense. In this game the home factor may be decisive, since the Fluminense presents considerable differences in their results at home and as a visitor.
Atlético Mineiro:
The home team is currently in the 5 th position of the league, with 17 points won, after 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Chapecoense, by (3-3). In the last match, they won in an away match against América Mineiro, by (1-3). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in away matches; against 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses at their stadium. In the last 5 home league matches Atlético Mineiro has won 3, tied 1 and lost 1, for which they have won 10 points out of 15 possible. They have not been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 10 matches in the competition, they suffered the first goal 5 times and only managed 1 comeback.
Atlético Mineiro is one of the most traditional Brazilian soccer clubs, since throughout its history it conquered the Brazilian Championship Series A once, in 1971, and the Libertadores Cup in 2013. In this year’s Mining Championship, the team was the runner-up, since it lost the final for its rival, the Cruzeiro. In the Serie A of the Brazilian Championship of 2018, the team is in the middle of the table, trying to get close to the top finishers and far enough from the relegation zone. In the last five matches that Atlético Mineiro played in their stadium for the Serie A of the Brazilian Championship, the local team scored most goals. We believe that in this match the boss will be maintained and that Atlético Minero will again score goals, but that he will also run the risk of suffering them, since the opponent also has his qualities and can score.
Fluminense:
After 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, the away team is currently in the 10 th position of the league, with 14 points won. In their last match, they lost with Flamengo at home (0-2), after in the previous match they lost out in a match against Paraná, by (2-1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 16 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 31 goals scored and 12 suffered. In the last 5 away league matches Fluminense has a record of 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, so they have won 4 points out of 15 possible. They have not been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 10 matches in this competition, they have only 1 comeback in the 6 matches they have conceded the first goal.
The Fluminense is a Rio club that has four conquests of the Brazilian Championship of the Serie A, the last title was conquered in 2012. In the state championship the team is very strong, in total it has thirty one titles of the Carioca Championship, the last conquered also in 2012. Currently, in the 2018 season, he was eliminated in the semifinal state team by Vasco da Gama and in the Brazilian championship he occupies a place in the middle of the table, oscillating a lot between victories, draws and defeats. Analyzing the last six days, we see that there were more games with more than 1.5 goals than games with less than 1.5 goals. Therefore, we believe that against Atlético Mineiro we will again have a game with more than 1.5 goals scored.
PREDICTION: Atletico-MG to win @ 1.58
