PREVIEW & PREDICTION – Swansea vs Burnley 10/02/2018

PREVIEW & PREDICTION – Swansea vs Burnley 10/02/2018

Swansea City and Burnley meet at Liberty Stadium, in a match for the 27 th round of the Premier League. Burnley won at home (2-0) the last time they met in this edition of the league, on 11-18-2017. The history of recent direct confrontations is favorable to the home team, which records 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches.

After 6 wins, 6 draws and 14 losses, the home team is currently in the 17 th position of the league, with 24 points won. In the last match, they have tied in an away match against Leicester City by (1-1), after in the previous match they have won (3-1) at home, against Arsenal. In the last game they played, for the FA Cup, they beat Notts County at home (8-1). In the last 10 home league matches Swansea City has a record of 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 14 points out of 30 possible. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half-time was the 0-1 (5 out of 13 matches). The team has conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, so it has not presented great defensive solidity, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches for this competition there is a tendency for few goals, since 8 of the last 13 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 26 matches in this competition, he only managed 2 comebacks in the 15 games in which he suffered the first goal. In the last 13 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 7 of their 18 goals between minutes (76′-90 ‘).

The Swansea City comes to this game with a huge victory over the Notts, by 8-1, totaling in this way the fifth win in the last 10 games played. Curiously, the only defeat in this period of time was against Tottenham, one of the first classified of the championship. Coach Carlos Carvalhal should enter the field with a more cautious strategy, exploring only the counterattack: Narsingh is a very competent player in the offensive transition. On the other hand, Jordan Ayew is the best Swansea City marker in the championship, with 5 goals scored. For this game the local coach can not count on Renato Sanches, Leroy Fer and Wilfried Bony, all due to injury.

The away team is currently in the 7 th position of the league, with 36 points won, after 9 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Newcastle United, by (1-1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Manchester City, by (1-1). For the championship, Burnley won 13 points out of 30 possible, after 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the last 10 home matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half-time was the 0-0 (5 out of 13 matches). The team allowed goals to the opponent in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition, so it was not very strong defensively. In their home matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 9 of the last 13 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 26 matches in this competition, he never got the comeback in the 12 games in which he suffered the first goal. There is 1 period that stands out in the last 13 away matches for this competition: they have suffered 4 of their 11 goals between minutes (61’-75 ‘).

The Burnley comes to this game with a tie to a ball against Manchester City, adding the second consecutive game without losing in the English championship. However, it should be noted that visitors no longer win 9 consecutive games in this competition. In this game away from home, coach Sean Dyche must play in 4-4-2, privileging possession of ball and positional attacks: Gudmundsson will be the master of the team, being responsible for creating and organizing the offensive process. However, in some moments of the game must give the offensive initiative to the opponent. On the other hand, Chris Wood is the best score of Burnley, with 4 goals scored. For this game the coach does not have Marney, Walters, Brady and Defour, all injured.


PREDICTION: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.42

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