PREVIEW & PREDICTION – Rochdale vs Millwall 6/02/2018
Rochdale and Millwall meet, in a return match for this phase of the FA Cup (4th Round Replays), after a (2-2) draw in the first leg. The history of recent direct confrontations is favorable to the visiting team, which records 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 5 matches. The last direct confrontation between these two teams, on 01-21-2018, ended with a draw by (2-2). In this game the home factor may be decisive, since the Millwall presents considerable differences in their results at home and as a visitor.
Rochdale:
The home team comes to this game back in advantage, after a draw as a visitor by (2-2), so it is enough a draw for less than 2 goals to confirm the qualification to the next phase. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 18 goals scored and 13 conceded. In the last match they played, for the Liga Uno, they beat Northampton Town by (0-1). In the last 10 home matches Rochdale has won 5, tied 3 and lost 2.
For this competition, he does not lose 4 games. Their defense has been very strong, having only had goals in 1 of the last 4 matches, and their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 4 matches for this competition. In 15 games, he suffered the first goal 6 times and never got the comeback. There is 1 period that stands out in the last 18 home matches for all competitions: they have suffered 5 of their 14 goals between minutes (61′-75 ‘).
The Rochdale leaves for this party with a victory in the land of Northampton, by 0-1, returning of this form to the triumphs, after three parties without winning in several competitions. The moment of form of the equipment of the house is not the best one, since it adds only 2 victories in the last 10 parties disputed. In this home game coach Keith Hill must maintain his tactical scheme, that is, 3-5-2, with Henderson and Andrew being the most offensive references of the local team. Ian Henderson is the great highlight of Rochdale so far, with 11 goals scored. Everything indicates that the coach can count on all his players.
Millwall:
The away team comes to this second leg at a disadvantage, because despite the draw in the first leg suffered 2 goals at home. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in away matches; against 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses at their stadium. The team comes to this match after a win away with Reading by (0-2). In the last 10 away matches for all competitions, Millwall won 2, drew 3 and lost 5. Their defense has not been very strong, as they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their attack has scored regularity, as they scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches. In their home matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 14 of the last 31 matches have ended with Under 1,5 goals and 19 out of 31 have ended with Under 2,5 goals.
The visiting team comes to this game with a victory in the field of Reading, by 0-2, totaling in this way the sixth game in a row without losing in several competitions. Observing the last 10 matches played, it is possible to verify that the visitors added two defeats. In this game away from home it will be natural for coach Neil Harris to keep the team organized in 4-4-2, benefiting possession of the ball and attacks organized by the flanks. George Saville is the best marker of the Millwall in several competitions, with 7 goals scored. Without great absences, the coach must act in maximum strength.
PREDICTION: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.87



