PREVIEW & PREDICTION – Estoril vs Sporting 4/02/2018

PREVIEW & PREDICTION – Estoril vs Sporting 4/02/2018

Estoril and Sporting Lisbon meet at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, in a match for the 21st round of the Primeira Liga. Sporting Lisbon won at home by (2-1) the last time they met in this edition of the league, on 27-08-2017. The record of direct confrontations in this stadium is favorable to the visiting team, which in the last 5 matches won 2, drew 2 and lost 1. Indeed, the last time these two teams met in this stadium was on 02-25-2017 , in a match for the Primeira Liga that ended Sporting Lisbon’s victory by (0-2). B. Ruiz (22 ‘) and B. Dost (86’) scored the goals of the game for Sporting Lisbon. Attention to the home factor, since the Estoril usually conquer different results at home and abroad.

Estoril:

After 4 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses, the home team is currently in the 17 th position, with 15 points won. In the last match, they won in a home match against Tondela, by (3-0), after in the previous match they lost by (3-1) out in a match against Vitória Guimarães. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in away matches; against 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses at their stadium. In the last 9 home matches for the championship Estoril won 3, tied 1 and lost 5, so they have won 10 points out of 27 possible. In the matches played in their stadium there are some more frequent results: at the end of the first 45 ‘0-1 (4 in 9 matches) and at the end of the match 0-2 (4 in 9 matches). Defensive consistency has not been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 8 of the last 9 matches for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. This is a team that usually scores a few times first: they only opened the scoring in 4 of their last 19 matches for the Primeira Liga, of these 4 they reached the break in advantage in 3 and won at the end of the 90 ‘in all. In 19 games in this tournament, he suffered the first goal 14 times and never got the comeback. In the last 10 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 5 of their 14 goals between minutes (31’-45 ‘).

The Estoril comes to this match with a home win over Tondela, 3-0, putting a final point to the three games in a row without winning the championship. We remember that the locals follow desperately in the descent zone. In this game against his fans, it will be expected that coach Ivo Vieira plays in the usual 4-3-3, however, privileging the defensive organization and passes in depth for the attack. Kléber is the best Estoril marker, with 6 goals scored, however, will be absent from this game, due to an injury. It is also important to emphasize that they have presented several gaps in the maintenance of possession of the ball and in the finalization. For this game the coach can not count on Thiago Cardoso, Mano and Gonçalo Brandão, all due to injury.

Sporting :

The away team is currently in the 1 st position, with 50 points won, after 15 wins and 5 draws. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Vitória Setúbal, by (1-1). In the last match, they won in a home match against Vitória Guimarães, by (1-0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in away matches; against 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss at their stadium. For the league, Sporting Lisboa won 21 points out of 27 possible points, after 6 wins and 3 draws in the last 9 home matches.

For this competition, they have not lost any of the last 9 away matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half-time was the 0-1 (5 out of 11 matches). Their attack has scored regularly, since they have always scored at least one goal in the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 8 of the last 9 matches for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. This is a team that usually does not feel difficult to open the scoring: it scored the first goal in 18 of the last 20 matches for the Primeira Liga, of these 18 it came to the break in advantage in 13 and managed to maintain the advantage until the end of the 90 ‘in 15. In the last 11 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 6 of their 11 goals between minutes (76′-90’).

Sporting Lisbon arrive at this motivated match, after beating Vitória de Guimarães, 1-0, in a game in which Mathieu scored the only goal of the team, in the last minutes of the game. This result allowed the visitors the promotion to the leadership, taking advantage of the tie of the rival FC Porto. In this game away from home coach Jorge Jesus must keep the team in 4-2-3-1, benefiting the maintenance of ball possession and organized attacks: Bruno Fernandes is the main responsible for creating and organizing the offensive process. Bas Dost is still the best score of the team this season, with 19 goals scored, but is in doubt for this game, due to injury. In addition to this player, the coach still does not know if he can count on Gelson Martins and Daniel Podence, also due to injury.


PREDICTION: Sporting to win @ 1.50

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