AD Alcorcon is placed in the 12th position (17 points, 5W – 2D – 6L) in the Spanish Segunda. They promoted previous season from Spanish Segunda B and they made the great deed to eliminate Real Madrid CF in the Spanish Cup. They were able to trash Real Madrid CF (4-0) at home. Maybe they are the toughest team to play at home in the whole Spanish Segunda. Santo Domingo Stadium is an authentic fortress and they know perfectly how to damage to every team which visits them.
Another different thing is when they play as guests. They have lost five matches and drew against UD Salamanca. They have to start catching points away from home because this a long term competition and every team can promote but also every team can relegate if they don’t manage points as hosts as guests.
They will have one important absence in their creative system: Sergio Mora (brain, midfielder) is suspended. Javi Hernandez (defender) is slightly injured and he will be doubtful until Sunday.
Defensive Minded Team
Gimnastic Tarragona is placed in the 19th spot (11 points, 2W – 5D – 6L) in the Spanish Segunda. They have scored 10 goals and conceded 13 in 13 games. Their numbers and figures are totally clear. They are a defensive minded team which is coached by a defensive minded coach. Luis Cesar Sampedro always looks for clean sheet and then they try to take advantage of their few goal chances.
Gimnastic Tarragona and SD Huesca are the kings of 0-0. Gimanstic Tarragona hasn’t enough scoring power and their strikers (Ruben Navarro, Powell, Juan Dominguez and Eloy) aren’t finding the rival net lately, so Gimnastic Tarragona is not usually involving in crazy matches and high scores.
They will have three absences for this match: Delporte (midfielder) and Ruz (defender) have long term injuries. It seems that Medina (starting defender) won’t play due to a hamstring in his thigh muscles.
Home Win
This week has been quite special for AD Alcorcon. Jesus Alvarez Garrido (70 years old), AD Alcorcon’s manager, died and he was quite beloved in the club, as for supporters as players are sad and desolated for this bad news. AD Alcorcon’s players are quite motivated to dedicate this victory to this beloved person.
AD Alcorcon is a tough team at home. They have won 5 matches and lost only one against dangerous FC Barcelona B. Bad news arrives when they have to play away from home, but they are almost invincible at home. They always play at full strength and all their rivals are usually struggling due to AD Alcorcon’s high pace and high rhythm. They have scored 13 goals out of 17 scored at home. AD Alcorcon shows every week at home that they can beat any team at Santo Domingo Stadium. Quini (striker) is the top scorer (11 goals) in the Spanish Segunda sharing this position with Alex Geijo (Granada CF).
On the other hand, Gimnastica Tarragona must make an excellent defensive performance to continue alive after the final of this match. I don’t expect great performance on Gimnastic side due to they have shown that haven’t been able to score goals easily. They only have won 1 match in last 11 played. They were capable of beating CD Tenerife away from home, but this fact doesn’t surprise me, because I watched the match between CD Tenerife versus AD Alcorcon (1-0) and I don’t know how AD Alcorcon couldn’t take at least one point at Heliodoro Rodriguez Lopez. AD Alcorcón had at least 6 unbelievable misses in front of the target.
Gimnastic drew (0-0) last two matches at home and they couldn’t win poor sides as SD Huesca and Elche CF lately. I don’t think they can their clean sheet on Sunday morning against AD Alcorcon. So, knowing the great problems which Gimnastic to score goals, it’s highly probable the home win.
This match will be played at 12:00 CET and this fact clearly benefits to AD Alcorcon because they have always played their matches at that time when they fought in Spanish Segunda B and Third Division.
I consider a value bet anything above evens. So, AH (-0.5) is a great bet for Sunday morning.
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Prediction:
Tip: 1 AH (-0.5)
Odd: 2.09
Bookie: Pinnacle
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