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Posts Tagged ‘NFL’

25 Nov

Match preview: Detroit – New England

Although Detroit is putting up a lot better performances than it was the case in the past couple of seasons, they still don’t have the quality to equally fight against the top NFL sides. They have a 2-8 record, but they lost the last 2 rounds to teams that are in the very bottom of the league (Buffalo, Dallas), spoiling all the progress shown so far. The team is young, and with the addition of a couple of experienced veterans, they’ve got solid future. However, a lot of time will pass by until that happens and this season will be yet another one of those where the Lions will be only able to dream about the playoffs. Nevertheless, them being huge fighters, they won’t be an easy rival for anybody, even for the Super Bowl candidates – NE Patriots.

Surprisingly good

After some major changes in the Boston squad, it was expected that their results would be inconsistent and worse than they currently are. The Pats are in the top of NFL with a 8-2 record. In the last 2 rounds, they’ve faced the teams contending for the top ranks – Steelers and Colts, recording wins on both occasions. Their triumph at the Heinz Field was particularly impressive, as they’ve shown the Pats that their defense isn’t as tough as everyone had thought. They’re entering the Lions’ clash as huge favs, and the side coached by Belichick, and with QB Brady, certainly deserves such status. The offense is great again while the defense, even though full of young players, is getting better every week. If they put up the displays on the level similar to the last 2 rounds – they’ll surely record a win.

Pats to cover

NFL has again shown that there are no sure wins this year and that the favs on paper can often turn out to be total underdogs on the field. The league’s full of upsets, so no bet on a favorite can ever be too safe. However, in today’s match two sides that can hardly be compared in terms of quality will meet. Detroit is near the bottom according to the quality shown, while the Patriots are one of the candidates for the highest ranks. Teams’ form is also totally on the guest side. These facts are enough for me to try with the visitors to cover the spread, which is smaller than one TD this time and worth some medium staking.

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Prediction:

Tip: New England -6
Odd: 1.87
Bookie: Betsson SB


07 Nov

Match preview: Cleveland – New England

Although the Browns have got a negative 2-5 record, it can still be said they’re putting up good performances and playing a lot better than their record indicates. In the last game they’ve played, they defeated the defending champs Saints on the road by 30:17 and showed everybody that they’re a very respectable side. Coach Mangini is satisfied with the performances of his players, saying that they only played below the expectations in one game, the one against Tampa Bay. It’s well known that Magnini has been the Patriots assistant coach for 5 seasons, and he’s in pretty bad relations with current Pats’ head coach Belichick. However, the young expert said that tomorrow’s clash is something much more than a meeting between two of them. The Browns have problems at the QB position as Delhomme and Wallace are injured, so young Colt McCoy will again have to play as a starter. Not too many spectacular moves can be expected from him, but he did prove he can play quality football and certainly the Browns are giving the role of the favorite to the visitors, with a promise that they won’t be an easy team to beat at this game. Anyway, if they managed to beat the champs in New Orleans, then they can beat any NFL side at home for sure.

Terrific Belichick

Despite numerous changes in their roster and the departure of the key players, Belichick is finding the way for his team to record wins. Outstanding coach is giving the chance to the young players and fitting them into his system. They’re returning the favor by showing some terrific fighting spirit that is producing results. The Pats are on a 5 game winning streak despite being without main RBs, plus they’ve waived WR Moss, one of the best ones on their team until recently. QB Brady is playing at the usual level , meaning excellent. Beside him, a few other less familiar players started to create a name for themselves such are RB Green Ellis and Danny Woodhead. Their offensive lineup will be significantly strengthened by the return of their excellent G L:ogan Mankins. Brady will be protected much better and will have enough time to send his killer passes. The Patriots want to again reach the Super Bowl this season and therefore they have to start winning both at home and on the road. Cleveland is one of the places where they have to win, as their opponent is a team from that belongs to the bottom part of the league.

The visitors will win

This is ought to be a very interesting game. Both coaches know each other real well and there will hardly be any surprises. Nevertheless, the advantage the visitors have here is the fact their offense will be led by one of the best QBs in the history of NFL Tom Brady, while Cleveland will be using a QB that is playing his 3rd pro game of the career. Since the spread is only 4 points, it seems like the best bet here is on the Patriots to cover.

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Prediction:

Tip: New England -4
Odd: 2.03
Bookie: Pinnacle


03 Oct

Match preview: Cleveland – Cincinnati

The Browns have started the season with 3 defeats but in each one of those games they had the lead in the 4th quarter. They needed just a bit of focus in the ending minutes of the matches, and it has to be admitted that the luck turned its back to them as well. They have some injury issues, as their starting QB Delhomme and RB Jerome Harrison are injured. When added that young WR Mitchell and Robiskie are also sidelined, it is no surprise they struggle on the offensive end. Their defense is really solid but they do have a bit weaker secondary, which could cost them quite a lot against the Bengals. Coach Mangini says he’s pleased with his team’s performances and that the persistence will surely pay off sooner or later, adding that he believes it could happen this Sunday already. He’s got a lot of hopes in his punt and kick returner Joshua Cribbs. This player caused a lot of trouble to the Bengals in the past, and Magnini is hoping it will be the same tomorrow. All in all, the Browns are surely not without chances in this match, as their record in the previous part of the season is definitely much worse than their performances were.

Still not confident

It can freely be said that the Bengals have performed below the expectations in the first 3 rounds. However, they still found the way how to win. In the first week, they got demolished by the Patriots, just to record two tough but worthy wins after that. They failed to deliver in the area where many believe they’re one of the best teams in the league. QB Palmer can never connect with the excellent corpus of receivers composed of Hall of Famer Owens and Johnson (Ocho Cinco). What should frighten their rival is the fact their horrific offense should start clicking sooner or later. If the Bengals managed to win without them, it’s hard to imagine what will happen if they start playing at the expected level. The defense is great, allowing very few yards and playing at the last season’s level when they were 4th best defense in the league according to stats. Their linebacker trio is very talented, and the CB duo is among the best in the league. The team can also rely on excellent RB Cedric Benson, who is not playing spectacular but is always at a high level. The last 2 games were resolved by their kicker Mike Nugent and punter Kevin Huber, so their special teams are also playing up to the expectations. The Bengals are without a doubt the more quality side than their rival and if they play up to their level in this game, it’s very likely they will win yet another game.

The Ohio state derby

No matter what kind of form they’re currently in, the matches between these two vsides are always intense and showing a lot of interest in the public. That’s due to the fact both sides are coming from the state of Ohio and the rivalry between them is just huge. Tomorrow’s clash won’t be any different. Both teams will fight till the end for a very important triumph in their eyes. However, the guests have the more quality roster, at least according to the names in their squad. It’s hard to believe that such superstars as Palmer, Owens and Johnson can keep underperforming for too much longer. I expect them to put up the expected display in this game already. And if that does happen, the Browns’ chances will be reduced to minimal. So, the Bengals’ to cover is my call.

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Prediction:

Tip: Cincinnati -3
Odd: 2.06
Bookie: Pinnacle


26 Sep

Match preview: Tampa Bay – Pittsburgh

The experts have predicted only a few wins for Tampa this season, but the Buccaneers have shut their mouth in the best way possible. After 2 weeks of play, they have 2 wins and are enjoying their success and the excellent play they’re showing. Young QB Josh Freeman has been outstanding at the start of this season. Last season, he had 5 interceptions out of the last 5 games only, and in the first 2 of the new season he threw 4 TDs and had only 1 intercepted pass.This fact definitely encourages all in their squad and the hopes for the new season are great. The youngest NFL coach Raheem Morris isn’t hiding his satisfaction but is stating that the season has just started and that his expectations aren’t too big. He emphasized that the wins in the first 2 rounds were totally deserved and his players played disciplined and wise, but added that the opponents they faced were of somewhat lower quality and that they’re yet to face the big and strong sides. One of those is certainly Pittsburg, who also surprised all the experts and started with 2 wins. Morris is giving the role of the favorite to the visitors, but also says that even a win of his squad wouldn’t be much of a surprise. The Buccaneers will not be able to count on their starting safety Tanard Jackson, who is suspended for a year for using illegal substances.

Steel defense

After finding out that the Steelers won’t be able to count on their main offensive guy, QB Ben Roethlisberger, due to suspension in the first 4 games, their expectations were quite small before the start. However, it once again was proven that the defense is the key factor in this sport. The Steelers surely have the best defense in NFL and since the injuries are past for them, and that they can count on all of the players from their roster, their 2-0 record is totally deserved. The return of SS Troy Polamalu and DT Aaron Smith were the main cause of such toughness in their defense. Their rivals have felt that toughness in the first 2 weeks. Against the Titans last week, they took advantage of their opponent’s turnovers as many as 7 times, and totally neutralized the opposing offense. The Buccaneers will have a hard task as well as the rushing play will be almost undoable while the defensive coordinator Dick LeBeau is a true master of making the life of young QBs miserable. The thing is, his schemes are so complicated that even the experienced QBs can’t easily see what’s coming at them. Since the return of Roethlisberger is still 2 weeks away, the Steelers will have to rely mostly on their defense and the rushing play. RB Rashard Mendenhall won 120 yards last week and coach Tomlin hopes for something similar this time too. QB’s role will be given to veteran Charlie Batch, who was only the 4th option before the start of the season. Now, Roethlisberger is suspended, Dixon injured in the 1st round and Leftwich injured his knee in the last prep game in the preseason. Nevertheless, since Batch is an experienced vet, Tomlin has got full trust in him. Of course, I don’t expect to see Batch throwing much but mostly organizing their rushing plays.

Defense will be the key

The clash of two undefeated teams so far, I expect a tough and an intense game. The hosts surprised all with their good displays and will have the support of their fans here. The visitors are an experienced side with an excellent defense. That gives them slight advantage in this matchup as I don’t see how the Buccaneers will be scoring points. A try with the under could be interesting as well but still my main bet will be Pittsburgh to cover this small spread.

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Prediction:

Tip: Pittsburgh -2.5
Odd: 1.91
Bookie: Bwin


19 Sep

Match preview: Denver Broncos – Seattle Seahawks

Kyle Orton is now in his 2nd season as QB at the Broncos following his trade from Chicago. He is comfortable playing the way Josh McDaniels wants him to, and is effective in his role. In fact, despite the lack of big star names, the players that are included here play well together. It just works for them. And in a situation where they`re playing a team way weaker than them, they should be bigger favourites than just a fieldgoal. Look for the likes of Jabar Gaffney, Eddie Royal and Brandon Lloyd to do well here, in a game that is played at home, giving the Broncos a lot more advantage than the bookies suggest. RB Moreno is fit again and looks like he will do well this season too.

Crisis

I`m serious. Last weeks shock win over the 49ers is misleading. This is not a good football team. They have a rookie coach, and a QB who is is not good, and hasn`t been for a while. He is ageing and getting worse. Last week was a fluke. Everything went their way. They have no ground attack and the defence can be easily abused. They just caught the 49ers napping, that`s all. Seattle have to go on the road to Colorado now, and will face a team that will be ready for them, and is again much better than them in terms of talent. How is Hasselbeck going to repeat his performance from last week against a veteran Denver secondary that finished 3rd in pass defence last year? That 3rd ranked pass defence has all 4 starters back from last year, so good luck Matt!

Clear outcome

Superior offence, superior defence, superior QB, home field, tiny number to cover thanks to last week`s misleading result. Thank you very much, don`t mind if I do.

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Prediction:

Tip: 1 AH (-3)
Odd: 1.87
Bookie: SportsAlive


19 Sep

Match preview: New York Jets – New England Patriots

The Jets are off a short week here, having played the Baltimore Ravens on Monday night and lost. While the defence did play well I was appalled at the offence and really cannot see what all this Superbowl talk is all about. Media hype coming out of trumpets attached to anuses. Don`t edit that! It`s a regular word. So, while the Patriots have Brady, the Jets have Mark Sanchez. As I mentioned, last year the Jets did well the first time they played their rivals but in the next one, their last match against each other, Sanchez made only 8 passes all game for a measly 136 yards. He also got intercepted 4 times, meaning his one touchdown wasn`t worth jack. I think Belichick knows how to play the Jets, and he certainly knows how to get Sanchez to play the game on his terms. Look for the Patriots to kill the Jets run game and force Sanchez to come up with the big plays and win it on his own. What do you think will happen?

Motivated

Right, this is a big game. But it`s more than just a division game. These two teams have been rivals for a long time now, and even with Tom Brady back, all the preseason talk has been about the Jets being the team to watch as possible Superbowl candidates. Belichick and his Patriots team dominated the NFL until recently, winning 3 in 4 years, and just based on their ego, they`ll want to walk out of here with a crushing win. On last weeks evidence, I wouldn`t rule that out. Last year, the Jets met the Patriots when Brady was only just coming back from a whole season out due to injury. It was actually just his 2nd game back, and the Jets defence did have their way on that occasion. In the 2nd meeting, Brady, now recovered and more settled, threw for over 300 yards and beat the Jets. So why are we seeing the Patriots as only 3 point favourites when they are off a blowout win last week? It`s not like Cincinnati are rubbish. New England were just that good, and I can see Moss and Welker combine well with Brady to get some very fast scoring going here. The Patriots rushed pretty well too, and again I should say, Cincinnati has a very capable defence. They still got burned for 118 yards on the ground. That will be challenged here though I must say, as the Jets did a good job stopping the Baltimore rush.

Better team will win

3 points? Hell yeah.
The Patriots get the win, covering the spread

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Prediction:

Tip: 2 AH (-3)
Odd: 2.00
Bookie: Betfred


19 Sep

Match preview: Oakland Raiders – St. Louis Rams

The Raiders also lost their opener last week, but it came at the hands of the Titans. They were outclassed 38-13 in a rout, and I think it`s helping us get Oakland with a very small spread. Jason Campbell is the QB at Oakland, and the veteran could not help his team get close last week, but this week he will have more success against a weaker Rams defence. Darren McFadden should be able to get some movement with the rush too, as they might try that from time to time, seeing as the Rams did manage some sacks last week.

Motivated

Arizona made the Rams look better than they are, in my opinion, where St. Louis lost the game via a 4th quarter touchdown. 17-13 the final score, and they have been made underdogs here again, but by only 3 points. Oddsmakers normally give teams a 3 point advantage if they`re playing at home. Am I seriously being asked to believe the Rams are as good as the Raiders? So what do the Rams have in their Arsenal? QB Sam Bradford. He was the No. 1 pick from Oklahoma, and last week he got intercepted 3 times by Arizona. He had only 253 yards on 55 attempts, of which he completed just 32. The rookie QB cannot be relied to do all the work, and I can see them giving the ball to Jackson this week a bit more to get some rushing yardage seeing as Oakland gave up a lot on the ground to the Titans.

A good battle

This is a value pick for me. The number is just too small and at next to even money, it has to be taken. Oakland -3.5

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Prediction:

Tip: 1 AH (-3.5)
Odd: 2.08
Bookie: Pinnacle


19 Sep

Match preview: Tennessee Titans – Pittsburgh Steelers

Tennessee destroyed Oakland 38-13 last week, and I can`t understand how they are favourites by just 5 points. They are good candidates for a blowout win this week, and here`s why. The Titans, in addition to boasting a defence that can do what`s required, has a very lethal and potent offence that can hit you through the air and on the ground. So which do you concentrate on defending? QB Vince Young was excellent last week, completing 13 of 17 passes for 154 yards. He threw 2 touchdowns and got his highest passer rating of his career, 142.8. Meanwhile, Chris Johnson was terrorising the Oakland rush defence, as he pounded the ball for 142 yards and ran in 2 touchdowns. And these were not trick plays. Oakland knew what was about to happen, tried to stop it, and failed.

Solid

Pittsburgh rode its defence last week to take the game against Atlanta to overtime, where they won, 15-9. Their only chance here is if that defence can come through again, but it looks difficult, as the Titans were on fire last week and I can`t see their performance sagging here in Tennessee. I can`t stress enough the effect of the loss of Big Ben Roethlisberger. Their Superbowl winning QB is out injured and his replacement, Dennis Dixon isn`t nearly good enough. He went 18 of 26 last week for 236 yards, giving up an interception, which could have been 2 or 3, had Atlanta just held on to the ball instead of dropping them. In short, Pittsburgh rode their luck too.

Home win

The Pittsburgh offence will not manage to rack up points here. So it will be down to the defence to try and keep them in it. But with the Titans good both in the air and on the ground, that will be difficult. They`re going to get done one way or the other.

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Prediction:

Tip: 1 AH (-5)
Odd: 1.95
Bookie: Pinnacle


19 Sep

Match preview: Green Bay Packers – Buffalo Bills

The Packers left Philly last week with their first win over the Eagles since 1962. The 27-20 win came despite QB Aaron Rodgers underperforming, in my opinion. He threw 2 touchdown passes, to Driver and Jennings, but got intercepted 3 times while only racking up 188 yards. The defence he faces this week is probably the worst in the NFL, and the superbowl contenders can stamp their authority here with a dominating win. The chances will come in bunches, and I can`t see Rodgers having 2 unimpressive starts. Rodgers will have to perform, as the Packers lost their RB Ryan Grant to an ankle injury and he will sadly be out for the year. In his absence, the ball will be handed to Brandon Jackson when the Cheeseheads decide to pound it on the ground. Jackson had 68 yards against the Eagles last week, and if he gets given the ball here I reckon he can go for more than 100.

Not good

The Bills went down 15-10 in week 1, combining for just 166 yards of total offence against Miami, worst amongst all offenses in Week 1. The rushing game was a shambles, totalling just 38 yards on 14 carries. It was left for QB Trent Edwards to lead the offence through the air, and he threw for an uninspiring 139 yards, throwing a touchdown, but getting his team just 9 first downs. This week the Bills will face a run defence that was ranked first in the NFL last year. So lets quickly forget about that as the Bills will have to try passing, and passing alone. Trent Edwards isn`t as dynamic as Rodgers, the Green Bay QB. While Rodgers has the bottle to make big plays, Edwards, who came to the Bills from Stanford, refuses to make big plays and opts for small safe throws. That tactic will fail here, and if he does decide to try the big one, it`s going to end in turnovers.

Easy to win

Packers -13 looks the pick, as I see the Packers running away with this by 17-21 points.

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Prediction:

Tip: 1 AH (-13)
Odd: 2.02
Bookie: Pinnacle


19 Sep

Match preview: Atlanta Falcons – Arizona Cardinals

Gone is Kurt Warner, and this team does not look the same without him. They now have Derek Anderson throwing the ball for them and he passed for 297 yards on 22 of 41, including a 21 yard touchdown pass to Larry Fitzgerald in the fourth quarter to help his team win 17-14. So why am I not impressed? `Cause they were playing the Rams. Struggling to have to come from behind in the 4th quarter to beat the Rams highlights the fact that this team is one that has regressed. So, at least the Cardinals still have Fitzgerald, who was responsible for so many catches from Warner on their exciting run to the Superbowl. He`s the only one left however, as Anquan Boldin (Feckin` AnQUAN? who makes up these names?) has left to play for the Baltimore Ravens. That limits Andersons options, and Atlanta already proved last week against the Steelers that they are capable of keeping opposing teams relatively quiet. I`m afraid the offence here will have a tough time, and it will come down to the defence, who will have to try and stifle an Atlanta offensive line that was kept quiet last week, despite being capable of a lot more.

Solid

The Falcons will not have been pleased with that result. They kept pace with the Steelers defence and ended up losing in OT. That was a game they could have won, and QB Matt Ryan will want to put up a better offensive performance this week, against weaker opponents in front of the home fans down in Georgia. Ryan threw for 250+ yards but didn`t have a touchdown pass, but then again Pittsburgh did play good defence. The Cardinals defence isn`t that good, as the low score last week was down to the Rams unimpressive offence. Michael Turner should also have a good game here, as his rushing will be more effective against Arizona.

Comfortable Atlanta

Atlanta did not give up a touchdown in Pittsburgh for the whole 60 minutes of regular time. They`ll be able to put up a similar performance here and Matt Ryan will finally get his season started with a performance including multiple touchdown passes. I think the Falcons roll over the Cardinals here with the line at less than 7, I think the play has to be on Atlanta -6.5.

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Prediction:

Tip: 1 AH (-6.5 AH)
Odd: 1.96
Bookie: Pinnacle


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