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Posts Tagged ‘Europa League’

The unstable AEK (already 10 points behind leaders Olympiakos in the league after 14 rounds) have had a decent Europa League campaign as they are in a great position to secure the second spot before the last round. The hosts have a 3 points lead over third place Anderlecht, which means that even a draw against already qualified Zenit will be enough to qualify. OAKA Stadium have become a fortress as AEK haven`t lost a single game at home this year, with the last defeat coming in Europa League against Everton on last December.

Already qualified

Zenit are already secured the top spot, winning 5 out of 5 so far on Group G and according to defender Lombaerts, they will try to end the group stage with a perfect record of 18 points for an extra bonus (15.000 euro/player). Coach Luciano Spalletti decided to give a rest to key players like Kryzhanac(D), Bystrov (M), Danny (M), Kerzhakov (F) and team captain Anyukov (D), though Zenit had no problems to outplay Anderlecht (3-1) on last Europa League game even without this players.

Balanced game

There is no doubt that Zenit has much more quality on their squad, even with the absentees, but the big crowd support and the motivational factor will make the game very balanced and equal. The hosts will be more than happy with the much needed point, a result that will not upset the Russians too much.

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Prediction:

Tip: X
Odd: 3,25
Bookie: Expekt


Bad form and injuries

Anderlecht has surely disappointed their fans this season as they failed to promote to CL, which was their main goal this season, while they proved a lack of interest for playing in EL. However, before the last round they still have chances to go through in case they win this clash and second-placed AEK loses their match. They’ve got one of the most talented European players Lukaku in their squad, while there are also a few other fine players on their squad such are Boussoufa, Biglia, etc. They played a goalless draw against Lokeren in the Belgian league the other day which was a poor result so they will try to improve the impression in front of their fans in their maybe the last match in Europe this season.

Poor

Hajduk is playing rather bad on the road this season and can advance further only in case they win this match and AEK doesn’t win more than one point, which is a bit unrealistic to expect, and judging by the performances they’ve been showing, I don’t believe they can do something bigger in Belgium. They’ve been playing rather bad for some time now, not putting in too much effort even though they’ve got a solid squad. Here, they will be playing without much pressure obviously, which sometimes can be a positive thing for the team, so one can never know what kind of face they will show in this kind of a match. In the last round of Croatian c’ship, they beat local rivals Sibenik on the road by 1:3, so that could be an encouraging sign before this away game.

Relaxed

Anderlecht has suffered a shameful defeat in Split in the first clash between these two sides so they’re surely gonna want to revenge to the Croats, and at the same time attempt to go through in case of a favorable result in the return leg. Hajduk is arriving without any imperative to win and will also be going for the triumph, and in that situation I’ve got to go for the goals as I expect an open battle till the end and surely plenty of goal chances, and goals. I think that both sides could score at least one each, while I believe the Belgians are still closer to win it. A scoreline like 3:1 or 4:1 could be some realistic prediction. Goood luck!

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Prediction:

Tip: Over 2.75
Odd: 1.95
Bookie: 188bet


Montepaschi is best Italian team and are going according to plan both in Italy and Europe. They play very good basketball and after slow start in Italy they are now destroying their opponents with big difference. They have only 1 defeat in Italy in away game and also 1 in Euroleague again in away game and it was from their todays opponent .They will want to pay back to Turkish team for big defeat in Istanbul and continue their unbeaten run.

Best Turkish team

Fenerbahce are also going according to plan and are top team in Turkey without loss and are already qualified for second faze in Euroleague. They had very good team that was able to win Barcelona in away game and also Montepaschi at home, but after that success they somehow pull off the pedal and registered two defeats in last 3 rounds.Today will have tough job to stay unbeaten against motivated hosts, but they will fight and can stay close in the game.

Exciting and high scoring game

Montepaschi is favorite in this game but Turks play much better this year then previous when were regularly beaten by the Italians no matter they play in Siena or Istanbul.This year they finally beat them and that win was impressive. Even more impressive was 8 point win in Barcelona and they show that are dangerous team. Even I think this will be win for Siena odds are very small and I don’t like handicap on them.I will choose over in this game since both have good shooters and both secured place in next rounds. Pressure won’t be that big on them and they will try to show who is better in exciting game. Most of their games went over this line and I think today that trend will continue. High stakes on this one.

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Prediction:

Tip: Over 148.5
Odd: 1.80
Bookie: Bet365


nderlecht has surely disappointed their fans this season as they failed to promote to CL, which was their main goal this season, while they proved a lack of interest for playing in EL. However, before the last round they still have chances to go through in case they win this clash and second-placed AEK loses their match. They’ve got one of the most talented European players Lukaku in their squad, while there are also a few other fine players on their squad such are Boussoufa, Biglia, etc. They played a goalless draw against Lokeren in the Belgian league the other day which was a poor result so they will try to improve the impression in front of their fans in their maybe the last match in Europe this season.

Poor

Hajduk is playing rather bad on the road this season and can advance further only in case they win this match and AEK doesn’t win more than one point, which is a bit unrealistic to expect, and judging by the performances they’ve been showing, I don’t believe they can do something bigger in Belgium. They’ve been playing rather bad for some time now, not putting in too much effort even though they’ve got a solid squad. Here, they will be playing without much pressure obviously, which sometimes can be a positive thing for the team, so one can never know what kind of face they will show in this kind of a match. In the last round of Croatian c’ship, they beat local rivals Sibenik on the road by 1:3, so that could be an encouraging sign before this away game.

Relaxed

Anderlecht has suffered a shameful defeat in Split in the first clash between these two sides so they’re surely gonna want to revenge to the Croats, and at the same time attempt to go through in case of a favorable result in the return leg. Hajduk is arriving without any imperative to win and will also be going for the triumph, and in that situation I’ve got to go for the goals as I expect an open battle till the end and surely plenty of goal chances, and goals. I think that both sides could score at least one each, while I believe the Belgians are still closer to win it. A scoreline like 3:1 or 4:1 could be some realistic prediction. Goood luck!

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Prediction:

Tip: Over 2.75
Odd: 1.95
Bookie: 188bet


Leverkusen has got a great record over the past 10 matches (7-3-0). Coach Jupp Heynckes has got an excellent squad at his disposition, with the attack composed of the Swiss duo Derdiyok-Barnetta, while the main man in the midfield is captain Simon Rolfes, and there is also Hanno Balitsch, Burak Kaplan and Nikolai Jorgensen. Leverkusen has got 11 out of possible 15 points so far in EL which is terrific, and besides the top spot in the tables is already secured. The hosts are not favorites even though they should be that according to all rules as they’re in better form than Atletico, but Madrid side is a slight fav after all. We’ll see what happens but I believe Bayer will show their power and dominance in this match.

They need to take points

Atletico side has got the same amount of points as third-placed Aris, and in case of a bad result here and Aris’ positive result, they will end their EL session for this season. They’re set as favs here exactly cause they’ve got to get the win but it can easily happen they bow down under pressure. Aguero, Forlan and co. are arriving to cold Germany to look for a triumph, they’re one fast-paced side playing attractive footie with lots of counter attacks so we should expect plenty of goal-scoring chances for them here. I think they’ll stand decent chances to win but will they take an advantage of them, it remains to be seen.

Derby

This is certainly one of the main derbies this Thursday, where two really good sides will feature. Atletico is the favorite mainly cause they have to win here as they haven’t secured their place in the knockout stages of EL. Bayer is undefeated in the last 10 matches so far proving they’re in an incredible shape. Since I’m unsure about the winner here I am gonna be going for goals, and my advice is to try with the over 2.5. Good luck!

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Prediction:

Tip: Over 2.5
Odd: 1.80
Bookie: Stan James


Napoli`s priority this season is the league, so in Europa League they used to field a mixed squad, however, Walter Mazzari`s side still has the destiny into their own hands, as a victory over Steaua will secure them qualification to the next stage of competition. The hosts are passing a great patch of results, as they sit just behind leaders AC Milan, level on points with Juve and Lazio and the fans are already thinking at Champions League for the next season. Mazzari`s lads have won 3 home games in a row in Serie A, while in Europa League they ended as goaless draws both their matches.

Suicidal tactic

The guests have stated that they won`t sit back and park the bus and that they will go out and try to score, but the reality is opposite, as Steaua will be ultra-defensive minded. Coach Lacatus will use a 4 men back line and 3 defensive midfielders, with the only players concerned about attack being quick wingers Surdu and Szekely and hot prospect Stancu, who will play as a lone striker. There aren`t too many options on the bench, either, as winger Nicolita and striker Kapetanos are suspended, skipper Tanase is injured, while another striker Bilasco is ineligible, so the subs will be Bicfalvi (holding midfielder), youngster Matei (still no game as a starter) or Radut, actually quite a dangerous player, but his last game was one month ago.

One way game

The only dilemma in this game is how much motivation Napoli has, as they could sacrifice Europa League for the Champions League battle. Under normal circumstances, this should be a home win, as there will be 50.000 fanatic fans supporting the team, while the magical trio Hamsik-Lavezzi-Cavani should find a way to break a defense which conceded in average 2 goals per game on Europa League games. However, the safest bet here is Steaua not to score, as their main concern will be to defend. Wingers Surdu and Szekely are very quick, but I doubt that they will get many chances, while Stancu, who is the only player capable of scoring a goal, will not play on his favourite position and will be less threatening without injured Tanase`s assists.

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Prediction:

Tip: Napoli to keep a clean sheet
Odd: 1.90
Bookie: Gamebookers


Club Brugge is totally average side in Belgium this season, currently holding the 6th place in the Jupiler league and will be expecting a hard struggle for one of the European places till the end of the season. They’re doing even worse in EL than last year, as they’re currently last-placed in the group with only 3 points from 5 matches and with no chances of going through. They fought for one point in the last round against PAOK on the road scoring a late equalizer, while they defeated Mechelen on the road by 0:1, which was their first away win in 2 months and was recorded mostly due to the fact the hosts were playing with 10 men for the most part of the match. Team atmosphere is bad and good form of their best scorer Vargas doesn’t help much either. From the rest of the players, the only guy worth mentioning on their squad is Croat Ivan Perisic.

Yellow Submarine to take the 1st place

Villarreal will be using their best lineup for this match as a win only will secure them the first place in the group, so they will be very motivated for this Belgian trip. They’re playing really good in Primera this season currently being at the great 3rd spot right behind giants Barcelona and Real Madrid. In the last round of Primera, the Yellow Submarine got sunk on the road against Getafe by 1:0 despite the fact they had a player more, domination and plenty of chances in that match. Villarreal has shown 2 faces in EL this season having a perfect record at home with 3 wins out of 3 matches, while they’ve got a disappointing record away with 2 losses from that many matches, so it’s finally time for them to put up one good display outside their stadium.

Away win

This match will feature two sides with totally opposite ambitions and different moods. The hosts have a very tough upcoming match against powerful Anderlecht in the domestic league next weekend so they’ve concentrated on that completely, while the guests want to ensure the first spot in the EL group and are arriving with the best squad. In their first clash played in Spain, Villarreal barely won but the scoreline should’ve been a lot more convincing in their favor as the Spanish side is a lot more technically superior compared to the Belgians. The odds over 2.00 are great and I’ll suggest you to try with an AW for some medium-high stakes. Good luck!

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Prediction:

Tip: 2
Odd: 2.15
Bookie: William Hill


AZ Alkmaar is an excellent side that’s playing quite good this year even though they lost their last Eredivisie game on the road by 2:0 against Groningen. They wasted their chance to go through in EL mostly by playing poor on the road, recording only 1 out of possible 9 points. So at home they’re doing a lot better and now have a chance to win and improve the overall impression they’ve left in Europe this season. They lost their last home match exactly in EL, losing to Dinamo Kyev back in October, since when they played at home 5 more times drawing once and winning 4 times. They can use this match as a revenge for the defeat they suffered in Belarus (4:1), and I think they will manage to use it in a proper way. 

Hoping for the first spot

BATE has got the same amount of points as Dinamo Kyev, who they lost against in the previous round so in case of a win here they might even end up at the first place, but that isn’t too important and realistic to expect anyway, but it should be mentioned they played rather poor against Dynamo in the last round. BATE has got 3 losses in a row and their players are on a break for a while now, already thinking about the rest, so I think they can record the 4th one in a row. They only have 2 foreigners in the squad, Brazilian Bressan and Armenian striker Gohryan. All in all, I don’t think they will put too much interest and effort into this match even though they will certainly try to take an advantage of all the opportunities to score and win.

All is already resolved

BATE is already through in this competition and are quite calm before the last round of EL. AZ Alkmaar also hasn’t got too many motives, and are only trying not to be last in the tables and improve the overall impression in Europe in front of their fans. My advice will be a bet on a home win. Good luck!

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Prediction:

Tip: 1
Odd: 1.95
Bookie: William Hill


Just like the title of this paragraph, Dinamo has got to go all or nothing from the start of this match, without any hesitation as the stakes are just too high. Dinamo has got an incredible opportunity to play in Europe the following spring for the first time in 40 years. They failed to do that even when they had a great generation with Boban, Suker, and the rest. Most of Dinamo’s players have been hearing stories about this historical chance and this kind of a game since they were very young, and now they’ve got a chance to participate in one. While they’ve been stopped by Arsenal, Newcastle and others in the past years of the group stages, this year, they have the deciding game against Greek PAOK. Dinamo’s squad has strengthened their team by hiring centre-back Tonel from Sporting Lisboa this year, and two great strikers Rukavina from Panathinaikos and Beciraj, who is in great form. The midfield is usually led by Dinamo’s play creator Sammir. But, a big problem for them this Wednesday will be the absence of captain Biscan, and their best centre back Cufre, while another issue is the fact Croatian U21 player Vrsaljko is still limping and the doctors are trying to get him ready in time by Wednesday. So, it could be said Dinamo is pretty-much without the usual defensive lineup, which will be replaced by a few youngsters that are quite talented and the Croatian national team prospects.

Defensive guests

PAOK, a famous Greek club, has got quite a lot of European experience and that is exactly what they’re gonna be using before this visit to Zagreb. PAOK squad is extremely compact and tough, and they will certainly be playing a destructive footie in Zagreb, trying to break down the hosts’ fluent play in the midfield. Their away playing style is based on a narrow and tight midfield that is created to disable the rival’s quick passes and ball flow. They can’t lose the match on Wednesday and will be doing their best in order to prevent that. They’ve got quite a few knowledgeable players such are Misimovic, Vierhinha, Ivic, Salpingidis, Garcia and captain Contreras.

All set for success

The info that I’ve got is that Dinamo has acquired a special cover for the court in order to prevent the pitch from getting wet and enable the perfect playing conditions for this match. For the first time, their charismatic chairman Mamic has spent as much as 150k euros so that every fan at the stadium can receive a winter cap and Dinamo scarf, and as many as 36k people are expected at this ‘historical spectacle’ which is the title given by everybody in Dinamo’s squad. The stadium will surely be crowded as the interest for the tickets is huge in Croatia. The home fans are extremely fired up to welcome their “Orthodox brothers” from Greece, especially because their fans are in great relations with Partizan’s Grobari fans, so the Greeks will be expecting extremely hostile atmosphere this Wednesday at Maksimir stadium. That probably won’t be much of an obstacle for PAOK’s fans, knowing that the Greek players are used to such tough road matches, but the young Dinamo’s players are gonna be playing under such intense atmosphere for the first time and will definitely be flying high, giving a lot more than they objectively can offer. Realistically speaking, Dinamo is a lot better side than PAOK, who is just an average European side on the road, and if they manage to get back at least a tiny bit of the inspiration from the previous matches, Dinamo will finally get a chance to play in Europe in the spring. I expect a tough and close game, but the advantage is on the home side and I don’t think the Greeks will save points here. Good luck!

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Prediction:

Tip: 1 AH (-0.5)
Odd: 1.94
Bookie: 12bet


BATE had an excellent season so far, them being already qualified from EL groups after only 4 games played and they were also crowned champions of Belarus for the 7th time in their history. With a win today or a low scoring draw, they will top the group charts no matter what will happen in the last round. Anyway, it is obvious they are losing pace lately and, most likely, the players can’t focus anymore after achieving all their goals this season. They are coming after 2 consecutive home defeats, one against Shakhtar Soligorsk in the league and the other against Dinaom Brest in the Cup, the players looking like they are in vacation already.

One step away

Dinamo needs a win today in order to go through, although a draw could settle them as well but this will force them to win the last group game against Sheriff. They are the club with most shots on goal from the group stage (31) but they have scored only 6 times so far which questions a little their strikers ability. Since Gazzaev resigned and caretaker Luzhny took charge they seemed to improve a little, winning both games against AZ in EL. Since they are 12 points behind Shakhtar in the domestic league, their only hope for a successful season will be a longer run in the EL.

Away win

In Kiev, the game between these two teams ended 2-2, after a spectacular game. This is giving more options to BATE for tonights game but, as I previously said, its players find it hard to pull themselves together lately. Luzhny stated Dinamo will go for a win since they don’t want to rely on their last group game and they have all the required means to achieve it. Most likely it will be freezing at Minsk tonight, with around -18 degrees projected, but both teams are used to play in such weather conditions. The odds for Dinamo’s win are very tasty and worth to be backed with some small-medium stakes.

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Prediction:

Tip: 2
Odd: 2.53
Bookie: 5Dimes


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