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Posts Tagged ‘England Premier League’

05 Jan

Match preview: Bolton – Wigan

With 3 defeats from the last 4 played, and only 1 win, there is reason to worry about the form of Bolton, but not enough to feel that they have collapsed in anyway. Chelsea, Sunderland, Liverpool, were all `aways` and none of them were defeats due to the gap in class. Single goal margins show that the Trotters are still holding steady, but the failure to score vs Sunderland and Chelsea needs to be addressed.

Facing lowly Wigan back on home turf should provide them with a golden opportunity to pick up 3pts and keep the team spirits high. That`s one thing that I feel Owen Coyle has done well in building: team spirit, and he will see the rewards from that over the whole season.

Home form : 5-4-1, and that tells you everything you need to know for this bet.

Wobbling again

Their 1-0 defeat to Newcastle ended an unbeaten run of 4 games for Wigan, and it was a pretty damp squid of a display in front of the home fans that saw them end it.

They have struggled all season with gaining consistency, and yet when they do finally manage to get some going they fall at what was a weakish hurdle in the form of Newcastle `away`.

On their travels they have been woeful and there was little to suggest that they can produce a different performance tonight after a matter of a few days.

A regular goalscorer would make a big difference as I think there are elements to WIgan`s game that should see them survive on merit, but until then they will stay major relegation candidates.

Home Win Again

Bolton are solid at home, with only that single, and very undeserving, loss to Liverpool blotting the books.

The last meeting ended 1-1, and that would be my choice again if this was an away game for the Trotters, however with Home dominance quite clear I see no evidence to support anything other than the continuation of that, and another 3 pt game.

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Prediction:

Tip: 1
Odd: 1.80
Bookie: 12Bet


04 Jan

Match preview: Blackpool – Birmingham

Blackpool yet again fool so many with an excellent display in defeat at Champion contenders Man City last time out.
After a superb run of results, including their amazing `away` form (ranked 3rd overall), Blackpool nearly took a well deserved point from the misfiring Tevez and Co, and I think there will be a lot of positives that manager Holloway will take from that performance.

Home form is harder to assess as they have only played 6 times due to weather conditions, but 2-2-2 isn`t that bad. They have scored in every game, averaging 1.83, but also conceded at the same rate.

Birmingham struggle to score and so the hosts have a massive advantage going into this one. Open and attacking play typifies this Blackpool squad, and confidence is something they have in abundance.

DJ Campbell is finding his groove, with 3 in the last 3 games, whole midfield man Charlie Adam is continuing to provide creativity in delivery as well as a powerful shot on goal as well.

The Tangerines look sweet to me.

Dismal and dire

As someone who has had a sizeable bet on Birmingham to score 45points or more this season I will be praying that money is spent wisely in January to try and secure a striker that can actually STRIKE!!

McLeish likes his `hard to beat` tag, and would be delighted with a season of 0-0 draws and Premiership survival. He knows the limitations he has to work with, but a lot of those are down to his choice of player.
He loaned Garry O`Connor out to Barnsley when he was lacking in a decent target man, as Zigic simply hasn`t worked out how to play in the EPL. O`Connor is doing well now, and they could do with him back in the squad.

Kevin Philips as an impact sub has some logic, but he`s too old and off the pace to be fully effective. McFadden is injured , and Jerome is like a ghost sometimes.

Won only 3 from 19 played, and average under a goal a game. There`s not much else to say, really.

All in all Birmingham are 2 or 3 players short of a proper squad and with a Blackpool team who look pretty much complete I can`t see how they will be able to plan for anything other than another shutout and a 0-0 draw.

Goals win games, and Blackpool score them while Birmingham don`t.

Holloway Holiday

With a pitch that may not be in tip top condition, but good enough to use, there is always the chance of a funny result, but unless Blackpool go out and play their worst game of the season I don`t think they can lose this one.

Campbell, Varney, Adam…there are enough in form to threaten Joe Hart all game.
Birmingham don`t have a single `go to guy` at the moment and their easy defeat by Arsenal showed how they struggle against a free flowing side, which Blackpool are fast becoming.

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Prediction:

Tip: 1
Odd: 2.40
Bookie: PaddyPower


29 Dec

Match preview: Liverpool – Wolverhampton

Liverpool FC is placed in 11th spot (22 points, 6W – 4D – 7L) in the English Premier League. They have played 17 matches and they also have two suspended games, so they can climb up spots in the League table when they fight for the points in these games.
Their last game was played on 11th December, so they have had two weeks for thinking on that defeat against Newcastle United (3-1) away from home. They need one victory to recover their hopes to continue climbing in the EPL. Liverpool FC won clearly their last three matches at home.
LFC – Chelsea FC (2-0). LFC – WHU (3-0). LFC – Aston Villa (3-0).
The called squad for this match is: Reina, Johnson, Skrtel, Kyrgiakos, Konchesky, Kuyt, Meireles, Lucas, Rodriguez, Gerrard, Torres, Jones, Kelly, Aurelio, Poulsen, Cole, Ngog, Babel, Agger and Shelvey.
They will recover their great connection Steven Gerrard, who returns to the team, and Fernando Torres upfront. They will also recover Daniel Agger (central defender). However they will have the absence of James Carragher (central defender) who is injured.

Wolves? Maybe Teddy Bears

Wolverhampton Wanderers is the rock bottom (15 points, 4W – 3D – 11L) in the English Premier League. They lost their last match against Wigan Athletic (1-2, a direct contender) at home. This defeat has sent to a dramatic situation in the last spot of the League table.
Mick McCarthy’s team is playing worse than last season. They used to be an aggressive team which did a great pressure in every inch of the pitch, but they have a lot of injury issues this season. They won’t have the help of several key players for this match. Karl Henry, Jody Craddock, Kevin Doyle (mainly these three players), together Mancienne and Mouyokolo will be sidelines for this encounter.
The called squad for this match is: Hennessey, Zubar, Stearman, Berra, Elokobi, Foley, Edwards, Milijas, Hunt, Ward, Ebanks-Blake, Hahnemann, Fletcher, Jarvis, Jones, Bent, Mujangi Bia and Doherty.
They will recover Kevin Jarvis and Stephen Fletcher will come back into the starting eleven against Liverpool FC.

Solid at Home

Liverpool FC is showing solid performances at home lately. I don’t think current Wolves can damage Liverpool FC’s defensive system. Watching the important match which they have on Saturday against West Ham United away from home and knowing Mick McCarthy, he can do several changes in the game against Liverpool FC, resting key players for that decisive match against WHU at Upton Park.
So, I expect Mick McCarthy field an offensive team to reserve a more serious team for Upton Park. They will try to play opener than other visits to Anfield Road and I think Liverpool will find more spaces behind Wolves’ back line. Maybe this thought is a wish more than a reality, but Wolves would have to do a perfect match to clinch something at Anfield.
Liverpool FC have improved so much, at least at home, in last matches, Hodgson put Meireles in the right spot at last and Reds started to create football. I think Gerrard’s return is a great news and Steven, Meireles, Kuyt and Fernando Torres can sweep and trash Wolves easily, at least these Wolves.
I think Reds will play at full strength to farewell this year in front of their loyal home crowd. Bookmakers know perfectly this situation and they have placed the handicap line on AH (-1.5). Maybe it’s a big line after watching Liverpool FC’s season so far, but I strongly think Liverpool are going to manage good results in the following matches with their best players ready to play. I will invest my low stake due to this high handicap for current Liverpool FC. I think Reds will be capable of covering, but I prefer to be cautious with Roy Hodgson’s team.

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Prediction:

Tip: 1 AH (-1.5)
Odd: 2.00
Bookie: Bet365


29 Dec

Match preview: Chelsea – Bolton

The London Blues are winless in the last 5 matches, recording their last triumph in Champions League against horrible Zilina at home by narrow 2:1. They’ve had a few injury issues, primarily they were without their playmaker Lampard, who returned against Arsenal in an unsuccessful manner playing rather poor, while their injury list still consists of Alex, Benayoun and Zhirkov, while it is expected their striker Anelka will be back to the team after missing the Arsenal derby. Coach Ancelotti’s job is in question and after his team’s bad display from 3 days ago, a negative result here could mean the end of his Chelsea career.

A lot beyond the expectations

Bolton is playing a dream season and are currently 6th in the tables with only 2 points less than their today’s rivals Chelsea and it’s certain they’re coming to London full of confidence. Manager Coyle is leading the squad in an outstanding way and they’re playing extremely offensive and beautiful to watch. They’re a lot better at home than on the road but I think they’re more than capable of putting in a good display outside their Reebok stadium, which they’ve shown more than once so far. For this match, they’ll be without South-Korean Chung-Yong Lee, who is away at the Asian Cup with his national team. The injury list still consists of Samuel, Gardner, Davis and O’Brien.

Chelsea continues to struggle

I expect yet another tough match for Chelsea, which will most probably end in Chelsea losing a few more points as the Blues aren’t playing impressive at all for a long time now and are totally out of form, while Bolton is playing incredibly good this season and is arriving to London with lots of optimism. I’m gonna suggest you a bet on the visitors not to lose by more than 1 goal as the odds are really beautiful. This will most likely be my last bet in 2010.and I hope you’ll find it useful. Have a great New Years!

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Prediction:

Tip: 2 AH (+1.5)
Odd: 1.93
Bookie: Pinnacle


18 Dec

Match preview: Liverpool – Fulham

Liverpool will be looking to bounce back after the shameful defeat against Newcastle and a home game against 17th place Fulham looks the perfect opportunity. Furthermore, captain Steven Gerrard is set to return after a month on the sidelines, while Torres is fresh after being rested in midweek on the Europa League game. In contrast with their away record, where they lost 6 of their 9 games, the Reds have been much more impressive on Anfield with 17 points (5W, 2D, 1L), a tally beaten only by Chelsea and Man. Utd and 3 clean sheets in a row.

Tough season

Fulham is sitting just above the relegation zone on goal difference with a record of 2 wins, 10 draws and 5 defeats. The guests are winless in the last 7 rounds, are yet to win a game away from home this season (the last victory on the road came on the opening day of the 2009/10 season) and have never won at Liverpool (5 defeats and 4 goaless draws in the last decade).

Hodgson against his former side

Fulham are traditionally very poor on the road and in the absence of Bobby Zamora and Moussa Dembele they are hopeless in attack, and adding the fact that Liverpool boss Hodgson knows them in detail, they don`t have too many reasons to be confident. All they can hope for is a goaless draw, but they are less solid at the back than on Hodgson era, while Liverpool have scored 10 goals on their last 4 league games and have talismanic captain Gerrard back in the squad.

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Prediction:

Tip: 1 AH (-1)
Odd: 1,99
Bookie: Pinnacle


13 Dec

Match preview: Manchester United – Arsenal

Despite being less impressive this season and not having Wayne Rooney at his best, Man Utd. remain the only unbeaten side from the Premier League in their opening 15 league matches (8W, 7D) and have lost just once in 29 matches in all competitions. They have a perfect record on Old Traford (7 wins and a draw), scoring an average of 3 goals per game. No selection worries for Sir Alex, as Rio Ferdinand and Paul Scholes have recovered, while Wes Brown and Jonny Evans are also available

On top of the table

Arsenal is on top of the table, level on points with Man City, but with a game in hand, and one point clear of Man Utd. The Gunners are on a four games winning run in all competitions and have won four out of their last five league games, while they also boast the best away record from the league (5W, 2D, 1L), but this is the big test for Wenger`s side. Kieran Gibbs is out, while Cesc Fabregas is doubtful and Wenger has rated him with only a “small chance” of facing United.

The Gunners against the tradition

Arsenal have always been competitive and a real title challenger, but if they want to win their first silverware since 2005, they need to improve their stats against arch rivals, as Arsenal`s record in their last 10 games in all competitions against Man Utd and Chelsea is: P10 W0 D1 L9 F5 A22 and the Gunners have lost seven of their last nine trips to Old Trafford in league and cup. It will be the moment of truth for Wenger`s lads and their unproven goalie Fabianski and the central defensive pairing of Koscielny and Squillaci. Arsenal`s philosophy is to score one more than they concede (they have failed to score only on 3 of their 25 competitive games this season), so goals shouldn`t be a problem for the Gunners. Rooney loves to score against Arsenal, as he scored his first Premier League goal and his first league goal for Manchester against the Gunners, while Berbatov (11 league goals this season), Chamakh (7 league goals) or Nasri (12 goals/8 in the league), who scored 4 goals in the last 3 rounds, are good bets in the scorers market. This is a hard game to predict, but there should be some goals with free-scoring Arsenal and their shaky defense (8 out of the last 10 head-to-heads have been Overs).

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Prediction:

Tip: Over 2.5
Odd: 1.93
Bookie: 188Bet


12 Dec

Match preview: Wolverhampton – Birmingham

Wolves managed their 3rd win this season two rounds ago, after a roller coaster game against Sunderland. They were 1-2 down with 10 minutes to go and still managed to turn things around. When everyone thought this should be some kind of a morale boost for them, cam the trip to Blackburn and another disappointing defeat was added to an even more disappointing performance. They are the second team from the bottom and it will take some sort of a miracle to happen in order to avoid the relegation this year. Moreover, Nick McCarthy will have to deal with the late injury of Mouyokolo, which will join an already big injury list, while Jarvis, Jones, Mancienne and Steven Fletcher are in doubt for tomorrow’s game.

Tough to crack

Birmingham is not doing much better than their opponents, being only 6 points above them in the standings. They are an aggressive side and their main goal is not to lose rather than to risk a point going for the win. They have managed a glorious 1-0 win against Chelsea 3 rounds ago, snatching 2 draws in their last 2 games. The team is very compact and a typical stubbornness is viewable in their game, which is normal since Alex McLeish is their manager. Still, they lack creativity big time and their only player able to bring some magic in the game, Alex Hleb is injured, along with striker James McFadden.

Draw

Wolves is in a must win situation tomorrow, especially that both teams are currently fighting to avoid the drop to Championship. I believe some of the doubtful players will be recovered in time, but every miss already is a blow for them. Jarvis and Fletcher are very important for the offense and they can hardly be replaced by anyone else. Most likely, Birmingham will play their usual game, trying to cut any attack of the hosts and going for some lucky shot after. They are the team with most draws in the league (9) and a similar result tomorrow wouldn’t be a surprise. Two dull teams, a lot of pressure for both, so I predict a game full of mistakes with no team to emerge victorious in the end. Small stakes for a draw at good odds is my call.

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Prediction:

Tip: X
Odd: 3.30
Bookie: Coral


11 Dec

Match preview: Stoke – Blackpool

  • Written by: marius
  • Comments: Comments Off
  • Views: 189

Unbeaten in the last 5: 2-3-0, and 4-2-2 overall at Home, Tony Pulis will be looking to carry that momentum forward once again with the visit of Blackpool.
Not exactly the toughest test he could face, as Holloway`s troops have the worst GAA in the league: 1.93.

There isn`t much between these two as far as I`m concerned , but Stoke do sometimes that is all it takes to carve out an edge.

They do perform better in front of the home fans and their record shows that goals are pretty much a guarantee as well with a 100% record so far.

Tangerines Dream

For me , Blackpool have been a great addition to the EPL: play attacking and entertaining football, have a fantastic manager, compete at a huge financial disadvantage fantastically well, and provide every neutral fan with an interest each week.

Dropped from 11th to 13th last week, but remain a mere 3pts off 8th. There`s so much top play for this season that each week is a huge match in real terms.

They have only failed to score 4 times, and worryingly they were all on the road!

However, Stoke have not been that tight recently themselves, with only 3 clean sheets from 10.

Blackpool never give up, keep attacking to the end, and have enough routes to goal amongst the ranks that they are always a good bet to find the net, if not win.

Goals Goals Goals

Its not rocket science picking this type of bet, but I like it when you have two sides that have the GA and GF that these two do.

It`s the right bet every time.

With Stan James as low as 1.57, which is close to what I`d say it was, then the 1.75 on offer is well worth a punt.

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Prediction:

Tip: Both to Score
Odd: 1.75
Bookie: 888Sport


06 Dec

Match preview: Liverpool – Aston Villa

So much has been written about Liverpool and all its business dealings, managers, players, and poor results, that it is easy to forget about the basic stuff: the football.

To my eye it hasn`t been pretty or even that effective when you consider the players at their disposal, but recently there have been signs of some progress. The confidence of playing behind a red hot striker (Torres) is not present at the moment, nor is there the dynamism of Stevie G to feed off, but some solid efforts have been put in by the `supporting` cast of late, and Liverpool can be expected to build on that, albeit slowly.

Home form : 4-2-1 GF12 GA6. Good enough when facing opposition that have won only 1 from 7 on the road and scored only 5 in response to 15.

Houllier Hopes

Ashley Young misses this one after picking up his 5th yellow of the season in the Cup midweek. Big loss. Key player.

Villa have appeared lacking in ideas in their recent matches after showing such verve and vitality vs Man Utd, and despite throwing away that 2 goal lead so tamely that day, there was a lot to like for the future.

Losing 2-0 at Blackburn was poor, but Rovers are tough to beat at Ewood.
Arsenal took a quick lead last week, and again Villa came back with goals from rising star Ciaran Clark, but it wasn`t enough.
All a bit headless to me. Lacking the Captain`s role on the pitch.

Midweek they fell to their 3rd defeat in a row with the 2-1 loss to rivals Birmingham in the Carling Cup, and that can`t have done any good for morale.

All in all there is not a lot to really get excited about with Villa at the moment. Houllier has never been a `energy` driven manager, and like Benitez or Hodgson, you wonder how he rallies the troops in times of strife.

Goals are not flowing well for them, and there is the lack of consistency, plus the loss of 12pts from winning positions thus far that all points to another tough match tonight.

They have the talent : Albrighton, Agbonlahor, Carew, Clark, Downing, etc….so opportunities will be created, but they need to be taken and defended.

Both to Score

It`s not a game that inspires much in the way of enthusiasm, as both sides are still finding their way. Liverpool`s form at Anfield is the deciding factor when compared with Villa`s very poor away results.

Neither side`s strikers are in top form, while both defences have seen massive lapses too many times already to be deemed dependable.

The hosts have better momentum after gaining progress in Europe midweek, while Villa have to stop the rot of 3 defeats in row turning into 4.

Some tipsters have this as an easy Home win, but for Liverpool in its current condition there is no such thing as `easy`.

With Hills the only bookie over 2.00 on Both to Score, I`ll have a punt on that as Villa have yet to keep a clean sheet away, while Liverpool have only managed 3 from 7 clean sheets at Home.

So, I basically consider this game to be a `will Villa score` bet, and from that point of view I see myself getting 2.05 on Villa to score, when the actual best odds on that are only 1.70.

Not an exact science, I know, but you have to take a position at some point.

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Prediction:

Tip: Both To Score
Odd: 2.05
Bookie: William Hill


27 Nov

Match preview: Fulham – Birmingham

ust can`t score. That`s it in a nutshell.
Mark Hughes, Ol`Sparky himself , would most likely struggle in this team as well. It`s just not set up to develop the chances as it should, as it needs to.

The Man City 4-1 Home defeat was a tough one, no doubt about that, and the biggest one of the season, however, it should have been a big defeat when you look at the sides on show. What did they expect?

Birmingham are more their level, but they play a lot like Fulham, so where`s the break coming from?

With only 2 wins all season it is unlikely that facing a similarly set up side will bring rewards, and so its best to side with the visitors to improve than the hosts that still lack a standout striker that is fit.

Boring but effective

Birmingham are never pretty to watch, but they can be effective; Just ask Chelsea. They had one shot on target and scored. Prior to that they held Man City to 0-0. Tactics work for McLeish when he only has to stall the opposition, and he does that most weeks!

the Blues would have won 5 from the last 6 with AH + 0.50, so no need to change anything here.

Draw down

Both sides lack cutting edges in front of goal.

Looks like a draw, and with Birmingham most likely ahead in momentum, it is a fir price of 1.82 to see them add another point on the board and keep traction on the table.

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Prediction:

Tip: 2 AH (+0.5)
Odd: 1.82
Bookie: Canbet


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