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Posts Tagged ‘ATP US Open’

13 Sep

Match preview: Nadal – Djokovic

Rafael Nadal finally has a big chance to complete his trophy showcase and win the only remaining GS title missing there – US Open. Nadal is in an excellent shape at this USO, and no matter of the opposition he’s faced, it is still impressive to note he hasn’t dropped a single set to the finals in all of his 6 previous matches, playing only 2 tie breaks, and it was in the first 2 rounds when he was just getting warmed up. Last year he had quite a lot of failures, primarily cause of his knee issues, so he got eliminated in the USO semifinals against the later winner and phenomenal Del Potro. Now he again seems in top form, ready to show his best tennis exactly in these finals. What also suits him is the fact he’ll be quite rested, as he toyed around with Youzhny in the semis, winning that match pretty quickly.

Motivation bigger than ever

Novak Djokovic has been waiting for an opportunity to win his second Grand Slam for quite a while now, after the AO title from 2 years ago, and now he will finally have a chance to achieve something like that again. He has been eliminated by Federer from his, maybe the most favorite GS, over the past 3 years but Novak really had enough of that and from the start of this match, despite losing the first set, it was clear that Novak has a great desire to beat Federer so he never gave up even when being down 2-1 in sets, or when Roger had 2 match points on Djokovic’s serve in the 5th set. Primarily due to his brave and risky play, he managed to overcome all of that, but also cause of his big heart on the court, which helped him decide the match in his favor, and bring him a great joy. I am certain he will be at the same level in the finals, and that guarantees top tennis – as Djokovic is currently playing like in the his best days.

The Serb has a bigger heart

Although the match Federer-Djokovic was definitely finals before the finals, there is no dilemma we’re expecting yet another huge fight, where both players will be equally motivated to win the title due to different reasons. They know each other really well, they are about the same age, they are big rivals and undoubtedly after Federer retires from serious tennis, they will be the ones who will be dominating the world tennis scene at almost every tournament, so their rivalry has been huge for a long time already. Their H2H record is 14-7 in Nadal’s favor, adding that Novak won their last 3 matches in straight sets and also won more matches when they played on hard. If Novak hadn’t played such an exhausting match in the semis, the odds here would certainly be a bit more equal but such an underestimation is really not justified as Djokovic has again proven he is a brave tennis player, one of the best ones in the world, able to beat anyone out there. The only question here is what will prevail here? Djokovic’s desire to finally win another GS title after such a long time, or the tiredness factor will catch up. I think the heart will and am going on Nole to win it for smaller stake as I believe in his big heart and in another big result, and even if it doesn’t happen, it is certain that we’ll be having plenty of chances to have some nice greening out in-play. Good luck.

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Prediction:

Tip: 2
Odd: 3.85
Bookie: Pinnacle


12 Sep

Match preview: Nadal – Djokovic

Rafael Nadal finally has a big chance to complete his trophy showcase and win the only remaining GS title missing there – US Open. Nadal is in an excellent shape at this USO, and no matter of the opposition he’s faced, it is still impressive to note he hasn’t dropped a single set to the finals in all of his 6 previous matches, playing only 2 tie breaks, and it was in the first 2 rounds when he was just getting warmed up. Last year he had quite a lot of failures, primarily cause of his knee issues, so he got eliminated in the USO semifinals against the later winner and phenomenal Del Potro. Now he again seems in top form, ready to show his best tennis exactly in these finals. What also suits him is the fact he’ll be quite rested, as he toyed around with Youzhny in the semis, winning that match pretty quickly.

Motivation bigger than ever

Novak Djokovic has been waiting for an opportunity to win his second Grand Slam for quite a while now, after the AO title from 2 years ago, and now he will finally have a chance to achieve something like that again. He has been eliminated by Federer from his, maybe the most favorite GS, over the past 3 years but Novak really had enough of that and from the start of this match, despite losing the first set, it was clear that Novak has a great desire to beat Federer so he never gave up even when being down 2-1 in sets, or when Roger had 2 match points on Djokovic’s serve in the 5th set. Primarily due to his brave and risky play, he managed to overcome all of that, but also cause of his big heart on the court, which helped him decide the match in his favor, and bring him a great joy. I am certain he will be at the same level in the finals, and that guarantees top tennis – as Djokovic is currently playing like in the his best days.

The Serb has a bigger heart

Although the match Federer-Djokovic was definitely finals before the finals, there is no dilemma we’re expecting yet another huge fight, where both players will be equally motivated to win the title due to different reasons. They know each other really well, they are about the same age, they are big rivals and undoubtedly after Federer retires from serious tennis, they will be the ones who will be dominating the world tennis scene at almost every tournament, so their rivalry has been huge for a long time already. Their H2H record is 14-7 in Nadal’s favor, adding that Novak won their last 3 matches in straight sets and also won more matches when they played on hard. If Novak hadn’t played such an exhausting match in the semis, the odds here would certainly be a bit more equal but such an underestimation is really not justified as Djokovic has again proven he is a brave tennis player, one of the best ones in the world, able to beat anyone out there. The only question here is what will prevail here? Djokovic’s desire to finally win another GS title after such a long time, or the tiredness factor will catch up. I think the heart will and am going on Nole to win it for smaller stake as I believe in his big heart and in another big result, and even if it doesn’t happen, it is certain that we’ll be having plenty of chances to have some nice greening out in-play. Good luck.

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Prediction:

Tip: 2
Odd: 3.85
Bookie: Pinnacle


11 Sep

Match preview: Djokovic – Federer

Djokovic is playing terrific at this USO, and it’s clear that despite the difficulties caused by the strong wind, he plays each move with lots of sense and the best proof for that is that he’s won all of his matches except the first one in straight sets. We shouldn’t take that first match seriously as he played Troicki, and in those kinds of matches one can never know if he will play seriously or will relax a bit. The only rival that could’ve troubled him so far was Gael Monfils, but he totally failed to prove his quality in that clash so Nole is entering these semis not too tired. It’s maybe about time he beats Federer and pays him back for the recent loss in Toronto. I think Nole will probably wait for Federer’s often errors at the start of the match so he can attack him before the Swiss finds him rhythm, or else he won’t end up well.

Inspired in the U.S.

Roger Federer has always played well at the North-American tournies, and now his game looks the best in a while, and he hasn’t lost a set and due to his greatness and primarily the knowledge and despite that he is more vulnerable than before, this living tennis legend still looks unstoppable. One has to play with great tactics against him, and using all the weapons that Novak should already know by now, cause despite all the praises for Roger, we all know he isn’t what he once used to be but somehow he still manages to pull out the best from his sleeve. Before USO, he won Cincinnati, when Fish took one set from him in the finals, and according to that, Novak should have a few opportunities to do the same, if not even something more.

Hard to tell who is better

At this USO, Djokovic and Federer are both in great forms, and this will clearly be a lot more impressive semifinals than the other one when Nadal will meet with Youzhny, and where the Spaniard is a clear favorite to win. But, here it’s all possible. Federer respects Novak’s game a lot and knows well that Nole has always been able to give him a hard time, and he can still remember the last year’s Basel finals, when Djokovic beat him the last time, and he did it in Roger’s home town. Recently in Toronto semifinals, Novak needed some luck and courage, and let’s hope he’ll have it this time, so knowing how he’s played so far at this US Open, I am sure he can take at least one set away from him, if not more, so my advice here is a tight match and the over 38.5 games. Good luck!

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Prediction:

Tip: Over 38.5
Odd: 1.91
Bookie: Paddy Power


08 Sep

Match preview: Soderling – Federer

Robin Soderling is one terrific server with an excellent movement on the court, which he demonstrated so far in the previous matches at this year’s USO. Although he rarely goes to the net, he did have a few nice moves there so he is certainly much more diverse in his game compared to the last few seasons. He does well on every surface, having 16 wins out of his 25 matches on hard this year. All in all, he is a pretty disciplined player, having the only crisis in the first round here against a bit less quality Haider-Maurer, who took him into 5 sets. In every next match he played, he was looking better, which will be visible this time too.

Always solid at the USO

Roger Federer somehow always manages to get good results at the USO, he loves playing that tournie and the American crowd loves him, so when his never-ending ambitious character and high-quality play are added into the picture, we come to a conclusion that it’s no surprise he hasn’t dropped a single set at this year’s USO so far, only playing one tie break, in the last clash against Melzer. The Swiss is defending points from the last year’s finals when he was defeated to Del Potro in a phenomenal match, and last year he actually knocked Soderling out of the tournie, so now it is maybe time for revenge.

The history repeats itself

Same situation as the last year: same opponents, the USO quarterfinals, and again I expect the same struggle for both players. Both of them are playing well, and are powerful serves, and it’s certain Soderling wishes for a bit different outcome of this match this time, so he will definitely show all that he’s got on the court. How well they know each other proves the fact they met as many as 14 times, and Federer lost only twice, but it’s a fact Soderling has been giving him a hard time in almost every one of their meetings over the past 2,3 years. I don’t doubt the match between them will last long this time again, so my bet goes on the over. Good luck!

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Prediction:

Tip: Over 36.5
Odd: 1.80
Bookie: Paddy Power


07 Sep

Match preview: Wawrinka – Querrey

This is how the commentators and tennis experts have described previous Stanislas Wawrinka’s performance against Andy Murray, and a great fight over 4 sets. After losing the first set tie break, the Swiss used his dominant and imposing performance with some terrific moves and precise one-handed backhand to win the match, leaving many in the crowd breathless and winning sympathies and new fans in the stands. Although he is struggling with some injuries, it seemed like the Brit had an injury as well, and Stanislas only kept his psychological stability in a great way and a good run started when Murray was serving for the 2nd set. His season wasn’t that great actually but he obviously seems to be waking up.

The American hope

Currently all eyes of the home crowd at the USO are on Sam Querrey, since he is their last hope in the main draw, after the elimination of Roddick, Blake and Isner. Querrey’s fighting spirit can only help the crowd to get more excited but it seems like Sam is slowly getting tired after a very good season and the LA title, so he was recording some early eliminations after that. So far he proved at the USO that his serve is working out well for him as usual but besides that, we didn’t see too much magic from him in his matches so far.

Wawrinka on a streak

Based only on their only meeting so far from last year, it’s hard to judge who has got the advantage here, but even that score is on Wawrinka’s side. If we take that out of the equation, this second-best Swiss tennis player at the moment is really full of confidence at the moment after a great match from the last round, while Querrey can find an extra motivation in their crowd, which isn’t to be underestimated as well. It’s certain Stanislas is more tired for sure, but he has played a lot of Grand Slams so far and has got enough experience to know how to make the best out of this situation and ignore the tiredness factor. I think he’ll enter this match quite ready, so a bet on him is worth a shot. After all, after beating Murray, he deserves to be backed again at such a nice price. Good luck!

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Prediction:

Tip: 1
Odd: 2.14
Bookie: Pinnacle


06 Sep

Match preview: Fish – Djokovic

Mardy Fish is showing some excellent performances and is very hard to get broken, adding that he is mostly very focused in his matches. He played terrific against Federer in Cincinnati, but he needed a bit of luck to record a win. Here at the USO he started a bit shaky, playing 5 sets against weak Hajek and repeated the same performance against Clement, so it’s either he plays the entire match phenomenal or has plenty of ups and downs. Probably the fatigue is catching up after many tiring matches lately, but certainly he is not losing any motivation as this year has been really terrific for him.

Testing his nerves

The best Serbian player seems to be testing his fans’ nerves in each of his matches and can sometimes really mess things up and give some cheap points to the rival. It seems like he’s getting more and more vulnerable as in the past he was never threatened by players such as Blake, who was very near taking one set from him the other day. Anyhow, Nole isn’t in the top by accident, and this year he hasn’t won too many titles so he will certainly try to play at his best level to try and do something in the 2nd week of USO.

A lot of uncertainties

I think Djokovic will manage to take this match eventually but I wouldn’t be too sure about that. Mardy has shown he can play well and traditionally he’s been playing great at his home soil, adding that in the matches against Djokovic he managed to take at least a set from him in all of their 5 previous meetings, where the Serb was more successful, but it’s definite the American doesn’t suit him too well. Therefore my bet on the over, as I expect a close match all throughout. Good luck!

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Prediction:

Tip: Over 37.5
Odd: 1.80
Bookie: Paddy Power


04 Sep

Match preview: Tipsarevic – Monfils

Janko Tipsarevic played his best match in 2010 in the second round of this year`s USO against the big home favorite Andy Roddick. Not only he dominated the match from the start to finish, but he did it in an extremely convincing fashion, not allowing the American a single chance in the rallies, frustrating him up to the point where Roddick had to release his anger on one of the linesmen. Janko hit and made all the shots that could be made, hit the court from terrific and hard angles, had as many aces as Roddick, if not more and same thing with the percentage of points won from the first serve, which doesn`t really happen too often. Janko has got a great personality, and if he would be showing these kinds of top 10 performances more often, he would definitely be a player everybody would fear of.

Not convincing

Gael Monfils has had an average season up to now. He did have two semifinals and one final at some mediocre tournaments, but generally he was never a threat to the big players and actually didn`t beat anyone from top 20. Of course, his injury problems continued this season as well, as he recently had to retire due to an ankle injury, and he was forced to do it in his only final played this year – in Stuttgart. He played average tennis so far at the USO, barely beating Kendrick in the first round, even though Kendrick was up a break in the decider, and defeated Andreev in straight sets in the last round. It has to be said he was far from being convincing in this match, and Andreev`s only goal was to hit the ball over the net in any way possible, playing mostly defensive and making some silly UEs. No doubt the Frenchman will have a real test just now.

Tipsa dominate again

The odds have been dropping on the Serb from the moment they were published, just hours after he beat Roddick after a magnificent display. In my opinion, he should be set as a favorite here so any odds over 2.00 should be taken with high stakes. If I would be 100% sure Tipsarevic will repeat his great display from the previous match, and come out motivated and playing perfectly sharp tennis, there would be no doubt I`d take it with maximum stakes. Still, the H2H (3-1 in Tipsa`s favor), and the fact Monfils is not in a good form, make me think the Serb will pull out yet another win against the big player, and finally record two consecutive big wins at a Grand Slam, which even Roddick wished him at the net after their match ended last night. Both are fighters, so we are ought to see many beautiful points, but I have high confidence in Tipsarevic this time and expect him to make plenty more of serious upsets at this USO and not stop just yet. Good luck.

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Prediction:

Tip: 1
Odd: 2.05
Bookie: Digibet


04 Sep

Match preview: Simon – Kohlschreiber

Not that long ago, Gilles Simon was hanging around the top 10 position and was one of the best and most consistent players in the world. However, he slowly started losing that consistency he was well-known for, and with a few injuries that bothered him on the way, his recognizable game slowly started diminishing. He wasn`t as tough in the rallies as he used to be, and the serve became too weak. Due to all of that, he failed to record a bigger result this season and his greatest success was actually the finals of the Sunrise challenger at the beginning of the year, which he also managed to lose. Nevertheless, he hasn`t forgotten to play well and in the last couple of tournies, he seems to be regaining his toughness and mental strength, barely losing to Youzhny and then Fish, who is in a superb form these days. He finally exploded and took it all on Young in the first round of this year`s USO, breaking him multiple times in each of the 3 sets, and eventually easily winning. Looks like he is in a great shape before this match.

Unpredictable

Philipp Kohlschreiber is a well-known all-rounder, who has been hanging around the top 30 spot for a few years now, which clearly indicates he is a quality but a bit limited player, unable to defeat the best players on the tour, and often lacking that finishing touch in his game. He is quite unpredictable as he can play really well when least expected, and disappoint when we all think he will easily win. He never had much success on the North-American hard courts, but this season he had quite a few nice matches in Toronto, getting to the quarterfinals where he was defeated to Nadal in 3 sets. In the first round, he defeated his fellow countryman in 4 sets, showing the lack of focus at times but generally never struggling to win taking all the key points. This time, however, he will have a much harder task.

Simon will remind us of his qualities

I expect a tough match between these two players, maybe similar to their last clash played last year, when Simon won in two narrow sets (7/6, 7/5). This time, I think the outcome will be the same, as Kohlschreiber is just too inconsistent to be trusted, while Simon seems to be getting back in shape and showing the glimpse of his old form when he was a top 10 player. I think he can again get there if he continues to work hard on the court, and this will be a perfect chance for him to finally beat someone more respectable after a while. Kohlschreiber showed a lot of weaknesses on his serve against Kamke, and I doubt he will have it easy against persistent Simon. The French should improve their H2H to 3-1 after this clash. The odds are just about acceptable. Good luck.

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Prediction:

Tip: 1
Odd: 1.90
Bookie: Interwetten


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