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Posts Tagged ‘american football predictions’

25 Nov

Match preview: Detroit – New England

Although Detroit is putting up a lot better performances than it was the case in the past couple of seasons, they still don’t have the quality to equally fight against the top NFL sides. They have a 2-8 record, but they lost the last 2 rounds to teams that are in the very bottom of the league (Buffalo, Dallas), spoiling all the progress shown so far. The team is young, and with the addition of a couple of experienced veterans, they’ve got solid future. However, a lot of time will pass by until that happens and this season will be yet another one of those where the Lions will be only able to dream about the playoffs. Nevertheless, them being huge fighters, they won’t be an easy rival for anybody, even for the Super Bowl candidates – NE Patriots.

Surprisingly good

After some major changes in the Boston squad, it was expected that their results would be inconsistent and worse than they currently are. The Pats are in the top of NFL with a 8-2 record. In the last 2 rounds, they’ve faced the teams contending for the top ranks – Steelers and Colts, recording wins on both occasions. Their triumph at the Heinz Field was particularly impressive, as they’ve shown the Pats that their defense isn’t as tough as everyone had thought. They’re entering the Lions’ clash as huge favs, and the side coached by Belichick, and with QB Brady, certainly deserves such status. The offense is great again while the defense, even though full of young players, is getting better every week. If they put up the displays on the level similar to the last 2 rounds – they’ll surely record a win.

Pats to cover

NFL has again shown that there are no sure wins this year and that the favs on paper can often turn out to be total underdogs on the field. The league’s full of upsets, so no bet on a favorite can ever be too safe. However, in today’s match two sides that can hardly be compared in terms of quality will meet. Detroit is near the bottom according to the quality shown, while the Patriots are one of the candidates for the highest ranks. Teams’ form is also totally on the guest side. These facts are enough for me to try with the visitors to cover the spread, which is smaller than one TD this time and worth some medium staking.

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Prediction:

Tip: New England -6
Odd: 1.87
Bookie: Betsson SB


07 Nov

Match preview: Cleveland – New England

Although the Browns have got a negative 2-5 record, it can still be said they’re putting up good performances and playing a lot better than their record indicates. In the last game they’ve played, they defeated the defending champs Saints on the road by 30:17 and showed everybody that they’re a very respectable side. Coach Mangini is satisfied with the performances of his players, saying that they only played below the expectations in one game, the one against Tampa Bay. It’s well known that Magnini has been the Patriots assistant coach for 5 seasons, and he’s in pretty bad relations with current Pats’ head coach Belichick. However, the young expert said that tomorrow’s clash is something much more than a meeting between two of them. The Browns have problems at the QB position as Delhomme and Wallace are injured, so young Colt McCoy will again have to play as a starter. Not too many spectacular moves can be expected from him, but he did prove he can play quality football and certainly the Browns are giving the role of the favorite to the visitors, with a promise that they won’t be an easy team to beat at this game. Anyway, if they managed to beat the champs in New Orleans, then they can beat any NFL side at home for sure.

Terrific Belichick

Despite numerous changes in their roster and the departure of the key players, Belichick is finding the way for his team to record wins. Outstanding coach is giving the chance to the young players and fitting them into his system. They’re returning the favor by showing some terrific fighting spirit that is producing results. The Pats are on a 5 game winning streak despite being without main RBs, plus they’ve waived WR Moss, one of the best ones on their team until recently. QB Brady is playing at the usual level , meaning excellent. Beside him, a few other less familiar players started to create a name for themselves such are RB Green Ellis and Danny Woodhead. Their offensive lineup will be significantly strengthened by the return of their excellent G L:ogan Mankins. Brady will be protected much better and will have enough time to send his killer passes. The Patriots want to again reach the Super Bowl this season and therefore they have to start winning both at home and on the road. Cleveland is one of the places where they have to win, as their opponent is a team from that belongs to the bottom part of the league.

The visitors will win

This is ought to be a very interesting game. Both coaches know each other real well and there will hardly be any surprises. Nevertheless, the advantage the visitors have here is the fact their offense will be led by one of the best QBs in the history of NFL Tom Brady, while Cleveland will be using a QB that is playing his 3rd pro game of the career. Since the spread is only 4 points, it seems like the best bet here is on the Patriots to cover.

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Prediction:

Tip: New England -4
Odd: 2.03
Bookie: Pinnacle


25 Sep

Match preview: Southern Methodist Mustangs – TCU Horned Frogs

The Mustangs went down 35-27 to Texas Tech in week 1 before coming back to beat UAB and Washington State. I`m not so convinced though. They`re up against a very good defence here. The defence looks dodgy in my opinion, and I think they have benefitted from playing weaker sides. The TCU offence is just too potent and I think I`ll leave it to say the defence will not be able to stop Dalton, and will hope their offence can keep up. They won`t.

Strongest

TCU come into the battle for the Iron Skillet having won all their 4 games this season, and are actually on a 17-0 streak in regular season games. They have dumped on their first 4 opponents this season, outscoring them by 99 points combined. Understandably, they are heavy favourites, with the number at 18. Last year the Horned Frogs ripped SMU apart 39-14, giving coach Gary Patterson a 7-1 record against the Mustangs. The offence is red hot again, with QB Andy Dalton shining particularly brightly. Last week, against Baylor, he completed 21 of 23 for almost 270 yards scoring 2 touchdowns via Jeremy Kerley. On the ground, they racked up nearly 300 yards, with Ed Wesley putting on 165 just by himself over 19 carries. A pair of touchdowns iced that cake for him. The offence ranks in the top 10 coming into this one.

Easy to win

Did I mention that QB Dalton is the 3rd best rusher on his team? Yeah. So when he takes the snap, SMU have no idea whether he`s about to burn them on the ground or through the air. This is a rivalry, and it will get ugly. Take TCU to swap TLC for SNM with SMU.

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Prediction:

Tip: TCU -17
Odd: 1.97
Bookie: Pinnacle


19 Sep

Match preview: Denver Broncos – Seattle Seahawks

Kyle Orton is now in his 2nd season as QB at the Broncos following his trade from Chicago. He is comfortable playing the way Josh McDaniels wants him to, and is effective in his role. In fact, despite the lack of big star names, the players that are included here play well together. It just works for them. And in a situation where they`re playing a team way weaker than them, they should be bigger favourites than just a fieldgoal. Look for the likes of Jabar Gaffney, Eddie Royal and Brandon Lloyd to do well here, in a game that is played at home, giving the Broncos a lot more advantage than the bookies suggest. RB Moreno is fit again and looks like he will do well this season too.

Crisis

I`m serious. Last weeks shock win over the 49ers is misleading. This is not a good football team. They have a rookie coach, and a QB who is is not good, and hasn`t been for a while. He is ageing and getting worse. Last week was a fluke. Everything went their way. They have no ground attack and the defence can be easily abused. They just caught the 49ers napping, that`s all. Seattle have to go on the road to Colorado now, and will face a team that will be ready for them, and is again much better than them in terms of talent. How is Hasselbeck going to repeat his performance from last week against a veteran Denver secondary that finished 3rd in pass defence last year? That 3rd ranked pass defence has all 4 starters back from last year, so good luck Matt!

Clear outcome

Superior offence, superior defence, superior QB, home field, tiny number to cover thanks to last week`s misleading result. Thank you very much, don`t mind if I do.

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Prediction:

Tip: 1 AH (-3)
Odd: 1.87
Bookie: SportsAlive


19 Sep

Match preview: New York Jets – New England Patriots

The Jets are off a short week here, having played the Baltimore Ravens on Monday night and lost. While the defence did play well I was appalled at the offence and really cannot see what all this Superbowl talk is all about. Media hype coming out of trumpets attached to anuses. Don`t edit that! It`s a regular word. So, while the Patriots have Brady, the Jets have Mark Sanchez. As I mentioned, last year the Jets did well the first time they played their rivals but in the next one, their last match against each other, Sanchez made only 8 passes all game for a measly 136 yards. He also got intercepted 4 times, meaning his one touchdown wasn`t worth jack. I think Belichick knows how to play the Jets, and he certainly knows how to get Sanchez to play the game on his terms. Look for the Patriots to kill the Jets run game and force Sanchez to come up with the big plays and win it on his own. What do you think will happen?

Motivated

Right, this is a big game. But it`s more than just a division game. These two teams have been rivals for a long time now, and even with Tom Brady back, all the preseason talk has been about the Jets being the team to watch as possible Superbowl candidates. Belichick and his Patriots team dominated the NFL until recently, winning 3 in 4 years, and just based on their ego, they`ll want to walk out of here with a crushing win. On last weeks evidence, I wouldn`t rule that out. Last year, the Jets met the Patriots when Brady was only just coming back from a whole season out due to injury. It was actually just his 2nd game back, and the Jets defence did have their way on that occasion. In the 2nd meeting, Brady, now recovered and more settled, threw for over 300 yards and beat the Jets. So why are we seeing the Patriots as only 3 point favourites when they are off a blowout win last week? It`s not like Cincinnati are rubbish. New England were just that good, and I can see Moss and Welker combine well with Brady to get some very fast scoring going here. The Patriots rushed pretty well too, and again I should say, Cincinnati has a very capable defence. They still got burned for 118 yards on the ground. That will be challenged here though I must say, as the Jets did a good job stopping the Baltimore rush.

Better team will win

3 points? Hell yeah.
The Patriots get the win, covering the spread

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Prediction:

Tip: 2 AH (-3)
Odd: 2.00
Bookie: Betfred


19 Sep

Match preview: Oakland Raiders – St. Louis Rams

The Raiders also lost their opener last week, but it came at the hands of the Titans. They were outclassed 38-13 in a rout, and I think it`s helping us get Oakland with a very small spread. Jason Campbell is the QB at Oakland, and the veteran could not help his team get close last week, but this week he will have more success against a weaker Rams defence. Darren McFadden should be able to get some movement with the rush too, as they might try that from time to time, seeing as the Rams did manage some sacks last week.

Motivated

Arizona made the Rams look better than they are, in my opinion, where St. Louis lost the game via a 4th quarter touchdown. 17-13 the final score, and they have been made underdogs here again, but by only 3 points. Oddsmakers normally give teams a 3 point advantage if they`re playing at home. Am I seriously being asked to believe the Rams are as good as the Raiders? So what do the Rams have in their Arsenal? QB Sam Bradford. He was the No. 1 pick from Oklahoma, and last week he got intercepted 3 times by Arizona. He had only 253 yards on 55 attempts, of which he completed just 32. The rookie QB cannot be relied to do all the work, and I can see them giving the ball to Jackson this week a bit more to get some rushing yardage seeing as Oakland gave up a lot on the ground to the Titans.

A good battle

This is a value pick for me. The number is just too small and at next to even money, it has to be taken. Oakland -3.5

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Prediction:

Tip: 1 AH (-3.5)
Odd: 2.08
Bookie: Pinnacle


19 Sep

Match preview: Tennessee Titans – Pittsburgh Steelers

Tennessee destroyed Oakland 38-13 last week, and I can`t understand how they are favourites by just 5 points. They are good candidates for a blowout win this week, and here`s why. The Titans, in addition to boasting a defence that can do what`s required, has a very lethal and potent offence that can hit you through the air and on the ground. So which do you concentrate on defending? QB Vince Young was excellent last week, completing 13 of 17 passes for 154 yards. He threw 2 touchdowns and got his highest passer rating of his career, 142.8. Meanwhile, Chris Johnson was terrorising the Oakland rush defence, as he pounded the ball for 142 yards and ran in 2 touchdowns. And these were not trick plays. Oakland knew what was about to happen, tried to stop it, and failed.

Solid

Pittsburgh rode its defence last week to take the game against Atlanta to overtime, where they won, 15-9. Their only chance here is if that defence can come through again, but it looks difficult, as the Titans were on fire last week and I can`t see their performance sagging here in Tennessee. I can`t stress enough the effect of the loss of Big Ben Roethlisberger. Their Superbowl winning QB is out injured and his replacement, Dennis Dixon isn`t nearly good enough. He went 18 of 26 last week for 236 yards, giving up an interception, which could have been 2 or 3, had Atlanta just held on to the ball instead of dropping them. In short, Pittsburgh rode their luck too.

Home win

The Pittsburgh offence will not manage to rack up points here. So it will be down to the defence to try and keep them in it. But with the Titans good both in the air and on the ground, that will be difficult. They`re going to get done one way or the other.

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Prediction:

Tip: 1 AH (-5)
Odd: 1.95
Bookie: Pinnacle


19 Sep

Match preview: Green Bay Packers – Buffalo Bills

The Packers left Philly last week with their first win over the Eagles since 1962. The 27-20 win came despite QB Aaron Rodgers underperforming, in my opinion. He threw 2 touchdown passes, to Driver and Jennings, but got intercepted 3 times while only racking up 188 yards. The defence he faces this week is probably the worst in the NFL, and the superbowl contenders can stamp their authority here with a dominating win. The chances will come in bunches, and I can`t see Rodgers having 2 unimpressive starts. Rodgers will have to perform, as the Packers lost their RB Ryan Grant to an ankle injury and he will sadly be out for the year. In his absence, the ball will be handed to Brandon Jackson when the Cheeseheads decide to pound it on the ground. Jackson had 68 yards against the Eagles last week, and if he gets given the ball here I reckon he can go for more than 100.

Not good

The Bills went down 15-10 in week 1, combining for just 166 yards of total offence against Miami, worst amongst all offenses in Week 1. The rushing game was a shambles, totalling just 38 yards on 14 carries. It was left for QB Trent Edwards to lead the offence through the air, and he threw for an uninspiring 139 yards, throwing a touchdown, but getting his team just 9 first downs. This week the Bills will face a run defence that was ranked first in the NFL last year. So lets quickly forget about that as the Bills will have to try passing, and passing alone. Trent Edwards isn`t as dynamic as Rodgers, the Green Bay QB. While Rodgers has the bottle to make big plays, Edwards, who came to the Bills from Stanford, refuses to make big plays and opts for small safe throws. That tactic will fail here, and if he does decide to try the big one, it`s going to end in turnovers.

Easy to win

Packers -13 looks the pick, as I see the Packers running away with this by 17-21 points.

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Prediction:

Tip: 1 AH (-13)
Odd: 2.02
Bookie: Pinnacle


19 Sep

Match preview: Atlanta Falcons – Arizona Cardinals

Gone is Kurt Warner, and this team does not look the same without him. They now have Derek Anderson throwing the ball for them and he passed for 297 yards on 22 of 41, including a 21 yard touchdown pass to Larry Fitzgerald in the fourth quarter to help his team win 17-14. So why am I not impressed? `Cause they were playing the Rams. Struggling to have to come from behind in the 4th quarter to beat the Rams highlights the fact that this team is one that has regressed. So, at least the Cardinals still have Fitzgerald, who was responsible for so many catches from Warner on their exciting run to the Superbowl. He`s the only one left however, as Anquan Boldin (Feckin` AnQUAN? who makes up these names?) has left to play for the Baltimore Ravens. That limits Andersons options, and Atlanta already proved last week against the Steelers that they are capable of keeping opposing teams relatively quiet. I`m afraid the offence here will have a tough time, and it will come down to the defence, who will have to try and stifle an Atlanta offensive line that was kept quiet last week, despite being capable of a lot more.

Solid

The Falcons will not have been pleased with that result. They kept pace with the Steelers defence and ended up losing in OT. That was a game they could have won, and QB Matt Ryan will want to put up a better offensive performance this week, against weaker opponents in front of the home fans down in Georgia. Ryan threw for 250+ yards but didn`t have a touchdown pass, but then again Pittsburgh did play good defence. The Cardinals defence isn`t that good, as the low score last week was down to the Rams unimpressive offence. Michael Turner should also have a good game here, as his rushing will be more effective against Arizona.

Comfortable Atlanta

Atlanta did not give up a touchdown in Pittsburgh for the whole 60 minutes of regular time. They`ll be able to put up a similar performance here and Matt Ryan will finally get his season started with a performance including multiple touchdown passes. I think the Falcons roll over the Cardinals here with the line at less than 7, I think the play has to be on Atlanta -6.5.

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Prediction:

Tip: 1 AH (-6.5 AH)
Odd: 1.96
Bookie: Pinnacle


19 Sep

Match preview: Dallas – Chicago

Dallas lost quite unfortunately in the first week. They outplayed the Redskins, winning a lot more yardage but failed to convert their chances when being in the red zone. It’s also true the refs disallowed their touch downs in the ending seconds of the game, which would give them a win but after an official review, it seems like the refs were right as Barron really held his rival illegally and committed a foul. Their offense was solid. QB Romo had a lot of yards won and the rushing play wasn’t that bad either. They won a total of 380 yards, but failed to take an advantage of that with points. There’s no doubt their offense will keep playing better as the season is progressing as they really have got plenty of talent and it’s only necessary that the things finally start fitting into the place. The Cowboys played without a few regulars in the first round, but the clash against the Bears most of them will come back into the roster. Marc Colombo, Kyle Kosier, and DeMarcus Ware have recovered and there’s no dilemma that the Cowboys will be much stronger with them in the lineup. In the last 9 mutual games, they beat Chicago 6 times, winning the last 3 in front of their fans. They’re certainly favorites to do that for the 4th consecutive time as well.

Lucky charmers

Chicago began the season well by defeating Detroit, however, whoever watched that game can definitely say they were the weaker side and were lucky to record a win. They were down by 11 points towards the end of the first half when Julius Peppers injured QB Matthew Stafford with one harsh tackle. Only after that the Bears were able to come to a full extent, and managed to defeat the Lions. Against Dallas it will be a very tough one, and if they again commit 4 turnovers like they did in the first match, they will surely lose this one convincingly. Bears’ QB Jay Cutler played horrible on the road in the last season so he will have to improve his game a lot more if Chicago wants to at least reach the playoffs. Against the Lions, Cutler was quite good. He threw 372 yards and set his record since he is in the Bears’ squad. Coach Lovie Smith stated he is very pleased with the win in the first week and doesn’t care how they get the win as long as they get it. He admitted that the clash against Dallas will be a lot tougher, believing his players can again record a positive result. There will be no injury worries so the Bears will field their strongest lineup.

The Cowboys to win

An interesting clash is expected as we’re talking about two teams with some totally different players in their rosters. The rivals also started the season out in a different way. Chicago luckily beat Detroit while Dallas was misfortunate to lose against Washington. I believe the things will get back to its natural position in this game, meaning Dallas will regain what they’ve lost in the first round and celebrate in front of their fans.

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Prediction:

Tip: Dallas -7
Odd: 1.98
Bookie: Gamebookers
Stake: 7 /10


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