PREVIEW & PREDICTION – Setubal vs Ferreira 18/02/2018

PREVIEW & PREDICTION – Setubal vs Ferreira 18/02/2018

Vitória Setúbal and Paços de Ferreira meet at Estádio do Bonfim, in a match for the 23rd round of the Primeira Liga. Paços de Ferreira won at home (1-0) the last time they met in this edition of the league, on 09-15-2017. In this stadium, the history of direct confrontations indicates a total equilibrium between these two teams, since there were 2 draws and 1 win for each team in the last 4 matches. However, the last time these two teams played a match in this stadium was on 17-09-2016, for the Primeira Liga, which ended with the victory of Paços de Ferreira by (1-4). The goals of the match were scored by Vasco Fernandes (22 ‘), for Vitória Setúbal, and Valente (4’ and 75 ‘) and Welthon (38’ and 40 ‘), for Paços de Ferreira. Despite being a match between 17 th and 12 th of the table, it is actually a match between the 12 th best team in home matches and the 15 th best in away matches.

After 3 wins, 9 draws and 10 losses, the home team is currently in the 17 th position, with 18 points won. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Sporting Braga by (3-1), after in the previous match they have won (3-0) at home, against Belenenses. This is a stronger team in his stadium, where he won 14 points, against only 4 in his away matches. For the championship, Vitória Setúbal won 13 points out of 30 possible, after 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the last 10 home matches. In the matches played in their stadium there are some more frequent results: at the end of the first 45 ‘0-0 (4 in 11 matches) and at the end of the match 1-1 (4 in 11 matches). The team has conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, so it has not presented great defensive solidity, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 10 of the last 11 matches they have played for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 22 matches in this competition, they only got 1 comeback in the 14 matches in which they suffered the first goal. There is 1 period that stands out in the last 11 home matches for this competition: they have suffered 7 of their 15 goals between minutes (76’-90 ‘).
The situation of Vitória de Setúbal is very worrying, as it remains in the last position of the qualifying table. However, it should be noted that he only recorded 1 loss in the last 10 games played. In this game against his fans, coach José Couceiro must act in the usual 4-2-3-1, benefiting the maintenance of ball possession and organized attacks: Costinha is the main responsible for creating and organizing the offensive process. On the other hand, João Amaral is the best finalist of Vitória de Setúbal, with 8 goals. It is important to underline that the home team has exhibited several flaws in the defensive set pieces and in the passing game. For this game the coach does not have Bonilla and Djaló, both injured.

After 5 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses, the away team is currently in the 12 th position of the league, with 21 points won. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Vitória Guimarães, by (3-2). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Tondela, by (0-2). This is a stronger team in their stadium, where they have won 16 points, against only 5 in their away matches. For the championship, Paços de Ferreira won 5 points out of 30 possible points, after 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses in the last 10 home matches. They have not been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 10 of the last 11 matches for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 22 matches in this competition, they have only won 1 of their 11 matches in which they have conceded the first goal.
The Paços de Ferreira returned to disappoint in the Portuguese league, losing at home to Tondela, by 0-2, suffering the second consecutive defeat in the competition. However, visitors are still far from the relegation zone, so they can not lose many points in the next few days. In this away game, coach João Henriques must play in the usual 4-2-3-1, privileging the defensive organization and the in-depth passes directly into the attack. The striker Bruno Moreira is one of the great highlights of the outsiders, with 4 goals scored. For this match, the coach of Paços de Ferreira can not count on Ricardo and Rui Correia, who were suspended, apart from Felipe Ferreira, who was injured.


PREDICTION: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.60

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