PREVIEW & PREDICTION – Atl. Madrid vs Ath Bilbao 18/02/2018

PREVIEW & PREDICTION – Atl. Madrid vs Ath Bilbao 18/02/2018

Atlético Madrid and Athletic Club face at La Peineta Stadium, in a match for the 24 th round of the First Division. Atlético Madrid won out (1-2) the last time they met in this edition of the league, on 09-20-2017. The history of recent direct confrontations is favorable to the home team, which has 6 wins and 2 draws in the last 8 matches. In this game the home factor may be decisive, since Atletico Madrid presents considerable differences in their results at home and as a visitor.

After 15 wins, 7 draws and 1 loss, the home team is currently in the 2 nd position, with 52 points won. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Málaga (0-1), after in the previous match they won (1-0) at home, against Valencia. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 23 goals scored and 8 conceded; against 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 23 goals scored and 9 conceded. In their last match, for the UEFA Europa League, they got an away win against FC Copenhagen by (1-4).

For this competition, he did not lose any of the last 11 home matches. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half-time was the 0-0 (7 out of 11 matches). The defense has been strong and has only had goals in 3 of the last 10 matches, and their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches for this competition there is a tendency for few goals, since 9 of the last 11 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In the last 11 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 8 of their 15 goals between minutes (61′-75 ‘).

Atlético de Madrid has in this exhibition the opportunity to conquer its third consecutive victory at home by the Spanish league, in order to give sequence to the good time it crosses in the competition, since it is unbeaten for six games, coming from two wins in a row . The last of these was away from home, against Málaga, in a match in which he managed to find the winning goal afterwards in the first minute and showed a lot of defensive consistency to sustain the result. As was evident in that game, the defensive system comes with great responsibility for the good campaign of the team, since it is the best in the competition. Playing at home, he lost only 8 of the 33 points he played and in that condition he only suffered four goals. It is likely that Simeone keeps the team in 4-4-2, being able to choose to save some players who were present in the match for the Europa League.

The away team is currently in the 13 th position of the league, with 28 points won, after 6 wins, 10 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Girona, by (2-0). In the last match, they tied at home against Las Palmas by (0-0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 23 goals scored and 23 conceded; against 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 12 goals scored and 10 suffered. The team comes to this match after a win away with Spartak Moscow by (1-3). For the league, Athletic Club won 10 points out of 30 possible points, after 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the last 10 home matches. In 23 games in this tournament, he suffered the first goal 9 times and never got the comeback.
The Athletic Bilbao does not cross a good moment within the Spanish league, since it is without winning for five parties and does not write down two days ago. In the last one, he played a very balanced match against Las Palmas, but he left to wish on offensive terms and ended up not achieving more than a draw inside the house. As it was observed in that match, the team has stood out more for its defense than for its attack, since it is one of the six best defenses of the competition. As a visitor, he conquered just under 35% of the points played and in that condition he did not suffer goals twice. Coach Ziganda has preferred to organize the team in 4-2-3-1, and like the opposing coach, should choose to rest some starting players.


PREDICTION: Atl. Madrid to win @ 1.41

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