First leg in the cup semifinals in Brazil in which we need the victory of the Palmeiras.
There are several factors by which I enter the victory of the palmeiras.
1-Both palmeiras and cruzeiro have 2 of the best defenses in the Brazilian championship 16 and 19 goals conceded in 24 games of the A series but in the offensive aspect the locals are much more productive having scored almost twice as many goals as their rival 36 19 the cruzeiro.
2-They are 2 of the best teams in Brazil but in their respective home / away matches and taking as a reference their performance in the league, the palmeiras in their fief is a quite “reliable” team 9G 2E and 1P with 22GF and 7GC while cruzeiro due the poor offensive baggage in his displacements notably lowers his performance only 2 victories in 13 displacements with 6 draws and 5 losses with 6GF and 11GC.
3-This factor for me can be decisive for the outcome of this game, both teams come with a significant load of games because in addition to this cup and in full dispute for the series A are also disputing the Copa Libertadores, which is why They are having 3 games per week.
From day 6 this will be the third match for the cruzeiro and take into account that all have been in the status of visitor something that surely can take their toll, the other 2 trips were in league against botafogo and s.recife teams that They are fighting to avoid the descent and whose matches ended in a draw.
In this same period of time it will also be the third match for the palmeiras but all have been in their stadium achieving victories against atletico pr. and corinthians.
4º-On the part of the palmeiras there is a spirit of revenge since the last season in the 1/4 cruzeiro eliminates them from this competition to which it is necessary to add that since 2015 the palmeiras does not win a duel to his rival today and already have seen the faces on 8 occasions with a balance of 5 draws and 3 wins for cruzeiro, of these 8 matches 4 of them were with the palmeiras of local finishing the 4 matches in a draw.
Stake medium / low as everything suggests that it will be a very close tie but for the reasons I have put I will trust the victory of the palmeiras.
PREDICTION: Palmeiras to win @ 1.81