Palmeiras and América Mineiro face at Allianz Parque, in a return match of this phase of the Copa do Brasil (8th Finals), after in the first leg the Palmeiras won by (1-2). The history of recent direct confrontations is favorable to the home team, which records 3 wins in the last 3 matches. In this game the home factor may be decisive, since both teams present considerable differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.
Palmeiras:
The home team comes to this second leg with an advantage of 1 goal, after the win was by (1-2) in the first leg. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 26 goals scored and 7 conceded; against 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 27 goals scored and 11 conceded. In the last match they played, for Serie A, they beat Bahia at home (3-0). Palmeiras has won 7, tied 2 and lost 1 of the last 10 home matches. Their attack has scored regularly, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches.
Palmeiras got an optimal advantage in the first leg and now only needs a draw to move forward in the Brazilian Cup, but by playing in their stadium they hope to achieve a good victory. The local team has a much higher quality squad and has presented excellent football this season, so it is one of the favorites to win this competition. The coach must present a fairly competitive team that will fight for the qualification during the 90 minutes of play.
América Mineiro:
After the defeat at home, the visiting team comes to this second leg with a disvalue of 1 goal and with the difficult task of recovering this negative result as a visitor. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in away matches; against 12 wins and 3 losses at their stadium. The team comes to this match after a home win against Botafogo by (1-0). In the last 10 away matches for all competitions, América Mineiro won 1, tied 5 and lost 4. Their defense has not been very strong, as they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their attack has scored regularly, since he scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches. In 15 games, he never got the comeback in the 5 games in which he suffered the first goal. There is 1 period that stands out in the last 20 away matches for all competitions: they have suffered 8 of their 21 goals between minutes (76′-90 ‘).
The situation of the America-MG in this tie is very complicated, because it needs to win away from home and against a team of great quality, which in its stadium is practically unbeatable. The goal of the visiting team is to make a strong defensive score to their opponent and find space to launch counterattacks and try to surprise the home team, to get the qualification for the next phase. The visiting coach must take what he has of the best game at his disposal.
PREDICTION: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.83
