Borussia Dortmund coach Lucien Favre has not had any really good experience with guest performances in Freiburg in his career as a Bundesliga coach. The Swiss could never win with his teams in Breisgau. On Sunday afternoon, this negative series should necessarily be stopped if the black and yellow continue to have a say in the fight for the championship. Admittedly, the chances that the Curse Favres can be lifted with his current club are pretty good, after all, BVB have been undefeated for 15 games against the Sport Club. Borussia also won away nine of their last 18 games at the Dreisam.
Nevertheless, the current second is facing a tricky task, after all, the team of Christian Streich unbeaten in four home games. Among other things, the sympathetic South Germans also fought a 1-1 draw against Bayern. As a result, between Freiburg and Dortmund the odds for the away-to-home win are actually set too low to identify a suitable value. Can the Favre-Elf take away the important points from Freiburg after only a threesome from the past five away games or prove the Breisgauer once again as a tip on the scales in the race for the German Championship? On Sunday afternoon from 14:30 clock there is the answer in the Black Forest Stadium.
Freiburg:
In the often hectic daily business of the Bundesliga, the quiet environment of the SC Freiburg in the idyllic Black Forest is an absolute exception dar. The coaching staff enjoys the fullest confidence, is not immediately put into question after short failures and also has time to develop teams. Also in the current season pays off this unagitated approach at the sports club again. Five games to go, the South Germans have eleven points clear of the relegation place. Should on Sunday afternoon so jump out a victory against Borussia Dortmund and VfB Stuttgart already on Saturday in Augsburg feathers, Christian Streich would 2019/2020 with his charges already before the fourth consecutive season in the German House of Lords. Even in the case of defeat, nothing should burn in terms of relegation. Possibly this pressure-released situation makes the men of the Dreisam an even more dangerous opponent than already. Between Freiburg and Dortmund, a prognosis on the away success of the presumed favorite could well lead to abdominal pain.
Although the Freiburg last two times in a row in Bremen (1: 2) and in Mainz (0: 5) lost the short and wait a total of four Bundesliga matches for a full sense of achievement, presented the Breisgauer especially in front of home crowd as an uncomfortable opponent. None of the recent four encounters in front of their own fans was lost. Among other things, the SCF defended against Bayern (1: 1) and VfL Wolfsburg (3: 3) and won in this period also against Augsburg and the Berlin Hertha. That the current table-13. We lost only three out of 14 home matches over the entire season and had a positive goal difference (26:21), our assessment underlines. In view of these numbers and statistics, everyone should think twice, in the direct duel against Freiburg. Dortmund give a tip on the small odds in favor of the championship aspirant. Instead, we recommend looking at a very special gate market. As so often lately, betting on a late goal seems to be a promising way to win. The sports club conceded namely the third most goals from minute 76 (14), but also marked at least nine own goals in the final quarter hour including added time.
The staff situation continues to cause cult coach Christian Streich problems. Especially the failures of Gulde, Lienhart, Kübler, Sallai and Petersen weigh heavily. In addition, Florian Kath, Tim Kleindienst and Mark Flekken are not available. At least Nicolas Höfler should return to the team after his dismissed yellow suspension. It will also be interesting to see if Streich – as in the 1: 1 against Bayern – on a back four or sets up again his young triple chain.
Dortmund:
Anyone with Borussia Dortmund should have aged a few hundred years last Saturday night. Despite a very good first half, in which the black and yellow against Mainz earned a comfortable 2-0 lead and even had the chance to add a third goal, the team of Lucien Favre had to fear for the last minute for the home win. In the second round, BVB was completely in the own half push, found no access at all in the duels and begged more or less to equalize. Finally, the Westphalia were allowed to thank Roman Bürki in goal, which ensured with outstanding parades that the Borussia is still only one point in the ranking behind Bayern and may continue to dream of the championship. But it should also be clear that a similar disillusioned and lethargic performance as in the second half against Mainz will hardly be enough to push the record champion from the throne. Already on Sunday afternoon, it definitely needs an increase in all respects to survive on the Dreisam.
The fact that this venture could turn out to be extremely difficult is made clear, for example, by a look at the most recent results abroad. The Borussia won only one of the past five away games in the Bundesliga (two draws, two bankruptcies) and profited even in the 3-2 win at Hertha in the capital exclusively from late goals. However, it now seems that it is no coincidence that the black-and-yellows like to score goals in the final stages of each match. A whopping 23 goals from minute 76 correspond to almost a third of all BVB goals (68), which only fell in the final quarter of an hour. No one can rival the table second in this regard. Even the eight goals in injury time mean an absolute best in league comparison. Consequently, these impressive statistics should definitely be mentioned when it comes to making a suitable prognosis between Freiburg and Dortmund.
In terms of personnel, Lucien Favre, who, as mentioned at the beginning, has never made a successful appearance in Breisgau during his career, is available to all men, with the exception of Lukasz Piszczek and Achraf Hakimi. Pulisic and Guerreiro return to the squad. Above all, the Portuguese foreign player immediately pushes into the starting eleven, after Jacob Bruun Larsen last repeatedly did not convince. Marius Wolf is likely to have played for the time being in the right-back position, as well as Julian Weigl in central defense. Due to the strong performance of Götze against Mainz, Alcacér will probably only be the joker again.
PREDICTION: Dortmund to win @ 1,55
