Derby vs Watford PREVIEW & PREDICTION 16/10/2020

Derby County and Watford meet at Pride Park Stadium, in a match for the 5th round of the Championship. There is no recent record of direct confrontations between these two teams, who have not played a game in the last 3 years. The last time they met was on 03‑04‑2015, in a match that ended with the final score: Derby County (2‑2) Watford. Particular attention is needed for the home / away condition, as both teams present significantly different results at home and away.

Derby County:

The home team is currently in 20th position, with 3 points won, after 1 victory and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost at home to Blackburn Rovers by (0‑4). In the last match, they won in an away match against Norwich City by (0‑1). This is a team that curiously has been stronger as a visitor than in their home games, since in the last 30 games they have registered 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses as a visitor; against 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in his stadium. In their last 10 home games, Derby County has 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses. The team allowed goals to the opponent in 3 of the last 4 matches for this competition, so they have not been very strong defensively. There are 2 periods that stand out in the last 5 home matches for all competitions: they have conceded 3 of their 8 goals between minutes (0’‑ 15 ‘) and 3 of their 8 between minutes (76′ ‑ 90’).

Derby County comes to this game moralized, after registering their first victory in the English second division, beating Norwich by 0x1: Wayne Rooney was the great hero, scoring the only goal of the game. It should be noted that the locals lost the first three games for the Championship. In this game against Watford, we will most likely find a team lined up at 4-3-3, with Kamil Jozwiak, Jack Marriott and Wayne Rooney being the most advanced men: the last named player is one of the club’s top scorers. , with 1 goal scored. For this match the local coach cannot count on Martyn Waghorn, Tom Lawrence and Krystian Bielik, all with physical problems.

Watford :

After 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, the visiting team is currently in 7th position, with 7 points won. In their last match, they lost in an away match against Reading by (1‑0), after having won at home in the previous match, in a match against Luton Town, by (1‑0). This is a stronger team with the support of their fans, since in the last 30 games they have registered 1 victory, 5 draws and 9 losses as a visitor; against 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in his stadium. In the last 10 away matches for all competitions, Watford won 1, drew 1 and lost 8. Their defense has been very solid, since they have only conceded goals in 1 of the last 4 matches for this competition.

Watford comes to this game unmotivated, after losing 1×0 to Reading, thus adding the first defeat in the second division of England. It should be noted that this team has yet to win any away games. Despite the difficulties the team is going through, coach Vladimir Ivic must maintain the 3-5-2, favoring a style of play of ball possession and searching for spaces on the flanks. Brazilian João Pedro is one of Watford’s standouts so far, with 1 goal scored. For this game the coach does not have Stipe Perica, suspended, in addition to Isaac Success, injured.

PREDICTION: Both teams to score / YES @ 1,81