BENFICA VS GUIMARAES PREVIEW & PREDICTION
Benfica and Vitória Guimarães meet at Estádio do Sport Lisboa and Benfica (da Luz), in a match for the 1st round of the Primeira Liga. In this stadium, the history of direct confrontations is favorable to the home team, which records 5 wins in the last 5 matches. In fact, the last time these two teams played a match at this stadium was on 31-03-2018, in a match for the Primeira Liga that ended with the victory of Benfica by (2-0). The goals of the match were scored by Jonas (45 ‘and 78’) for Benfica. In this game the home factor may be decisive, since both teams present considerable differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.
This is the first match in this edition of the home team competition, which finished the previous edition in the 2nd position. This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins and 6 draws as a visitor; against 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses at their stadium. The team comes to this match after a home victory over Fenerbahçe by (1-0). In the last 10 home matches for all competitions, Benfica won 6 and lost 4. Their attack has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches.
Benfica enter this meeting motivated, after a home win, 1-0, in the reception at Fenerbahce, to count for the Champions League: Cervi, at minute 69 ‘, scored the only goal of the game. The home team usually acts in a 4-3-3, in which the three players whose mission is to throw the panic in the opposing defense are Salvio, Ferreyra and Cervi. The midfield should be occupied by Pizzi, Fejsa and Gedson Fernandes. The coach of the premises will not be able to count on Tyronne Ebuehi and Filip Krovinovic, for being injured.
This is the first match in this edition of the competition of the visiting team, which finished the previous edition in the 9th position. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in away matches; against 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses at their stadium. In the last match that they disputed, for the League Cup, they lost with Tondela at home (0-2). In the last 10 away matches Vitória Guimarães has a record of 1 win, 1 draw and 8 losses. The team has scored goals against the opponent in 7 of the last 10 matches, so his defense needs to improve, but his attack has scored regularly, since he has scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 18 of the last 24 matches have ended with Over 2,5 goals.
Guimarães enters this first unmotivated day, after a home defeat, by 0-2, in the reception to Tondela, for the League Cup. The visiting club, similar to the rival of this day, usually act in a tactical system in 4-3-3, favoring quick transitions. Of note that, in this tactical drawing, the three most advanced players are Ola John, Alexandre Guedes and Tyler Boyd. When he invests in the offensive process, he usually does it through the left flank, taking advantage of the depth offered by the lateral defender Rafa Soares. Coach Luis Castro should have all the players available for this day.
PREDICTION: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.50